TABLE F-14 Results for Various Models Predicting Differences Between ACS 5-Year Estimates for 2005-2009 and CCD Estimates for 2009-2010

  Without FRPL Covariates (1,433 districts) With FRPL Covariates (1,366 districts)    
Model Covariates p R2 Adj. R2 RMSE AIC p R2 Adj. R2 RMSE AIC
Additive 73 0.420 0.389 1.068 -6009 81 0.628 0.604 0.806 -6408
FOI, No Factor 159 0.572 0.519 0.917 -6273 258 0.779 0.727 0.621 -6765
Interactions                    
FOI, No State/Locale 172 0.579 0.522 0.910 -6271 334 0.804 0.740 0.585 -6777
Interactions                    
FOI, No State 317 0.650 0.550 0.830 -6245 542 0.855 0.760 0.503 -6774
Interaction                    
FOI, All Variables 717 0.782 0.563 0.655 -6124 981 0.923 0.728 0.366 -6768
FOI and Quadratic 726 0.784 0.561 0.652 -6116 996 0.926 0.726 0.359 -6784

NOTES: The basic model is image~ covariates. AIC = Akaike Information Criterion; ACS = American Community Survey; FOI = first-order interactions; NA = not applicable; RMSE = root mean squared error.
SOURCE: Prepared by the panel.



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