• Front Matter R1-R9

• Summary 1-2

• Introduction 3-3

• RSA Improvement Alternatives 4-6

• Functional Hazard Analysis 7-7

• Accident and Incident Data 8-11

• Aircraft Data 12-12

• Event Probability (Frequency Model) 13-14

• Event Location Models 15-17

• EMAS Deceleration Model 18-21

• Accuracy of Models 22-22

• Modeling Approach for Risk 23-24

• Implementation of Approach 25-26

• Additional Simplifications 27-27

• Input Data 28-29

• Output and Interpretation 30-30

• Software Field Test 31-31

• Chapter 6 - Model Validation 32-33

• Validation of Frequency Models 34-34

• Validation of Risk Model 35-36

• Major Achievements 37-37

• Limitations 38-38

• Recommendations for Future Work 39-39

• References 40-40

• Abbreviations and Acronyms 41-42

• Definitions 43-44

• Appendix A - Functional Hazard Analysis Results 45-46

• Appendix B - Summary of Accidents and Incidents 47-92

• Appendix C - Sample of Normal Operations Data 93-95

• Appendix D - Aircraft Database Summary 96-104

• Appendix E - EMAS 105-107

• Appendix F - Risk Criteria Used by the FAA 108-109

• Appendix G - Plan to Field Test Software Tool 110-113

• Appendix H - Summary of Results for Software/Model Tests 114-122

• Appendix I - Software User's Guide 123-168

• Abbreviations used without definitions in TRB publications 169-169

Shirazi, Hamid, Speir, Richard, Hall, Jim, Ayres, Manuel, Arambula, Edith, Carvalho, Regis, Wong, Derek, Gadzinski, John, David, Robert, Transportation Research Board " Event Location Models ." ACRP Report 50: Improved Models for Risk Assessment of Runway Safety Areas . Washington, DC: The National Academies Press, 2011 .

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