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OCR for page 65
B
Workshop Information
The committee developed the workshop agenda and invited leading sea ice scientists,
experts, and stakeholders to identify obstacles impeding progress in the prediction of Arctic sea
ice on seasonal to decadal timescales, and to explore strategies to mitigate those obstacles. To
address its task, the committee developed several fundamental working guidelines. The
committee considered ice conditions during all seasons within the whole Arctic marine
environment (i.e., Arctic Ocean and the subpolar seas, including the seasonal sea ice zone). The
committee also provided the participants with a background document that summarized insights
and information gained from previously related efforts and published works (see Appendix A).
Challenges and strategies were identified during this workshop through presentations, breakout
group discussions, and plenary summaries.
Workshop Agenda
May 9-10, 2012
University of Colorado Boulder, East Campus
Administrative and Research Center (ARC)
Boulder, CO
Workshop Goals: Arctic sea ice plays a number of important roles in moderating global climate and influencing
oceanic and atmospheric circulation. Recent observed changes in the characteristics of the sea ice cover have various
direct and indirect scientific, technological, and societal impacts such as the planning of new shipping ports, oil and
gas exploration, increased marine transportation, as well as local and global climate and ecological changes.
Currently, our limited understanding of the coupled and complex interactions between Arctic sea ice, oceans, and
atmosphere hinders our ability to predict the rate and magnitude of future change. Enhancements of our theoretical,
observing, and modeling capabilities will be essential for advancing the understanding and prediction of sea ice over
seasonal to decadal timescales. The goal of the workshop is to foster a dialogue between polar scientists, agency
representatives, and stakeholders to explore the current major challenges, with a focus on whether there are new
methods, observations, and technologies that might advance our predictive capabilities through improved
understanding of seasonal to decadal sea ice variations. This dialogue will provide expert information for the
preparation of a National Research Council report.
Overarching Questions: What is limiting advancements in sea ice predictions on seasonal to decadal timescales?
How can these limitations be overcome to realize necessary advancements?
65
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66 Appendix B
Wednesday, May 9, 2012
**A shuttle will pick up workshop participants from the Boulder Marriott on Canyon Blvd at 7:50 A.M., though
participants may walk if they wish.**
Room: ARC 620
8:00 A.M. Breakfast
8:30 A.M. WELCOME AND INTRODUCTION Jackie Richter-Menge & John Walsh
Purpose of the Study and the Workshop Cochairs
9:00 A.M. STAKEHOLDER PANEL Lawson Brigham, Moderator
Gary Hufford, NOAA/NWS
Vera Metcalf, Eskimo Walrus Commission
LCDR Kenneth Boda, US Coast Guard
Michael Terminel, Edison Chouest Offshore
Key questions for the panelists:
- What are the key questions you need answers to (and on what timescales?)
- What information, beyond what is currently available to you, do you need to help
make decisions?
- What information are you receiving now that is useful to you?
9:35 A.M. DISCUSSION
10:15 A.M. Break
SESSION 1 - OBSERVATIONS
10:30 A.M. OBSERVATIONS PANEL Rebecca Woodgate, Moderator
Hajo Eicken, UAF
Walt Meier, NSIDC
Ron Lindsay, UW
Key questions for the panelists:
- What are the key gaps in our understanding?
- What are the key observational challenges in the next five years?
- What advances in observations could address these issues?
- What interactions with modelers and stakeholders would benefit these goals?
10:55 A.M. DISCUSSION
11:30 A.M. BREAKOUTS
Questions for breakout group discussion:
- What are the key challenges and questions?
- What are strategies for addressing these challenges?
- What are the next steps that should be taken?
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Appendix B 67
Blue Group Green Group
Leader: Jennifer Francis Leader: Robert Raye
Staff: Katie Thomas Staff: Amanda Purcell/Chris Elfring
Rapporteur: Don Perovich Rapporteur: Ignatius Rigor
Room # ARC446 Room # ARC248
Red Group Black Group
Leader: Son Nghiem Leader: Jackie Richter-Menge
Staff: Deb Glickson Staff: Lauren Brown
Rapporteur: Ron Kwok Rapporteur: Jim Maslanik
Room # RL233 Room # RL269
12:30 P.M. Lunch
1:45 P.M. REPORT BACK
2:45 P.M. Break
SESSION 2 - MODELING
3:15 P.M. MODELING PANEL Marika Holland, Moderator
Cecilia Bitz, UW
Elizabeth Hunke, LANL
Andrey Proshutinsky, WHOI
Key questions for the panelists:
- What are the key gaps in our understanding?
- What are the key modeling challenges in the next five years?
- What advances in modeling could address these issues?
- What interactions with observationalists and stakeholders would benefit these goals?
3:40 P.M. DISCUSSION
4:15 P.M. BREAKOUTS
Questions for breakout group discussion:
- What are the key challenges and questions?
- What are strategies for addressing these challenges?
- What are the next steps that should be taken?
Blue Group Green Group
Leader: Jennifer Francis Leader: Robert Raye
Staff: Katie Thomas Staff: Amanda Purcell/Chris Elfring
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68 Appendix B
Rapporteur: Sinead Farrell Rapporteur: Alex Jahn
Room # ARC446 Room # ARC248
Red Group Black Group
Leader: Son Nghiem Leader: Jackie Richter-Menge
Staff: Deb Glickson Staff: Lauren Brown
Rapporteur: Wieslaw Maslowski Rapporteur: Jenny Hutchings
Room # RL233 Room # RL269
5:30 P.M. Adjourn
**Shuttle will be available to take participants back to the hotel.**
Thursday, May 10, 2012
**Shuttle will pick up workshop participants from the Boulder Marriott on Canyon Blvd at 7:50 A.M., though
participants may walk if they wish.**
Room: ARC 620
8:00 A.M. Breakfast
8:30 A.M. REPORT BACK
SESSION 3--CHALLENGES AND OPPORTUNITIES
9:30 A.M. CHALLENGES AND OPPORTUNITIES PANEL John Walsh, Moderator
Jim Overland, NOAA/PMEL
Brendan Kelly, IARPC
Pablo Clemente-Colón, NOAA/National Ice Center
Jean-Claude Gascard, Université Pierre et Marie Curie
Key questions for the panelists:
- What gaps or questions in sea ice prediction have not yet been addressed in previous
efforts or reports?
- What are some cross-cutting issues with observation and modeling interactions?
- How can the various communities (observationalists, modelers, stakeholders) better
coordinate?
10:05 A.M. DISCUSSION
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Appendix B 69
10:30 A.M. Break
11:00 A.M. BREAKOUTS
Questions for breakout group discussion:
- What are the key challenges and questions?
- What are strategies for addressing these challenges?
- What are the next steps that should be taken?
Blue Group Green Group
Leader: Jennifer Francis Leader: Robert Raye
Staff: Katie Thomas Staff: Amanda Purcell/Chris Elfring
Rapporteur: Molly McCammon Rapporteur: Peter Wadhams
Room # ARC446 Room # ARC248
Red Group Black Group
Leader: Son Nghiem Leader: Jackie Richter-Menge
Staff: Deb Glickson Staff: Lauren Brown
Rapporteur: Justin Wettstein Rapporteur: Ed Blanchard-Wrigglesworth
Room # RL233 Room # RL269
12:15 P.M. Lunch
1:15 P.M. REPORT BACK
2:15 P.M. WRAP-UP AND FINAL REMARKS Jackie Richter-Menge & John Walsh
Cochairs
3:00 P.M. Adjourn
**Shuttle will be available to take participants back to the hotel.**
The Future of Arctic Sea Ice Research in Support of Seasonal to Decadal Prediction
Participant List
Cecilia Bitz, University of Washington
Ed Blanchard-Wrigglesworth, University of Washington
LCDR Ken Boda, U.S. Coast Guard
Lawson Brigham, University of Alaska
Lauren Brown, National Research Council
Pablo Clemente-Colon, NOAA National Ice Center
Hajo Eicken, University of Alaska Fairbanks
Chris Elfring, National Research Council
John Farrell, U.S. Arctic Research Commission
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70 Appendix B
Sinead Farrell, University of Maryland
Jennifer Francis, Rutgers University
Jean-Claude Gascard, Université Pierre et Marie Curie
Deb Glickson, National Research Council
Jeff Gossett, USN Arctic Submarine Laboratory
Marika Holland, National Center for Atmospheric Research
Amy Holman, NOAA National Ocean Service
Gary Hufford, National Weather Service--Alaska Region
Elizabeth Hunke, Los Alamos National Laboratory
Jenny Hutchings, University of Alaska, Fairbanks
Janet Intrieri, NOAA Earth System Research Laboratory
Alexandra Jahn, National Center for Atmospheric Research
Brendan Kelly, Interagency Arctic Research Policy Committee
Ron Kwok, NASA Jet Propulsion Laboratory
Ron Lindsay, University of Washington
Jim Maslanik, University of Colorado, Boulder
Wieslaw Maslowski, Naval Postgrad School
Larry Mayer, University of New Hampshire
LCDR Blake McBride, U.S. Navy
Molly McCammon, Alaska Ocean Observing System
Walt Meier, National Snow and Ice Data Center
Vera Metcalf, Eskimo Walrus Commission
Son Nghiem, Jet Propulsion Laboratory/Caltech
Jim Overland, NOAA Pacific Marine Environmental Laboratory
Don Perovich, Cold Regions Research and Engineering Laboratory
Andrey Proshutinsky, Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution
Amanda Purcell, National Research Council
Robert Raye, Shell Projects and Technology
Jackie Richter-Menge, Cold Regions Research and Engineering Laboratory
Ignatius Rigor, University of Washington
Mike Terminel, Edison Chouest Offshore
Katie Thomas, National Research Council
Peter Wadhams, University of Cambridge
John Walsh, University of Alaska, Fairbanks
Justin Wettstein, National Center for Atmospheric Research
Jim White, University of Colorado, Boulder
Rebecca Woodgate, University of Washington
Jinlun Zhang, University of Washington
