• Front Matter R1-R14

• Summary 1-14

• 1 Climate Change as a National Security Concern 15-34

• 2 Climate Change, Vulnerability, and National Security: A Conceptual Framework 35-52

• 3 Potentially Disruptive Climate Events 53-74

• 4 How Climate Events Can Lead to Social and Political Stresses 75-96

• 5 Climate Events and National Security Outcomes 97-138

• 6 Methods for Assessing National Security Threats 139-160

• References 161-178

• Appendix A: Committee Member and Staff Biographies 179-186

• Appendix B: Briefings Received by the Committee 187-188

• Appendix C: Method for Developing Figure 3-1 189-192

• Appendix D: Statistical Methods for Assessing Probabilities of Extreme Events 193-202

• Appendix E: Foundations for Monitoring ClimateSecurity Connections 203-238

" 2 Climate Change, Vulnerability, and National Security: A Conceptual Framework ." Climate and Social Stress: Implications for Security Analysis . Washington, DC: The National Academies Press, 2012 .

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