Improving the Assessment of Proliferation
Risk of Nuclear Fuel Cycles:
A Workshop
August 1-2, 2011
The Keck Center of the National Academies
500 Fifth Street, NW, Washington, D.C. 20001
Room 100
FINAL AGENDA
MONDAY, AUGUST 1, 2011
9:00 am |
Welcome |
9:15 am |
Keynote Briefing: Is Stopping Nuclear Proliferation a Human Problem, a Technical Problem, or Something Else? |
10:15 am |
U.S. Department of Energy Office of Nuclear Energy’s perspective on Proliferation Risk and Nuclear Fuel Cycles |
10:30 am |
U.S. Department of Energy National Nuclear Security Administration’s Perspective on Proliferation Risk and Nuclear Fuel Cycles |
10:45–11:00 am | BREAK |
11:00 am |
PANEL 1– Key Issues for Nonproliferation Policy Points for discussion: • Identify the key questions associated with proliferation policy, in your office’s view • How is the proliferation risk of fuel cycle/reactor choices measured • What other considerations are taken into account in decision-making • What analytical tools are not currently used but could prove useful • Compare the importance of fuel cycle/reactor choices vs. other government actions (e.g., government controls) that can be taken. |
12:30–1:30 pm |
LUNCH |
12:45 pm |
Lunch Briefing: The Threat from Low-Cost Centrifuge Enrichment and A.Q. Khan: The Genie is out of the Bottle. |
1:30 pm |
PANEL 2– Metrics and Methodologies for Proliferation Risk Assessment • Overview of methodologies • How well do political science approaches address fuel cycle choices • How well do technical (intrinsic) barriers—and assessments of these barriers—influence fuel cycle choices • How can safeguards effectiveness be improved • How materials attractiveness estimates are performed and how they can be used as part of a proliferation risk assessment |
3:15–3:30 pm | BREAK |
3:30–5:00 pm |
BREAKOUT SESSIONS: Compatibility between Key Policy Issues and Assessment Methodologies |
3:30 pm |
Directions to Breakout Sessions |
3:40 pm |
Participants to Move to Breakout Rooms • Group A will report to Room 101 (Chair, Sharon Squassoni; Staff, Sarah Case) • Group B will report to Room 105 (Chair, Bill Charlton; Staff, Ben Rusek) • Group C will report to Room 109 (Chair, Charles Forsberg; Staff, Kevin Crowley) |
3:45 pm |
Discussions of Compatibility between Key Policy Issues and Assessment Methodologies (In breakout groups) |
4:55 pm |
Return to Room 100 |
5:00 pm |
Closing Comments |
5:15 pm | Adjourn |
TUESDAY, AUGUST 2, 2011
9:00 am |
BREAKOUT SESSION SUMMARY • Chairs and staff of previous day’s breakout sessions to summarize and present conclusions |
10:00– 10:15 am |
BREAK |
10:15 am |
PANEL DISCUSSION 3 – Opportunities and Path Forward for Proliferation Risk Assessment Points for discussion: • The potential role of technical assessments of proliferation resistance in informing real-world decision-making • Potential ways to make the assessments more useful, including R&D directions and suggestions |
12:00 pm |
Adjourn |