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14
Table 3. Filtering criteria for accidents and incidents.
Filter # Description Justification
1 Remove non-fixed-wing aircraft Study is concerned with fixed-wing aircraft
entries. accidents and incidents only.
2 Remove entries for airplanes Cut-off criteria to maintain comparable
with certified max gross weight level of pilot qualifications and aircraft
< 6,000 lb. performance to increase the validity of the
modeling.
3 Remove entries with unwanted Some FAR parts have significantly
Federal Aviation Regulation different safety regulations (e.g., pilot
(FAR) parts. Kept Part 121, qualifications). The following cases were
125, 129, 135, and selected Part removed:
91 operations. Part 91F: Special Flt Ops
Part 103: Ultralight
Part 105: Parachute Jumping
Part 133: Rotorcraft Ext. Load
Part 137: Agricultural
Part 141: Pilot Schools
Armed Forces
4 Remove occurrences for Study focus is the RSA. Situations when
unwanted phases of flight. the RSA cannot help mitigating accident
and incident consequences were discarded
to increase model validity.
5 Remove all single-engine Piston-engine aircraft are used infrequently
aircraft and all piston-engine in civil aviation and have been removed to
aircraft entries. increase the validity of the modeling.
Moreover, single- and piston-engine
aircraft behave differently in accidents due
to the lower energy levels involved.
Finally, the major focus of this study is air
carrier aircraft.
6 Remove all accidents and It would be infeasible to have an RSA
incidents when the wreckage more than 1,000 ft from the runway
final location is beyond 1,000 ft centerline; the gain in safety is not
from runway centerline. significant.
make queries about the data stored in the database; and produce tions that experience the factor benignly, singly, and in combi-
reports summarizing selected contents. Figure 9 illustrates the nation can be calculated; risk ratios can be generated; and the
database organization. importance of risk factors can be quantified. This assessment
The database includes for each individual event or opera- may allow the prioritization of resource allocation for safety
tion the reporting agency, the characteristics of the aircraft improvement.
involved, the runway and environmental conditions, event The NOD from the research reported in ACRP Report 3:
classification (accident or incident), and other relevant infor- Analysis of Aircraft Overruns and Undershoots for Runway Safety
mation such as consequences (fatalities, injuries, and damage) Areas was used in this study (Hall et al., 2008). The database
and causal or contributing factors. A unique identifier was was complemented with data for general aviation (GA) air-
assigned to each event. craft with a maximum takeoff weight (MTOW) of less than
12,500 lb and greater than 6,000 lb. These data are a large and
representative sample of disaggregated U.S. NOD covering a
Normal Operations Data (NOD)
range of risk factors associated with runway veer-offs, allow-
Another key approach in this study was the use of normal ing their criticality to be quantified. The data on U.S. incidents
operations (i.e., non-accident/incident flight) data for prob- and accidents were used as a sample to develop the frequency
ability modeling of runway veer-offs. In the absence of infor- models for runway veer-offs only. A sample of the NOD data
mation on risk exposure, even though the occurrence of a is available in Appendix E.
factor (e.g., contaminated runway) could be identified as a Incorporating this risk exposure information into the
contributor to many accidents, it is impossible to know how accident frequency model enhances its predictive power and
critical the factor was since other flights may have experienced provides the basis for formulating more risk-sensitive and
the factor without incidents. With NOD, the number of opera- responsive RSA assessments. Accident frequency models no