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Policy Implications of Greenhouse Warming: Mitigation, Adaptation, and the Science Base (1992)
Committee on Science, Engineering, and Public Policy (COSEPUP)

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. "O Deforestation Prevention." Policy Implications of Greenhouse Warming: Mitigation, Adaptation, and the Science Base. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press, 1992.

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Appendix O
Deforestation Prevention

Assigning an economic cost to preventing deforestation is very difficult, and estimates are based on the cost of providing economic incentives to those who currently deforest the land. This could be done either through providing a cash bonus for those who practice sustainable agriculture or through purchasing land for use as nature preserves.

The first fact needed is the annual rate of deforestation. Based on a World Resources Institute (WRI, 1990) report, this is 20.4 million hectares per year. The arbitrary assumption can then be made that 70 percent of such deforestation could be prevented by using one of these programs.

The carbon content of the soil and vegetation in different ecosystems has been estimated by the Conservation Foundation, World Wildlife Fund, and Fundacion Neotropica (1988). This content, in tons of carbon per hectare (ha),1 is 256 for an undisturbed forest, 210 for a logged or managed forest, 256 for a 30- to 40-year-old forest plantation, and 75 for land deforested for use as pasture or agriculture. The net carbon saved through forest protection is the difference between a managed forest and pasture land or net carbon saved = 210 - 75 = 135 t C/ha, which would be 495 t CO2/ha if burned or otherwise oxidized. The carbon release avoided would be (495 t CO2/ha)(0.7)(20.4 × 106 ha/yr) = 7068 Mt of CO2 per year.

The cost of preventing this deforestation is based on information from the Conservation Foundation and the World Wildlife Fund. The World Wildlife Fund proposal would create an endowment of $200/ha. Interest

Page
812
Front Matter (R1-R26)
Part One: Synthesis (1-2)
1 Introduction (3-4)
2 Background (5-11)
3 The Greenhouse Gases and Their Effects (12-28)
4 Policy Framework (29-35)
5 Adaptation (36-47)
6 Mitigation (48-64)
7 International Considerations (65-67)
8 Findings and Conclusions (68-72)
9 Recommendations (73-83)
Individual Statement by a Member Of The Synthesis Panel (84-86)
Part Two: The Science Base (87-88)
10 Introduction (89-90)
11 Emission Rates and Concentrations Of Greenhouse Gases (91-99)
12 Radiative Forcing and Feedback (100-110)
13 Model Performance (111-116)
14 The Climate Record (117-134)
15 Hydrology (135-139)
16 Sea Level (140-144)
17 A Greenhouse Forcing and Temperature Rise Estimation Procedure (145-152)
18 Conclusions (153-154)
Part Three: Mitigation (155-156)
19 Introduction (157-170)
20 Framework for Evaluating Mitigation Options (171-200)
21 Residential and Commercial Energy Management (201-247)
22 Industrial Energy Management (248-285)
23 Transportation Energy Management (286-329)
24 Energy Supply Systems (330-375)
25 Nonenergy Emission Reduction (376-413)
26 Population (414-423)
27 Deforestation (424-432)
28 Geoengineering (433-464)
29 Findings and Recommendations (465-498)
Part Four: Adaptation (499-500)
30 Findings (501-507)
31 Recommendations (508-514)
32 Issues, Assumptions, and Values (515-524)
33 Methods and Tools (525-540)
34 Sesitivities, Impacts, and Adaptations (541-652)
35 Indices (653-656)
36 Final Words (657-658)
Individual Statement by a Member of the Adaptation Panel (659-660)
Appendixes (661-662)
A Questions and Answers About Greenhouse Warming (663-691)
B Thinking About Time in the Context of Global Climate Change (692-707)
C Conservation Supply Curves for Buildings (708-716)
D Conservation Supply Curves for Industrial Energy Use (717-726)
E Conservation Supply Data for Three Transportation Sectors (727-758)
F Transportation System Management (759-766)
G Nuclear Energy (767-774)
H A Solar Hydrogen System (775-778)
I Biomass (779-785)
J Cost-Effectiveness of Electrical Generation Technologies (786-791)
K Cost-Effectiveness of Chlorofluorocarbon Phaseout—United States and Worldwide (792-797)
L Agriculture (798-807)
M Landfill Methane Reduction (808-808)
N Population Growth and Greenhouse Gas Emissions (809-811)
O Deforestation Prevention (812-813)
P Reforestation (814-816)
Q Geoengineering Options (817-835)
R Description of Economic Estimates of the Cost of Reducing Greenhouse Emissions (836-839)
S Glossary (840-846)
T Conversion Tables (847-848)
U Prefaces from the Individual Panel Reports (849-854)
V Acknowledgments from the Individual Panel Reports (855-857)
W Background Information on Panel Members and Professional Staff (858-868)
Index (869-918)

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Page 812 Appendix O Deforestation Prevention Assigning an economic cost to preventing deforestation is very difficult, and estimates are based on the cost of providing economic incentives to those who currently deforest the land. This could be done either through providing a cash bonus for those who practice sustainable agriculture or through purchasing land for use as nature preserves. The first fact needed is the annual rate of deforestation. Based on a World Resources Institute (WRI, 1990) report, this is 20.4 million hectares per year. The arbitrary assumption can then be made that 70 percent of such deforestation could be prevented by using one of these programs. The carbon content of the soil and vegetation in different ecosystems has been estimated by the Conservation Foundation, World Wildlife Fund, and Fundacion Neotropica (1988). This content, in tons of carbon per hectare (ha),1 is 256 for an undisturbed forest, 210 for a logged or managed forest, 256 for a 30- to 40-year-old forest plantation, and 75 for land deforested for use as pasture or agriculture. The net carbon saved through forest protection is the difference between a managed forest and pasture land or net carbon saved = 210 - 75 = 135 t C/ha, which would be 495 t CO2/ha if burned or otherwise oxidized. The carbon release avoided would be (495 t CO2/ha)(0.7)(20.4 × 106 ha/yr) = 7068 Mt of CO2 per year. The cost of preventing this deforestation is based on information from the Conservation Foundation and the World Wildlife Fund. The World Wildlife Fund proposal would create an endowment of $200/ha. Interest

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Page 813 from that endowment is used as a financial incentive for those living near a tropical forest to practice sustainable forestry. The community retains ownership of the land and interest from the endowment as long as it practices sustainable forestry. The purpose of the endowment is to compensate the community for the additional income it would have received by using current agricultural techniques. At present, this method is being used in Costa Rica (Conservation Fund et al., 1988). By using these estimates, a cost-effectiveness of image is obtained. Note 1. Tons (t) are metric; 1 Mt = 1 megaton = 1 million tons. References Conservation Foundation (CF), World Wildlife Fund (WWF), and Fundacion Neotropica (FN). 1988. The Forestry Fund: An Endowment for Forest Protection, Management, and Reforestation in Costa Rica. Washington, D.C.: World Wildlife Fund. World Resources Institute. 1990. World Resources 1990–91. New York: Oxford University Press.

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world wildlife