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Suggested Citation:"References." National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine. 2011. Improved Models for Risk Assessment of Runway Safety Areas. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/13635.
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Page 40

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40 AENA, “Operation of A-380 Aircraft on Alternate Aerodrome Sporad- ically,” Report Code EXA 34, AENA, Aeropuertos Espanoles y Nave- gacion Aerea, Division of Operations, Infrastructure and Apron Department, April 2005. Annual Review of Aircraft Accident Data, U.S. Air Carrier Operations, Calendar Year 2005, National Transportation Safety Board, NTSB/ ARC-09/01, PB2009-106372, Notation 7502F, March 9, 2009. Ash, A., and M. Schwartz, “R2: a Useful Measure of Model Performance when Predicting a Dichotomous Outcome,” Statistics in Medicine, 18(4), 1999, pp. 375–384. ATSB, “Runway Excursions—Part 1: A Worldwide Review of Commer- cial Jet Aircraft Runway Excursions,” Australian Transport Safety Board, Aviation Research and Analysis, AR-2008-018(1), Final Report, 2009. Ayres, Manuel Jr., et al. ACRP Report 1: Safety Management Systems for Airports, Volume 2: Guidebook, Transportation Research Board of the National Academies, Washington, DC, 2009. Boeing, “Commercial Aircraft Design Characteristics—Trends and Growth Projections,” International Industry Working Group (IIWG), 5th Ed., January 2007. Boeing, “Statistical Summary of Commercial Jet Airplane Accidents, Worldwide Operations, 1959–2010,” July 2010. David, R., Location of Aircraft Accidents/Incidents Relative to Runways. DOT/FAA/AOV 90-1. Office of Safety Oversight, Federal Aviation Administration, Washington DC, 1990. Eddowes, M., J. Hancox and A. MacInnes, “Final Report on the Risk Analysis in Support of Aerodrome Design Rules,” AEAT/RAIR/ RD02325/R/002 Issue 1, A Reported Produced for the Norwegian Civil Aviation Authority, December 2001, 202 pp. Enders, J., Dodd, R., Tarrel, R., Khatwa, R., Roelen, A., Karwal, A. “Airport Safety: A Study of Accidents and Available Approach-and- Landing Aids.” Flight Safety Digest, Flight Safety Foundation, VA, March 1996. FAA AC 150/5200-37, Introduction to Safety Management Systems (SMS) for Airport Operators, U.S. Department of Transportation, Federal Aviation Administration, Washington, D.C., February 2007. FAA AC 150/5300-13, Airport Design, U.S. Department of Transporta- tion, Federal Aviation Administration, September 1989. FAA Order 5200.11, FAA Airports (ARP) Safety Management System, August 2010. FAA Order 5200.8, Runway Safety Area Program, October 1999. Flight Safety Foundation (FSF), “Reducing the Risk of Runway Excur- sions,” Report of the Runway Safety Initiative, May 2009. Hall, Jim, et al. ACRP Report 3: Analysis of Aircraft Overruns and Under- shoots for Runway Safety Areas, Transportation Research Board of the National Academies, Washington, DC, 2008. Hosmer, D., and S. Lemeshow, Applied Logistic Regression. John Wiley & Sons, Hoboken, 2000. Wong, D. K. Y., Appleyard, A., Caves, R. and Pitfield, D., “The Devel- opment of Models of the Frequency of Aircraft Accidents Near Air- ports,” presented at 9th ATRS World Conference, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil, July 2005. Wong, D. K. Y., D. E. Pitfield, R. E. Caves and A. J. Appleyard, The Devel- opment of Aircraft Accident Frequency Models, Loughborough Uni- versity, Loughborough, Leicestershire, United Kingdom, 2006, 8 pp. Wong, D. K. Y., The Modeling of Accident Frequency Using Risk Exposure Data for the Assessment of Airport Safety Areas, Ph.D. dissertation, University of Loughborough, Leicestershire, United Kingdom, 2007. References

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TRB’s Airport Cooperative Research Program (ACRP) Report 50: Improved Models for Risk Assessment of Runway Safety Areas analyzes aircraft veer-offs, the use of declared distances, the implementation of the Engineered Material Arresting System (EMAS), and the incorporation of a risk approach for consideration of obstacles in or in the vicinity of the runway safety area (RSA).

An interactive risk analysis tool, updated in 2017, quantifies risk and support planning and engineering decisions when determining RSA requirements to meet an acceptable level of safety for various types and sizes of airports. The Runway Safety Area Risk Analysis Version 2.0 (RSARA2) can be downloaded as a zip file. View the installation requirements for more information.

ACRP Report 50 expands on the research presented in ACRP Report 3: Analysis of Aircraft Overruns and Undershoots for Runway Safety Areas. View the Impact on Practice related to this report.

Disclaimer - This software is offered as is, without warranty or promise of support of any kind either expressed or implied. Under no circumstance will the National Academy of Sciences or the Transportation Research Board (collectively “TRB’) be liable for any loss or damage caused by the installation or operations of this product. TRB makes no representation or warrant of any kind, expressed or implied, in fact or in law, including without limitation, the warranty of merchantability or the warranty of fitness for a particular purpose, and shall not in any case be liable for any consequential or special damages.

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