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THE COMPETITIVE EDGE: Research Priorities for U.S. Manufacturing
APPENDIX
A
Selected Employment Data
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THE COMPETITIVE EDGE: Research Priorities for U.S. Manufacturing
TABLE A-1 Civilian Employment in Occupations with 25,000 Workers or More, Actual 1988 and Projected to 2000, Under Low, Medium, and High Scenarios for Economic Growth (Numbers in Thousands)
Total employment
1988–2000 employment change
Occupation
1988
2000
Number
Percent
Low
Moderate
High
Low
Moderate
High
Low
Moderate
High
Total, all occupations
118,104
127,118
136,211
144,146
9,015
18,107
26,043
8
15
22
Professional specialty occupations
14,628
17,083
18,137
19,072
2,455
3,509
4,444
17
24
30
Engineers
1,411
1,625
1,762
1,933
214
351
522
15
25
37
Aeronautical and astronautical engineers
78
80
88
101
3
10
23
3
13
29
Chemical engineers
49
52
57
62
3
8
13
7
16
27
Civil engineers, including traffic engineers
186
206
219
236
20
32
49
10
17
26
Electrical and electronics engineers
439
565
615
676
126
176
237
29
40
54
Industrial engineers, except safety engineers
132
142
155
171
10
24
40
8
18
30
Mechanical engineers
225
247
269
294
23
44
69
10
20
31
Architects and surveyors
205
227
244
265
22
39
60
11
19
29
Architects, except landscape and marine
86
99
107
117
14
21
31
16
25
36
Surveyors
100
105
112
121
5
12
22
5
12
22
Teachers, librarians, and counselors
5,379
5,937
6,228
6,499
558
849
1,121
10
16
21
Teachers, special education
275
304
317
332
29
43
57
11
16
21
Teachers, preschool
238
290
309
316
53
72
79
22
30
33
Teachers, kindergarten and elementary school
1,359
1,499
1,567
1,638
140
208
279
10
15
21
Teachers, secondary school
1,164
1,328
1,388
1,451
164
224
287
14
19
25
College and university faculty
846
831
869
908
−14
23
63
−2
3
7
Other teachers and instructors
490
514
545
571
24
55
81
5
11
17
Adult and vocational education teachers
467
493
523
548
27
56
81
6
12
17
Instructors, adult (nonvocational) education
227
250
268
282
22
41
54
10
18
24
Teachers and instructors, vocational education and training
239
243
255
266
4
16
27
2
7
11
Librarians, archivists, curators, and related workers
159
168
176
184
9
17
25
6
11
16
Librarians, professional
143
150
157
165
7
14
22
5
10
15
Counselors
124
150
157
164
26
33
41
21
27
33
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THE COMPETITIVE EDGE: Research Priorities for U.S. Manufacturing
Engineering and science technicians and technologists
1,273
1,446
1,559
1,690
173
286
417
14
22
33
Engineering technicians
722
858
926
1,007
136
204
285
19
28
39
Electrical and electronic engineering technicians and technologists
341
434
471
515
93
130
174
27
38
51
Drafters
319
331
358
389
12
39
71
4
12
22
Science and mathematics technicians
232
257
275
294
25
43
62
11
19
27
Precision production, craft, and repair oocupations
14,159
14,444
15,563
16,683
285
1,404
2,525
2
10
18
Blue-collar worker supervisors
1,797
1,788
1,930
2,074
−9
133
277
−1
7
15
Machinery and related mechanics, installers, and repairers
1,620
1,777
1,910
2,038
157
290
418
10
18
26
Industrial machinery mechanics
463
496
538
580
33
75
117
7
16
25
Maintenance repairers, general utility
1,080
1,199
1,282
1,359
119
202
279
11
19
26
Millwrights
77
83
90
99
6
13
22
8
17
28
Vehicle and mobile equipment mechanics and repairers
1,598
1,738
1,868
1,984
140
270
386
9
17
24
Production occupations, precision
3,190
2,941
3,208
3,453
−249
18
263
−8
1
8
Assemblers, precision
354
236
263
291
−118
−91
−63
−33
−26
−18
Aircraft assemblers, precision
31
28
31
36
−3
−1
5
−11
−2
16
Electrical and electronic equipment assemblers, precision
161
81
91
99
−80
−71
−62
−50
−44
−39
Electromechanical equipment assemblers, precision
59
47
53
58
−11
−6
0
−19
−10
0
Machine builders and other precision machine assemblers
55
42
47
51
−13
−8
−4,
−23
−15
−6
Operators, fabricators, and laborers
16,983
15,888
17,198
18,417
−1,095
215
1,434
−6
1
8
Machine setters, set-up operators, operators, and tenders
4,949
4,373
4,779
5,136
−575
−170
187
−12
−3
4
Numerical control machine tool operators and tenders, metal and plastic
64
63
70
77
−1
6
13
−1
9
21
Combination machine tool setters, set-up operators, operators, and tenders
89
88
97
105
−1
8
17
−1
9
19
Machine tool cut and form setters, operators, and tenders, metal and plastic
791
678
747
814
−114
−45
23
−14
−6
3
Drilling and boring machine tool setters and set-up operators, metal and plastic
56
49
54
59
−7
−2
3
−12,
−3
6
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THE COMPETITIVE EDGE: Research Priorities for U.S. Manufacturing
Grinding machine setters and set-up operators, metal and plastic
72
64
70
77
−8
„1
5
−11
−2
7
Lathe and turning machine tool setters and set-up operators, metal and plastic
89
78
86
94
−11
−3
5
−12
−3
6
Machine forming oparators and tenders, metal and plastic
184
151
166
180
−33
−18
−5
−18
−10
−2
Machine tool cutting operators and tenders, metal and plastic
148
121
133
146
−27
−15
−2
−18
−10
−1
Punching machine setters and set-up operators, metal and plastic
51
45
50
54
−6
−1
3
−11
−2
6
Metal fabricating machine setters, operators, and related workers
149
122
134
145
−27
−15
−4
−18
−10
−3
Metal fabricators, structural metal products
40
36
39
42
−4
−1
2
−10
−2
5
Welding machine setters, operators, and tenders
99
78
86
93
−21
−14
−6
−21
−14
−6
Metal and plastic processing machine setters, operators, and related workers
392
363
401
437
−29
9
45
−7
2
11
Electrolytic plating machine operators and tenders, setters and set-up operators, metal and plastic
44
37
41
44
−8
−4
0
−17
−8
0
Metal molding machine operators and tenders, setters and set-up operators
35
31
35
38
−4
−1
2
−12
−2
7
Plastic molding machine operators and tenders, setters and set-up operators
144
159
176
191
15
32
47
11
22
33
Hand workers, including assemblers and fabricators
2,528
2,067
2,266
2,430
−461
−262
−98
−18
−10
−4
Cannery workers
71
63
70
71
−8
−1
−1
−11
−2
−1
Cutters and trimmers, hand
63
59
65
69
−4
2
6
−6
3
10
Electrical and etectronic assemblers
237
119
134
144
−118
−103
−93
−50
−44
−39
Grinders and polishers, hand
84
67
74
80
−17
−11
−4
−21
−13
−5
Machine assemblers
47
37
41
45
−9
−5
−2
−20
−12
−4
SOURCE: G. Silvestri and J. Lukasiewicz. 1989. Monthly Labor Review (112:11):51-59.
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THE COMPETITIVE EDGE: Research Priorities for U.S. Manufacturing
TABLE A-2 Projected Employment Change by Occupation, 1988-2000, Ranked by Absolute Change in Declining Industries (Numbers in Thousands)
Occupation
Projected 1988–2000 employment change
All industries
All declining industries
All growing industries
Total, all occupations
17,120.1
−1,435.3
18,555.4
All other assemblers and fabricators
−116.4
−113.1
−3.3
Farm workers
−98.2
−108.5
10.2
Sewing machine operators, garment
−90.7
96.1
5.4
Inspectors, testers, and graders, precision
−41.7
−71.6
29.9
Electrical and electronic assemblers
−103.3
−69.0
−34.3
All other helpers, laborers, and material movers, hand
70.2
−57.9
128.1
Blue-collar worker supervisors
124.1
−54.6
178.7
Hand packers and packagers
−75.0
−48.8
−26.2
Secretaries, except legal and medical
383.9
−44.1
428.0
Electrical and electronic equipment assemblers, precision
−70.2
−44.1
−26.1
Freight, stock, and material movers, hand
19.7
−37.6
57.3
All other machine operators, tenders, setters, and set-up operators
−28.5
−34.1
5.6
Textile draw-out and winding machine operators and tenders
−30.2
−30.8
.6
Packaging and filling machine operators and tenders
−32.6
−30.1
−2.5
Child care workers, private household
−28.1
−28.1
0
Industrial truck and tractor operators
−21.4
−27.6
6.3
Machine feeders and offbearers
−31.0
−26.0
−5.0
Welders and cutters
−16.1
−24.8
8.7
Bookkeeping, accounting, and auditing clerks
40.3
−24.4
64.7
Machine forming operators and tenders, metal and plastic
−18.4
−23.4
5.0
General managers and top executives
478.9
−22.5
501.4
All other hand workers
−18.5
−19.6
1.1
All other mechanics, installers, and repairers
−25.9
−17.7
−8.3
Gardeners and groundskeepers, except farm
149.4
−17.5
166.9
Janitors and cleaners, including maids and housekeeping cleaners
471.8
−16.8
488.6
Crushing and mixing machine operators and tenders
−18.9
−15.8
−3.1
Sewing machine operators, nongarment
−8.0
−15.3
7.2
Machine tool cutting operators and tenders, metal and plastic
−14.9
−14.1
−.8
Typists and word processors
−66.2
−13.3
−52.9
Welding machine setters, operators, and tenders
−13.6
−13.0
−.6
Cleaners and servants, private household
−12.6
−12.6
0
All other metal and plastic machine setters, operators, and related workers
−11.5
−11.9
.3
General office clerks
454.3
−11.1
465.4
All other machine tool cutting and forming, etc.
−4.3
−10.9
6.5
Chemical equipment controllers, operators, and tenders
−10.8
−10.2
−.6
Sheet metal workers and duct installers
9.7
−10.1
19.8
SOURCE: G. Silvestri and J. Lukasiewicz. 1989. Monthly Labor Review (112:11):61.
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THE COMPETITIVE EDGE: Research Priorities for U.S. Manufacturing
TABLE A-3 Percent Change in Employment for Selected Occupations, 1988-2000, and Percent of Employment Comprised by Whites, Blacks, and Hispanics, 1988
Percent comprised by–
Occupation
Percent change, 1988–2000
Whites
Blacks
Hispanics
Total, all occupations
15
87
10
7
Executive, administrative, and managerial occupations
22
92
6
4
Professional specialty occupations
24
89
7
3
Engineers
25
90
4
3
Computer, mathematical, and operation research analysts
52
86
7
3
Natural scientists
19
90
3
3
Health diagnosing occupations
24
88
3
4
Health assessment occupations
38
87
8
3
Teachers, college
3
89
4
4
Teachers, except college
18
89
9
4
Lawyers and judges
30
96
2
2
Other professional workers
23
90
8
4
Technicians and related support occupations
32
86
9
4
Health technicians and technologists
34
81
14
4
Engineering and scientific technicians
22
89
7
5
All other technicians
39
88
7
4
Marketing and sales occupations
20
91
6
5
Administrative support occupations, including clerical
12
86
11
6
Clerical supervisors and managers
12
85
14
6
Computer operators and peripheral equipment operators
29
83
14
6
Secretaries, typists, and stenographers
10
89
8
5
Financial recordkeeping occupations
1
90
6
5
Mail clerks and messengers
10
74
22
9
Other clerical occupations
13
84
13
7
Service occupations
23
79
18
10
Private household workers
−5
76
23
17
Protective service occupations
23
81
17
6
Food service occupations
23
83
12
10
Health service occupations
34
69
28
6
Cleaning service occupations
20
74
23
15
Personal service occupations
27
85
12
8
Precision production, craft, and repair occupations
10
90
8
8
Mechanics, installers, and repairers
13
91
7
8
Construction trades
16
91
7
8
Other precision production occupations
3
88
8
9
Operatives, fabricators, and laborers
1
82
15
11
Machine setters, set-up operators, operaters, and tenders
−3
83
15
7
Transportation and material moving machine and vehicle operators
12
82
16
11
Helpers, laborers, and material movers, hand
2
82
15
13
Agriculture, forestry, fishing, and related workers
−5
92
7
13
Note: Hispanics can be of any race.
SOURCE: G. Silvestri and J. Lukasiewicz. 1989. Monthly Labor Review (112:11):64.
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THE COMPETITIVE EDGE: Research Priorities for U.S. Manufacturing
TABLE A-4 Percent Distribution of Employment by Occupation, 1988 and Projected 2000 Alternatives
2000
Occupation
1988
Low
Moderate
High
Total employment
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
Executive, administrative, and managerial occupations
10.2
10.8
10.8
10.9
Professional specialty occupations
12.4
13.4
13.3
13.2
Techicians and related support occupations
3.3
3.7
3.7
3.7
Marketing and sales occupations
11.3
11.6
11.7
11.6
Administrative support occupations, including clerical
17.8
17.4
17.3
17.3
Service occupations
15.6
16.7
16.6
16.4
Agriculture, forestry, fishing, and related occupations
3.0
2.4
2.4
2.5
Precision production, craft, and repair occupations
12.0
11.4
11.4
11.6
Operators, fabricators, and laborers
14.4
12.5
12.6
12.8
SOURCE: G. Silvestri and J. Lukasiewicz. 1989. Monthly Labor Review (112:11):65.
Representative terms from entire chapter:
machine setters