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Intelligence Analysis: Behavioral and Social Scientific Foundations (2011)
Board on Behavioral, Cognitive, and Sensory Sciences (BBCSS)

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. "6 Individual Reasoning--Barbara A. Spellman." Intelligence Analysis: Behavioral and Social Scientific Foundations. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press, 2011.

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Intelligence Analysis: Behavioral and Social Scientific Foundations

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Front Matter (R1-R14)
Part I: Introduction (1-2)
1 Analysis in the U.S.Intelligence Community: Missions, Masters, and Methods--Thomas Fingar (3-28)
Part II: Analytic Methods (29-30)
2 Operations Research and Intelligence Analysis--Edward H. Kaplan (31-56)
3 Applications of Game Theory in Support of Intelligence Analysis--Bruce Bueno de Mesquita (57-82)
4 Use of Signal Detection Theory as a Tool for Enhancing Performance and Evaluating Tradecraft in Intelligence Analysis--Gary H. McClelland (83-100)
5 Qualitative Analysis for the Intelligence Community--Kiron K. Skinner (101-114)
Part III: Analysts (115-116)
6 Individual Reasoning--Barbara A. Spellman (117-142)
7 Intuitive Theories of Behavior--Hal R. Arkes and James Kajdasz (143-168)
8 Group Processes in Intelligence Analysis--Reid Hastie (169-196)
9 Social Categorization and Intergroup Dynamics--Catherine H. Tinsley (197-224)
Part IV: Organizations (225-226)
10 Communicating About Analysis--Baruch Fischhoff (227-248)
11 Structuring Accountability Systems in Organizations: Key Trade-Offs and Critical Unknowns--Philip E. Tetlock and Barbara A. Mellers (249-270)
12 Workforce Effectiveness: Acquiring Human Resources and Developing Human Capital--Steve W. J. Kozlowski (271-308)
13 Implementing Change: Organizational Challenges--Amy Zegart (309-330)
Appendix A: Contents List for *Intelligence Analysis for Tomorrow: Advances from the Behavioral and Social Sciences* (331-332)
Appendix B: Biographical Sketches of Authors and Staff (333-338)