This presentation will set the stage for what needs to be accomplished. It will present scenarios for the future trends in food security based on the best evidence available and it will assess the quality of the evidence drawing on outcomes of the first workshop and other relevant projections. The nature of the dietary transition, the triple burden of malnutrition and other relevant issues should be included to provide the foundation for subsequent presentations.
9:30 AM Future Agricultural Productivity and Changes in the Endowment of Natural Resources
Philip Pardey, University of Minnesota
A brief description of the trends and challenges on the basis of the best evidence available and it will assess the quality of the evidence drawing on the outcomes and other relevant projections.
10:00 AM Are New Agricultural Paradigms Needed to Facilitate Sustainable Food Security in the Context of Uncertainties and Risks
Marco Ferroni, The Syngenta Foundation for Sustainable Agriculture
Climate Change, Technology Choices, Biofuels, Energy Prices, and Shifting Markets for Resources
10:30 AM Q&A and Discussion with the Audience
11:00 AM BREAK
11:20 AM The Natural Resource Constraints to Sustainable Increases in Food Production
Moderator: Jason Clay, World Wildlife Fund
These presentations should assess the constraints, the challenges and the opportunities for removing the constraints to achieve sustainability. Each presentation should make global and regional assessments and identify the regions where the constraints are most critical and where the challenges are the greatest. The importance of the food system in the demand for the particular resource and competing demands should be considered. Since a subsequent section will deal with possible interventions, these presentations should focus on an assessment of the problems and challenges but may also include suggestions for resource-specific interventions by the public and private sector and civil society. Findings from workshop 1 may be included as appropriate.
  • Water David Molden, IWMI
  • Land and Forests Paul Vlek, University of Bonn
  • Marine Fisheries and Aquaculture Jason Clay, World Wildlife Fund
12:20 PM LUNCH
1:20 PM  
  • Biodiversity and the Future Food Supplies Tim Benton, Leeds University
  • Soil Quality of Tropical Africa: An Essential Element of Improved Agricultural Productivity Uzo Mokwunye, Development Strategy Consultant

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