TABLE A-1   Summary Measures of Demographic Assumptions for Baseline Projection, Selected Years 2008–2100

  Years of Life Expectancy    
Year Men Women Combined Total Fertility Rate (births per woman) Net Migrants (millions)
2008 75.4 80.3 77.8 2.05 0.04
2009 75.6 80.4 77.9 2.04 0.84
2010 75.7 80.5 78.1 2.07 0.82
2015 76.9 81.3 79.0 2.05 1.25
2020 77.9 82.1 79.9 2.04 1.20
2025 78.8 82.9 80.8 2.02 1.14
2030 79.7 83.6 81.6 2.01 1.19
2035 80.5 84.3 82.4 2.00 1.23
2040 81.3 85.0 83.1 2.00 1.27
2045 82.1 85.7 83.8 2.00 1.31
2050 82.8 86.3 84.5 2.00 1.34
2055 83.5 86.9 85.1 2.00 1.38
2060 84.2 87.4 85.8 2.00 1.43
2065 84.8 88.0 86.3 2.00 1.47
2070 85.4 88.5 86.9 2.00 1.52
2075 86.0 89.0 87.4 2.00 1.57
2080 86.5 89.4 88.0 2.00 1.62
2085 87.1 89.9 88.5 2.00 1.67
2090 87.6 90.3 88.9 2.00 1.72
2095 88.1 90.7 89.4 2.00 1.78
2100 88.6 91.1 89.8 2.00 1.84

SOURCE: Committee calculations.

POPULATION PROJECTIONS BY RACE/ETHNIC GROUP

For some of the analyses, population projections by separate groups defined by race and ethnicity were of interest. The SSA does not take race or ethnicity into account when it makes projections, so data from the U.S. Census Bureau were used to break the SSA-based population projections into race/ethnic groups that are consistent with the main population projections used in this report. The committee thanks David Waddington, Ben Bolender, Christine Guarneri, and Donnette Willis of the Population Projections Branch of the U.S. Census Bureau for sharing data with it for the project.

Census Bureau projections are done based on the resident population by age, sex, race, and Hispanic origin. The set of projections published in 2008 was used here and can be found at http://www.census.gov/population/www/projections/2008projections.html (data first accessed May 31, 2011). These projections cover the years 2008 to 2050, so the committee extends the Census 2050 rates to the year 2100 to cover the full period of interest.



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