5.8  Exploiting Multiple Sources of Physical Observations

  5.9  PECOS Case Study

5.9.1   Overview

5.9.2   Verification

5.9.3   Code Verification

5.9.4   Solution Verification

5.9.5   Validation

5.10  Rare, High-Consequence Events

5.11  Conclusion

5.12  References

  6  MAKING DECISIONS

  6.1  Overview

  6.2  Decisions Within VVUQ Activities

  6.3  Decisions Based on VVUQ Information

  6.4  Decision Making Informed by VVUQ in the Stockpile Stewardship Program

  6.5  Decision Making Informed by VVUQ at the Nevada National Security Site

6.5.1   Background

6.5.2   The Physical System

6.5.3   Computational Modeling of the Physical System

6.5.4   Parameter Estimation

6.5.5   Making (Extrapolative) Predictions and Describing Uncertainty

6.5.6   Reporting Results to Decision Makers and Stakeholders

  6.6  Summary

  6.7  References

  7  NEXT STEPS IN PRACTICE, RESEARCH, AND EDUCATION FOR VERIFICATION, VALIDATION, AND UNCERTAINTY QUANTIFICATION

  7.1  VVUQ Principles and Best Practices

7.1.1   Verification Principles and Best Practices

7.1.2   Validation and Prediction Principles and Best Practices

  7.2  Principles and Best Practices in Related Areas

7.2.1   Transparency and Reporting

7.2.2   Decision Making

7.2.3   Software, Tools, and Repositories

  7.3  Research for Improved Mathematical Foundations

7.3.1   Verification Research

7.3.2   UQ Research

7.3.3   Validation and Prediction Research

  7.4  Education Changes for the Effective Integration of VVUQ

7.4.1   VVUQ at the University

7.4.2   Spreading the Word

  7.5  Closing Remarks

  7.6  References

APPENDIXES

A  Glossary

B  Agendas of Committee Meetings

C  Committee Biographies

D  Acronyms



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