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OCR for page 87
Appendix D
Workshop Agenda
Improving the Assessment of Proliferation
Risk of Nuclear Fuel Cycles:
A Workshop
August 1-2, 2011
The Keck Center of the National Academies
500 Fifth Street, NW, Washington, D.C. 20001
Room 100
FINAL AGENDA
MONDAY, AUGUST 1, 2011
9:00 am Welcome
C. Paul Robinson, Planning Committee Chair
9:15 am Keynote Briefing: Is Stopping Nuclear Proliferation a
Human Problem, a Technical Problem, or Something
Else?
Daniel Poneman, Deputy Secretary of Energy, U.S.
Department of Energy (DOE)
10:15 am U.S. Department of Energy Office of Nuclear Energy’s
perspective on Proliferation Risk and Nuclear Fuel
Cycles
Edward McGinnis, Deputy Assistant Secretary for
International Nuclear Energy Policy and Cooperation, Office
of Nuclear Energy, DOE
87
OCR for page 88
88 PROLIFERATION RISK IN NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLES
10:30 am U.S. Department of Energy National Nuclear Security
Administration’s Perspective on Proliferation Risk
and Nuclear Fuel Cycles
Mark Whitney, Asst. Deputy Administrator for
Nonproliferation and International Security, National
Nuclear Security Administration (NNSA), DOE
10:45–11:00 am BREAK
11:00 am PANEL 1– Key Issues for Nonproliferation Policy
Moderator: Sharon Squassoni, Planning Committee
Member
Panelists:
Mark Whitney, Office of Nonproliferation and International
Security, NNSA, DOE
John Harvey, Office of the Secretary of Defense, U.S.
Department of Defense
Richard Stratford, Office of Nuclear Energy, Safety, and
Security Affairs, Undersecretary for International Security
and Nonproliferation, U.S. Department of State
Points for discussion:
• dentify the key questions associated with
I
proliferation policy, in your office’s view
• ow is the proliferation risk of fuel cycle/reactor
H
choices measured
• hat other considerations are taken into account in
W
decision-making
• hat analytical tools are not currently used but
W
could prove useful
• ompare the importance of fuel cycle/reactor choices
C
vs. other government actions (e.g., government
controls) that can be taken.
12:30–1:30 pm LUNCH
12:45 pm Lunch Briefing: The Threat from Low-Cost Centrifuge
Enrichment and A.Q. Khan: The Genie is out of the
Bottle.
Olli Heinonen, Senior Fellow, Belfer Center for Science
and International Affairs, Kennedy School of Government,
Harvard University
OCR for page 89
89
APPENDIX D
1:30 pm PANEL 2– Metrics and Methodologies for
Proliferation Risk Assessment
Moderator: William Charlton, Planning Committee Member
• Overview of methodologies
William Charlton, Texas A&M University and Planning
Committee Member
• ow well do political science approaches address
H
fuel cycle choices
Christopher Way, Cornell University
• ow well do technical (intrinsic) barriers—and
H
assessments of these barriers—influence fuel cycle
choices
Robert Bari, Brookhaven National Laboratory
• ow can safeguards effectiveness be improved
H
Olli Heinonen, Kennedy School of Government, Harvard
University
• ow materials attractiveness estimates are
H
performed and how they can be used as part of a
proliferation risk assessment
Bart Ebbinghaus, Lawrence Livermore National
Laboratory
3:15–3:30 pm BREAK
3:30–5:00 pm BREAKOUT SESSIONS: Compatibility between Key
Policy Issues and Assessment Methodologies
3:30 pm Directions to Breakout Sessions
C. Paul Robinson, Planning Committee Chair
3:40 pm Participants to Move to Breakout Rooms
See handout for assigned breakout groups:
• Group A will report to Room 101 (Chair, Sharon
Squassoni; Staff, Sarah Case)
• Group B will report to Room 105 (Chair, Bill Charlton;
Staff, Ben Rusek)
• Group C will report to Room 109 (Chair, Charles
Forsberg; Staff, Kevin Crowley)
3:45 pm Discussions of Compatibility between Key Policy
Issues and Assessment Methodologies
(In breakout groups)
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90 PROLIFERATION RISK IN NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLES
4:55 pm Return to Room 100
5:00 pm Closing Comments
C. Paul Robinson, Planning Committee Chair
5:15 pm Adjourn
TUESDAY, AUGUST 2, 2011
9:00 am BREAKOUT SESSION SUMMARY
Led by Charles Forsberg, Planning Committee Member
• hairs and staff of previous day’s breakout sessions
C
to summarize and present conclusions
10:00– 10:15 am BREAK
10:15 am PANEL DISCUSSION 3 – Opportunities and Path
Forward for Proliferation Risk Assessment
Moderator: C. Paul Robinson, Planning Committee Chair
Panelists:
William Tobey, Kennedy School of Government, Harvard
University
John Ahearne, Sigma Xi
Joseph Pilat, Los Alamos National Laboratory
Points for discussion:
• he potential role of technical assessments of
T
proliferation resistance in informing real-world
decision-making
• otential ways to make the assessments more useful,
P
including R&D directions and suggestions
12:00 pm Adjourn
