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Policy Implications of Greenhouse Warming: Mitigation, Adaptation, and the Science Base (1992)
Committee on Science, Engineering, and Public Policy (COSEPUP)

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833
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Page 833

Another possible way of dealing with the acid rain concern would be to introduce sulfate in the form of ammonium sulfate or bisulfate, each of which is a neutral salt. This would avoid the acid question from the start. Both salts are used frequently as fertilizers and in the dilutions to be seen here would have a mild fertilizing effect locally. These salts can be made by reacting ammonia with sulfuric acid. The price of ammonia is about $100/t, so the cost of the CCN might double, and there would be an additional cost for equipment to run the reaction at sea. These additional costs might increase the total by as much as 50 percent to $0.15/t of carbon mitigated per year or $0.04/t CO2.

Necessary Cloud Condensation Nuclei Experiments

If global-scale CCN emissions were to be considered in a serious way a number of fundamental studies would need to be performed. Among these would be the following:

• Exploratory studies of the effectiveness of CCN for enhancing stratocumulus cloud cover, with a full statistical analysis of covariates, and so on.

• Determination of CCN properties: (1) lifetimes of CCN at various altitudes; (2) effectiveness in cloud enhancement; and (3) effect of their precipitation on oceans.

• Determination of the fraction of SO2 emissions converted to CCN and the resulting particle size distribution.

• Extension of the idea of CCN enhancement from local and regional to global dimensions: a careful study of the scale dependence of the effectiveness of cloud enhancement processes and the interaction of clouds with the radiation field.

• Full confirmatory analysis of the effectiveness of CCN on fractional cloudiness with carefully selected test statistics. A multiplicity of analysis would have to take into account all variables such as the humidity profile, convective processes, and CCN count, along with methods for the study of precipitation processes.

Note

1. Throughout this report, tons (t) are metric; 1 Mt = 1 million tons; and 1 Gt = 1 billion tons.

References

Albrecht, B. A. 1989. Aerosols, cloud microphysics, and fractional cloudiness. Science 245:1227–1230.

Angell, J. K., J. Korshover, and G. F. Cotton. 1984. Variation in United States

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833
Front Matter (R1-R26)
Part One: Synthesis (1-2)
1 Introduction (3-4)
2 Background (5-11)
3 The Greenhouse Gases and Their Effects (12-28)
4 Policy Framework (29-35)
5 Adaptation (36-47)
6 Mitigation (48-64)
7 International Considerations (65-67)
8 Findings and Conclusions (68-72)
9 Recommendations (73-83)
Individual Statement by a Member Of The Synthesis Panel (84-86)
Part Two: The Science Base (87-88)
10 Introduction (89-90)
11 Emission Rates and Concentrations Of Greenhouse Gases (91-99)
12 Radiative Forcing and Feedback (100-110)
13 Model Performance (111-116)
14 The Climate Record (117-134)
15 Hydrology (135-139)
16 Sea Level (140-144)
17 A Greenhouse Forcing and Temperature Rise Estimation Procedure (145-152)
18 Conclusions (153-154)
Part Three: Mitigation (155-156)
19 Introduction (157-170)
20 Framework for Evaluating Mitigation Options (171-200)
21 Residential and Commercial Energy Management (201-247)
22 Industrial Energy Management (248-285)
23 Transportation Energy Management (286-329)
24 Energy Supply Systems (330-375)
25 Nonenergy Emission Reduction (376-413)
26 Population (414-423)
27 Deforestation (424-432)
28 Geoengineering (433-464)
29 Findings and Recommendations (465-498)
Part Four: Adaptation (499-500)
30 Findings (501-507)
31 Recommendations (508-514)
32 Issues, Assumptions, and Values (515-524)
33 Methods and Tools (525-540)
34 Sesitivities, Impacts, and Adaptations (541-652)
35 Indices (653-656)
36 Final Words (657-658)
Individual Statement by a Member of the Adaptation Panel (659-660)
Appendixes (661-662)
A Questions and Answers About Greenhouse Warming (663-691)
B Thinking About Time in the Context of Global Climate Change (692-707)
C Conservation Supply Curves for Buildings (708-716)
D Conservation Supply Curves for Industrial Energy Use (717-726)
E Conservation Supply Data for Three Transportation Sectors (727-758)
F Transportation System Management (759-766)
G Nuclear Energy (767-774)
H A Solar Hydrogen System (775-778)
I Biomass (779-785)
J Cost-Effectiveness of Electrical Generation Technologies (786-791)
K Cost-Effectiveness of Chlorofluorocarbon Phaseout—United States and Worldwide (792-797)
L Agriculture (798-807)
M Landfill Methane Reduction (808-808)
N Population Growth and Greenhouse Gas Emissions (809-811)
O Deforestation Prevention (812-813)
P Reforestation (814-816)
Q Geoengineering Options (817-835)
R Description of Economic Estimates of the Cost of Reducing Greenhouse Emissions (836-839)
S Glossary (840-846)
T Conversion Tables (847-848)
U Prefaces from the Individual Panel Reports (849-854)
V Acknowledgments from the Individual Panel Reports (855-857)
W Background Information on Panel Members and Professional Staff (858-868)
Index (869-918)