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Index
A
Acid rain, 26, 155, 247-248
Adaptation, 107, 108, 138, 140-142, 165nn.4 and 5
Adjustment, 107-108, 165nn.4 and 5, 241
Aerosol spray cans, 57, 117, 133
Africa, 18, 79, 127
Aggregate analysis, 96
Agrarian reform, 70
Agriculture, 168, 171, 175, 177, 179, 202
adaptive strategies, 107, 108, 140-142
biological diversity effects, 17
climate change and, 35, 107, 127, 136, 246
deforestation effects, 20, 33, 72, 74, 83, 107
greenhouse gas emissions, 18, 40, 108, 153
management systems, 97
polyculture, 4, 108, 141
population growth and, 94
productivity data, 204
Sahelian drought, 127, 128, 162
Air conditioning, 56-57, 58, 107, 118
Airlines, 122
Air pollution, 26, 66, 88, 97, 139, 152, 153, 169
Albedo, 26, 27, 179, 212
Amazon Basin, 87-88, 98
agriculture, 70, 72, 74, 140, 141
deforestation, 20-21, 36, 67-75, 99n.2, 99-100n.3, 158, 162
American bison, 99-100n.3
Ammonia, 18, 56
Analytical data and accounting, 218-219
Antarctica, 113
ozone hole, 19, 28, 54, 58, 117-118
Anthropology, 176, 238
Aral Sea, 87, 158
Arctic ozone, 28
Argentina, 82
Arms control, 252
Asia, 79
Atmosphere, 1, 26, 32
uniform law of, 21, 155
Attitudes and beliefs, 3, 75, 89-92, 95
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Australia, 82
Automobiles
fuel consumption, 48-49, 104-105, 122, 124, 133, 163
greenhouse gas emissions, 106-107
U.S. dependency, 88, 144, 175-176
B
Bangladesh, 18, 64
Beef production, 55, 71
Behavioral analysis, 21, 134
Behavioral decision research, 131-132
Behavioral science, 10, 25, 168, 171, 176, 236
Benefit-cost analysis, 192-193
Bias, 213, 215
Biological diversity, 24, 26
conflict over, 155, 247-248
data needs, 202-203
deforestation and, 17, 20-21, 25, 67-68, 99n.1, 99-100n.3
international cooperation, 248
mass extinctions, 29-30
mitigation of species loss, 107, 109, 112
research priorities, 40, 245-246
Biological sciences, 212, 216
Biomass burning, 46
Biomedical research, 224
Biosphere, 1, 26, 32
Bollen, K A., 215
Boom town development, 190
Brazil
data sampling, 219, 249
economic development policies, 20-21, 69, 70-71, 75, 93, 98, 241
energy consumption, 63
foreign debt, 71-72
land tenure, 70, 74, 93
resource use, 141
tropical deforestation, 67-75, 94, 109, 153, 155, 240
British Antarctic Survey, 54
C
California, 55, 57
Canada, 27, 36, 82
Cancer, 35, 151
skin cancer, 4, 28, 107, 117, 119, 201-202
''war on cancer,'' 224
Capitalism, 86-87, 89, 91, 94, 158, 177>
Carbon dioxide (CO2)
data availability, 215
deforestation and, 17, 18, 48
emission modeling, 182, 184
emissions, China, 53, 60, 61, 64-65, 66, 155
emissions, Europe, 82
environmental effects, 27, 35
fossil fuel emissions, 17, 48, 60, 96, 245
greenhouse effect contribution, 18, 25, 28, 33, 45-46, 47, 50, 60, 64, 200, 245
human consequences, 31
human responses, 30, 105, 106-107, 110, 155, 163
Carbon tax, 21
Carbon tetrachloride, 19, 118
Carrier, Willis H., 56
Case studies, 186, 196, 215
Cataracts, 28
Cattle raising, 36, 69, 71, 72, 128
Catton, W. R., Jr., 90
Charleston, S.C., 54
Chemical industry, 119
Chicago, Ill., 55
China
agricultural land use, 74
carbon dioxide emissions, 53, 60, 61, 64-65, 66, 155
and CFC regulations, 19, 118-119, 153
coal burning, 60-67, 86, 87, 93, 94, 155-156
data sampling, 219, 249
energy intensity, 61-64, 65, 67, 95, 126, 174
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Cholorofluorocarbons (CFC), 35, 94-95, 98, 99
aerosol spray ban, 57, 117, 133
developing countries and, 153, 155-156
economic models and, 137, 168
greenhouse gas contribution, 18, 19, 27, 28, 45-46, 47, 49, 58
invention of, 19, 56, 59-60, 93, 159
mitigation of effects, 107, 199
Montreal Protocol, 19, 58, 116-117, 118-119
ozone depletion, 17, 19-20, 28, 31-32, 54, 57-58
research issues, 174, 180, 186, 200, 202
Cities, 37, 58, 72
Climate change, 20, 24
agricultural effects, 35, 107, 127, 136, 246
carbon dioxide contribution, 18, 25, 28, 33, 45-46, 47, 50, 60, 64 , 200, 245
CFC contribution, 18, 19, 27, 28, 45-46, 47, 49, 58
deforestation and, 18, 68, 245-246
forest migration, 31
greenhouse gas emission, 18, 28, 29, 33, 66-67, 165n.3, 239
human consequences of, 26-27, 28-29
human responses to, 22, 104-105, 106-107, 113, 120, 132, 136, 143, 152-153, 163
mitigation controversy, 109-113
modeling of, 29, 32, 182, 189, 236
research issues, 170-171, 200-201, 218, 230-231, 239, 245-246, 248
tree-structured account, 45-52
Cloud patterns, 27, 29, 165n.3
Coal combustion, 87, 137
China, 60-67, 86, 87, 93, 95, 155-156
Collective action, 37, 41, 154, 156, 229-230
Command economies, 61-62, 64, 66, 67, 97-98, 157
Committee on Earth and Environmental Sciences (CEES), 10, 233, 237
Communication technology, 158
Communities, 6, 142-145
Comparative analysis, 96-97
Comparative politics, 212
Comparative studies, 6, 95-97, 164, 186, 240
Computer simulation, 188
Conflict management, 14, 115-116, 150-151, 161, 242-243, 247
Conservation of matter, 80
Contraception, 214
Convention on International Trade in Endangered Species of Wild Fauna and Flora (1973), 154
Corporations, 6, 70-71, 143, 145, 146-147, 148, 156
Costa Rica, 88
Costs
benefit-cost analysis, 192-193
data collection, 7-8, 206, 210-211, 212-213, 248
environmental protection, 85, 148
international organizations, 156
market externalities, 85-86, 136-137, 139
national research program, 15-16, 254-256
social costs, 80, 246
Cretaceous period, 30
Critical zones, 221-222
Cultural ecology, 37-39
Cultural factors, 36
Cultural identity, 159
D
Data, 42, 200-203, 234
analytical data and accounting, 218-219
availability, 7-8, 75, 127, 204-206
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costs of, 7-8, 206, 210-211, 212-213, 248
data needs, 7-8, 216-218, 248-251
information network, 206-210
local data collection, 220-222
national data center, 14, 210, 253
quality of, 8, 211-213
recommendations, 14, 16, 210, 211, 217, 219, 222, 235, 249, 255
reliability and validity, 213-214, 215, 216
remote-sensing information, 8, 209, 210, 212, 250-251
sampling nations, 219-220, 249
Data Resources, Inc., 210-211
Decision making, 22, 36-37, 153
democratization and, 158-159
environmental policy, 151-152
models, 192, 193, 194, 195, 196
research needs, 13, 152, 229-230, 242-243, 247
Decision theory, 131
Deforestation
Amazon Basin, 20-21, 67-75, 94, 162
carbon dioxide effects, 17, 18, 48
environmental effects of, 18, 31, 68, 99n.2, 245-246
human causes of, 3, 20-21, 36, 69-75, 93, 94
human responses to, 107
market valuation, 137
research needs, 36, 96, 97, 142, 152, 179, 180, 211
Sahel region, 128, 129
and species extinction, 17, 20-21, 25, 67-68, 99n.1, 99-100n.3
Democratization, 82, 158-159
Demographic Yearbooks (UN), 205
Demography, 36, 77, 176, 205, 212, 214, 227, 252
Dependency theory, 87-88, 89
Desertification, 25, 26, 127
Developing countries
data availability, 213, 219
environmental damage in economic growth, 81, 82, 87, 94, 155, 158
and Montreal Protocol, 19, 118, 153
population growth, 79, 157
Directed case comparisons, 186
Discount rates, 111, 112, 137, 139
Drought, 4, 69, 127-30, 140, 142, 162, 163-164, 242
Dunlap, R. E., Jr., 90
DuPont de Nemours & Company, Inc., 19, 58, 118, 119
Dust Bowl, 142
E
Earth
albedo, 26, 27
gene pool, 37
radiative balance, 44, 47, 106
"Earth as Transformed by Human Action," 39
Earth Observing System (EOS), 8, 209, 210, 211, 250, 251
Econometrics, 196, 215
Economic development
data availability, 204, 217
and energy intensity, 18, 61, 94, 126
and environmental conflict, 113-114, 144, 155, 162
and greenhouse gas emissions, 18, 53, 64-65, 66, 97-98
as human cause of change, 2, 75, 79-83
public policy, 20, 61-62, 66, 70-72, 82, 88
research needs, 93, 95, 200, 201, 240
resource exploitation, 80-81, 88, 90, 157
technology and, 94
Economics, 36, 91, 176, 212, 214, 238
Economic Surveys (OECD), 205
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Economic theory, 85-86, 136, 137, 139
Ecosystem diversity, 67, 68
Educational levels, 177
Ehrlich, Paul R., 76
Electricity production, 57, 63, 66, 69
Electrification, 60
Energy conservation and efficiency
automobiles and transportation, 37, 51-52, 104-105, 122, 124, 133
data availability, 211
global warming mitigation, 104-105, 113, 120, 126, 133-134, 143, 242
policy evaluation, 189, 191, 199
United States, 37, 51-52, 63, 120-127, 133
Energy consumption
air conditioning, 57
China, 61-64, 95
data availability, 204, 216-217
and economic development, 18, 61, 64-65, 126
national variations in, 1, 18, 36, 78, 240, 245
United States, 18, 35-36, 37, 63, 109, 120, 122, 126, 174
Energy demand, 53, 59, 201
Energy intensity
China, 61-64, 65, 67, 95, 126, 174
national variations in, 13, 62, 245
research needs, 245
United States, 37, 120-121, 126, 245
Energy prices, 122-124, 125, 126, 137, 218
Enlightenment, 90
Environmental change, 25-33
Environmental change, human causes of, 17, 18, 44-45, 53-54
attitudes and beliefs, 3, 75, 89-92, 95
economic growth, 2, 75, 79-83
human and environmental system interaction, 1, 33-34, 42-43
mitigation of, 4, 105-107, 163, 165n.2
political-economic institutions, 3, 75, 85-89, 197
population growth, 2, 75, 76-79
research and research needs, 3, 40-42, 92-93, 95-99, 167, 239-241
social driving forces, 75-76, 93-95
social sciences and, 21-22, 24, 35-37, 40-42, 236-237
technological change, 2-3, 75, 77, 83-85
tree-structured accounting system for, 45-53, 92
Environmental change, human consequences of, 1-2, 4, 22, 27, 28, 31, 33, 34-35, 101, 102-104, 116
conflict, 4-5, 109-116
research and research needs, 4, 37, 160-162, 167, 237
valuation of, 13, 161, 192-194, 246
Environmental change, human responses to, 2, 5, 17, 101, 104-109, 116
adaptation, 107-108, 138, 140-142, 165nn.4, 5
assessment of consequences and, 28, 103-104, 160-161, 187
decision making, 151-152, 242-243, 247
feedback to driving forces, 22-23, 24, 164, 168
global social change, 6, 130-131, 156-60, 177
individual perception, judgment, and action, 5, 130-136, 142
international cooperation, 5-6, 14, 19, 130-131, 152-156, 158, 177 , 180, 181, 248
markets, 5, 104, 130-131, 136-139, 157-158, 162
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mitigation, 4, 105-107, 109-113, 163-164, 241
national policies, 5, 130-131, 147-152, 179
post hoc analysis of, 7, 104, 190-191, 198-199
research and research needs, 4, 6, 103-104, 160-161, 162-164, 237, 238, 241-244
social system robustness, 4, 108, 162-163, 166n.6, 241, 242
sociocultural systems, 5, 130-131, 140-143, 158, 162-163
subnational-level organizations, 5, 130-131, 143-147
Environmental conflict, 13-14, 109, 114-115, 116
conflict management, 14, 115-116, 150-151, 161, 242-243, 247
economic development and environmental protection, 113-114, 144, 155, 162
global warming mitigation, 109-113
reflexivity and, 180-181
research needs, 4-5, 160, 161, 247-248
Environmental degradation, 76-77, 80, 90, 130
Environmental ethics, 90
Environmental history, 37-39
Environmental impact statements, 199
Environmental management, 177
Environmental movement organizations, 117, 118, 134-135, 145-146, 147, 148, 150, 156
Environmental paradigm, 90
Environmental perception, 37-38, 171
Environmental psychology, 38
Environmental quality, 81, 88, 124, 157-158, 216-217
Environmental regulations, 148, 149, 150, 179, 242
Environmental sociology, 38
Environmental spillovers, 153, 218, 219
Environmental systems, 1, 26, 30-34, 102, 164, 168, 169, 181, 241
Ethnography, 190
Europe, 27
energy consumption, 36, 240
environmental movement in, 146, 147
environmental policies, 147-48, 149
gasoline taxes, 104-105
pollutant emissions, 82, 153
resource use, 81-82
sampling nations, 219, 249
social and political transformations, 175, 177
European settlement in America, 104
Expert judgments, 132, 151
F
Famine, 4, 127, 128, 129
Farman, Joseph, 54
Feedback mechanisms, 22-23, 24, 26, 35, 94, 168-169
Fellowships, 9, 14-15, 16, 228, 229, 235, 251, 252, 255
Fertility rates, 77-78, 111, 176, 179-180, 211, 214
Fertilizers, 18, 106-107
Florida, 55, 57
Food and Agriculture Organization, 204-205
Food production, 13, 55-56, 94, 217, 245-246
Forest migration, 31, 111-112, 166n.8
Fossil fuels, 35, 71, 74, 83
carbon dioxide emission, 17, 18, 46, 96, 245
Chinese consumption, 60-61, 65, 94
consumption trends, 41-42, 174, 178, 186
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dependency on, 108
economic development and, 64-65, 94, 97, 113
energy conservation and, 122, 126
global warming effects, 33, 60, 239
replacement technologies, 81, 107, 110, 112
research needs, 152, 178
taxes, 104-105, 163-164
France, 148, 149
Frankfurt school, 89
Freon gas, 56-57
Funding
national research program, 15-16, 235, 254-256
program evaluation, 199
research, 11, 12, 224-225, 231-232, 238, 244-245
training fellowships, 14, 227-228, 229, 255
G
Gasoline taxes, 104-105, 163-164
General circulation models (GCM), 32, 172, 181, 182, 236
General Motors Frigidaire division, 56
Genetic diversity, 67
Geography, 36, 38, 176, 212
Geopolitical shifts, 158
Geosphere, 1, 26
Germany, 147-148, 149, 218
Global-scale analysis, 95-96
Global social change, 6, 130-131, 156-60, 177
Global warming. See Climate change
Gran Carajas, Brazil, 69
Grand Canyon, 80
Great Britain, 147-148, 149
Great Plains, 141-142, 179
Greece, 126
Greenhouse effect. See Climate change
Greenhouse gases, 25, 26
Chinese emissions, 60, 64, 67
climate change effects, 18, 28, 29, 33, 66-67, 165n.3
deforestation effects, 67
economic growth and, 18, 53, 64-65, 66, 97-98
human contributions, 27, 45-46, 47, 49-51, 59, 60, 92, 239
human mitigation responses, 104, 108, 113, 126
international cooperation, 153
market effects, 97
models, 178, 181, 236
research priorities, 40, 200
U.S. emissions, 50, 60, 64, 88
Gross national product, 79, 211, 215, 218, 219
H
Haas, P.M., 119
Halocarbons, 49, 99
Halons, 19
Hardin, R., 90
Harvard University, 252
Hazardous waste, 169
History, 176
Home energy rating systems, 125
Homer-Dixon, T. F., 115
Human behavior, 17
projection of, 21-22, 32-33
reflexivity of, 167, 174, 180-181, 182, 194
unanticipated consequences of, 31
Human ecology, 37-39, 171
Human health, 28, 217
Humanism, 90
Human systems, 1, 26, 30, 173-174
and conflict management, 161
environmental system interaction, 33-34, 101, 106, 164, 181, 241
global social change, 6, 130-131, 156-60, 177
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individual perception, judgment, and action, 5, 130-136, 142
international cooperation, 5-6, 130-131, 152-156
interventions in, 106, 107
irreversibility, 175
markets, 5, 130-131, 136-139
national policies, 5, 130-131, 147-152, 179
research priorities, 97, 109, 239-240, 241
responses of, 103, 110, 116, 126, 187
robustness of systems, 108, 242
sociocultural systems, 5, 130-131, 140-143
subnational-level organizations, 5, 130-131, 143-147
theory of, 197
Hungary, 62, 177-178
Hydrochlorofluorocarbons (HCFC), 19, 47, 49
Hydroelectric power, 20, 61, 69
Hydrohalocarbons, 19
Hydrosphere, 1, 26
I
Immune system response, 28
Income, 79, 178, 204, 218
India
data sampling, 219, 249
energy consumption, 18, 62, 63, 64, 78
greenhouse gas emissions, 153, 155
and Montreal Protocol, 19, 118-119
population growth, 111
Individual perception, judgment, and action, 5, 130-136, 142
Indonesia, 63, 64, 75, 155, 218, 240
Industrialization, 60, 61, 64-65, 88, 126, 179
Industrial Revolution, 17, 18, 177, 241
Industry, 175
deforestation, 68, 69, 72
energy consumption, 61-62, 63, 65, 97, 126, 159
and environmental protection, 146, 150
pollutant emissions, 17, 169
Information network, 206-210
Institutional structures, 9, 36, 223, 224-226
Integrated circuit manufacture, 57
Integrative models, 7, 181-182, 185, 198
Inter-American Development Bank, 69
Interdependencies, 30-31, 32, 167, 173, 174, 180, 182, 186
Interdisciplinary collaboration, 25, 37-38, 77, 164, 167, 168, 193-194.
See also Social and natural science collaboration
barriers to, 10-11
data collection, 212
national research program, 9, 226, 253
necessity of, 6, 95, 186, 196-197
recommendations, 225-226
research priorities, 32, 42, 93, 174-175, 229, 230-232, 243
in social sciences, 171-172
Interest groups, 148-149, 150
Interest rates, 137
Intergovernmental organizations, 156
International agreements, 19, 58, 59, 116-120, 138, 147, 168
International Atomic Energy Agency, 177
International collaboration, research, 42, 243-244
International Convention for the Regulation of Whaling (1946), 154
International cooperation, environmental, 5-6, 14, 19, 130-131, 152-156, 158, 177, 180, 181, 248
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International Council of Scientific Unions, 24
International Federation of Institutes for Advanced Studies, 25
International Geosphere-Biosphere Programme (IGBP), 24
International Labor Organization, 204-205
International Monetary Fund, 204-205, 210-211
International Social Science Council, 25
Inter-university Consortium for Political and Social Research (ICPSR), 205, 207
Investment, 163, 177, 179
Iron, 30, 110
Irreversible changes, 31, 92, 167, 173, 175-176, 182
Irrigation, 87, 127, 130
Islam, 159
J
Jamaica, 62
Japan, 218
energy consumption, 18, 36, 126
environmental policies, 147, 148, 149
gasoline taxes, 104-105
and Montreal Protocol, 118
Java, 74
Judeo-Christian tradition, 89
K
Korea, 63
L
Labor, 87, 162, 188
Labor force participation, 53, 177
Lag times, 31-32, 167, 173, 177
Land degradation, 142
Land distribution, 74, 218
Land speculation, 70
Land tenure, 70, 107, 152
Land use
agricultural, 179
data needs, 201, 203, 217
and deforestation, 71, 72-75, 129
research priorities, 13, 36, 142, 182, 212, 245-246
Land values, 216
Latin America, 79, 88
Law of the atmosphere, 21, 155
Law of the sea, 155
Leisure time budgets, 216
Lesotho, 18
Levins, R., 183
Library of Congress, 211
Local data collection, 220-222
Logging industry, 69, 71, 72
Louis Harris Data Center, 205
M
Mahar, D., 70
Malthus, Thomas R., 39, 76
"Man's Role in Changing the Face of the Earth," 39
Manufacturing, 69, 81, 120-121, 152
Manufacturing solvents, 57, 58
Market economies, 86-87, 175
Markets, 3, 130-131, 177, 179
data sources, 203
as expression of individual attitudes, 91, 135
externalities, 85-86, 136-137, 139
failure to prevent environmental damage, 80-81, 85-87, 124, 136-137, 157
governmental intervention, 86, 124
as human response, 5, 104, 136-139, 157-158, 162
oil, 96
research priorities, 89, 97, 139, 162-163, 242
and technological change, 83-84
valuation of consequences, 86, 139, 192, 246
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Marsh, George Perkins, 39
Massachusetts Institute of Technology, 252
Materialism, 89, 90, 94, 97
Mathematical models, 31, 182, 183
Media, mass communications, 151
Methane (CH4)
atmospheric concentrations, 27, 200
global warming effects, 18, 28, 33
human contributions, 18, 33, 45-46, 47, 48, 52, 153
Methodology, 6, 167, 214-216, 223, 234
data interpretation, 211, 212, 213
experimental methods, 185-186
global models, 181-185, 188-190, 194-196
methodological pluralism, 7, 186, 198
social impact assessment, 187-192
valuation of consequences, 192-194
Methyl chloride, 56
Methyl chloroform, 19, 118
Midgely, Thomas, Jr., 56, 59
Mining, 68, 87
"Mission to Planet Earth," 211
Mitigation, 4, 105-107, 138, 165n.2, 241
energy conservation, 104-105, 113, 120, 126, 133-134, 143, 242
global warming, 109-113, 120, 126, 163
international cooperation and, 153, 180
ozone depletion, 107, 180
policy evaluation, 189-190
species extinction, 107, 112
Mitigation and Adaptation Research Strategies, 16, 237, 256
Modeling, 7, 32-33, 172-173, 174-175, 181-185, 188-190, 194-196, 198
Modernization, 128
Molina, Mario, 57
"Monitoring of Population Trends" (UN), 205
Montreal Protocol on Substances that Deplete the Ozone Layer (1987) , 19, 58, 59, 116-117, 118
London Amendments (1990), 19, 58, 116-117, 118
Mortality, 204
Multivariate analysis, 186
N
National Accounts (OECD), 205
National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA), 117, 209, 211, 232, 233, 250
National Bureau of Economic Research, 252
National Center for Atmospheric Research, 227, 253
National centers for research, 9, 15, 16, 226-227, 252-254
National data center, 14, 210, 253
National Environmental Policy Act (1970), 187
National income accounts, 204, 218
National Institutes of the Environment, 227, 254-256
National Institutes of Health, 227, 232-233, 253-254
National Oceanographic and Atmospheric Administration, 232
National policies, 5, 130-131, 147-152, 179.
See also Public policy
National Research Council (NRC), 16, 78, 255-256
Committee on the Human Dimensions of Global Change, 24, 208, 221
National research program, 10-16, 40, 235, 249, 254-256
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National Science Foundation (NSF), 10, 232-233, 237
funding recommendations, 11, 12, 15, 235, 238-239, 244-245, 254-255
National security, 158
Native Americans, 72, 141
Natural disasters, 142-143, 170-171
Natural hazards, 37-38, 165n.5, 171
Natural sciences, 35, 41, 170-171, 192, 196, 249.
See also Social and natural science collaboration
Nigeria, 64, 128, 162
Nitrogen oxides, 28, 213
Nitrous oxide (N2O), 18, 28, 45-46, 47, 48, 106-107
Nongovernmental organizations, 142-143, 148, 151
Nonlinearity, 31, 167, 173, 175, 182
Nonmarket activity, 219
Nonmarket use of time, 218
Nonmarket valuation, 216
Normative forecasting, 195
Nuclear power, 61, 83, 132, 169, 188
O
Oceans, 26, 30, 106, 110
Oil, 96, 137
Oil shocks, 121, 122-123, 126
Oil spills, 218
Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD), 7-8, 201, 205, 210-211, 218
Overgrazing, 127, 128, 130
Ozone layer depletion, 24, 26, 99
Antarctica, 19, 28, 54, 58, 117-118
chlorofluorocarbon accumulation in, 17, 19, 28, 32, 54, 57-60
externalities costs, 85-86
human consequences of, 28, 35, 201-202
human responses to, 37, 107, 108, 133, 199 202, 236
international cooperation, 19-20, 59, 116-120, 152-153, 154, 155, 168, 248
Montreal Protocol, 19, 58, 59, 116-117, 118
research priorities, 119-120, 168, 180, 248
time scales, 27, 32
P
Pakistan, 18, 64
Pará, Brazil, 74
Permian period, 30
Pesticides, 169
Physical science, 32, 212, 216
Phytoplankton, 30, 110
Poland, 62, 177-178
Policy analysis, 192, 194
Policy evaluation, 22, 164, 189-190, 191, 199
Political-economic institutions, 3, 75, 85-89, 197
Political factors, 36
Political process, 192, 193, 195
Political science, 38, 156, 176, 238
Pollution
air pollution, 26, 66, 88, 97, 139, 152, 153, 169
international cooperation and, 153, 169, 248
markets and, 97
national policies and, 66, 82, 88, 179
oceans, 26
population growth and, 157
research priorities, 139, 152, 182
and species extinction, 31
technological development and, 59, 83
Polyculture, 4, 108, 141
Population growth, 111, 157, 179-180, 191, 227
as cause of environmental change, 2, 75, 76-79
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data availability, 204, 209, 214, 215, 217
and deforestation, 20, 36, 72
and economic growth, 79
and energy consumption, 60, 61, 65, 126
feedback mechanisms, 94
and global warming, 18, 200, 201
research priorities, 95, 97, 240
and technological development, 83-84
Portugal, 126
Post hoc analysis, 7, 104, 190-191, 198-199
Postmaterialism, 135
Poverty, 74, 87, 108
Princeton University, 226, 252, 253
Professional associations, 10, 231
Property rights, 81, 86, 137, 152, 241
Protestant theology, 89
Psychology, 38, 45, 132, 215, 238
Public opinion, 19, 38, 150, 211, 219, 241
Public policy, 21, 147-152, 161, 179
capitalism and, 86-87, 148
China, 61-62, 63, 65-66, 67
and deforestation, 20-21, 69-72, 75, 96
economic development, 20, 61-62, 66, 70-72, 82, 88
and energy consumption, 36, 63, 67
environmental movement and, 145, 148, 150
evaluation of, 22, 164, 191, 192, 193, 194, 199
and global warming, 126, 164, 200
indigenous response systems and, 129-130
individual reactions and, 135
markets and, 138
ozone depletion, 202
research priorities, 89, 95, 96, 149-151, 195, 196, 241
technological development, 84
U.S. energy conservation, 88, 123-124
Public transportation, 37, 144
Q
Quasi-experimentation, 185-186
R
Rainfall
adaptation to, 141-142
deforestation and, 68, 99n.2
global warming and, 26, 29, 34, 127, 165n.3
models of, 171, 181, 189
Sahel region, 128, 129
Rand Corporation, 253-254
Randomized experiments, 185
Rationalism, 89
Reagan, Ronald, 177-178
Recommendations, 235
data, 14, 211, 217, 219, 222, 248-251
fellowships, 9-10, 14-15, 228, 251-252
funding, 15-16, 254-256
information network, 209-210
interdisciplinary research, 225-226
national centers for research, 9, 15, 226, 252-254
national research program, 10-16, 235-256
program evaluation, 199
research grants, 11-14, 231, 233-234, 237-248
Recycling, 82, 97
Reflexivity, 167, 174, 180-181, 182, 194
Refrigeration industry, 54-60, 83, 94, 98, 117, 118, 159
Remote-sensing information, 8, 209, 210, 212, 250-251
Renewable energy, 112
Research
data needs, 7-8, 14, 42, 209,
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210, 211, 216, 219, 222, 248-251
environmental conflict, 5, 114-116, 242-243, 247-248
federal organizational barriers to, 10, 232-234
fellowships, 14-15, 227-230, 251-252
focused, 12-14, 244-248
funding, 15-16, 254-256
institutional structures of, 9, 224-226
interdisciplinary collaboration in, 10, 42, 168-172, 196-197, 223, 230-232, 243
investigator-initiated, 11, 238-244
methodology issues, 7, 167, 181-182, 185-186, 191-192, 193, 194, 196, 198, 214-215, 223
national centers for research, 9, 15, 226-227, 252-254
national research program, 10-16, 235, 254-256
priorities for, 13-14, 40-42, 95-99, 237-248
theory issues, 41, 167, 174-175, 176, 178, 180-181, 197-198
Research, human causes of global change, 3, 40-42, 92-93, 95-99, 167, 239-241
attitudes and beliefs, 91-92
economic growth, 82-83
political-economic institutions, 89
population growth, 77-79
social driving forces, 75, 93-95, 237-238, 239-240
technological change, 84-85, 246-247
Research, human responses to global change, 4, 6, 103-104, 160-161, 162-164, 237, 238, 241-244
communities, 144-145
corporations and trade associations, 147
individual perception and action, 132-133, 134, 135-136
international cooperation, 155-156, 248
markets, 138, 139
national policies, 149-151, 152
post hoc program analysis, 7, 104, 190-191, 198-199
social movements, 146
sociocultural systems, 142, 143, 242
Research Strategies for the U.S. Global Change Research Program (NRC), 221
Resource depletion
data collection, 217, 218, 219
economic development and, 80-81, 88, 90, 157
global-scale analysis, 179
population growth and, 39
sustainable zones, 222
technology and, 83
Resource economics, 37-38, 39-40
Resource management, 37-38, 40, 81, 171
Resources for the Future, 227, 253-254
Respiration, animal and plant, 46
Rice paddies, 18, 153
Risk analysis, 193
Road building, 20, 36, 68, 69-70
Roper Center for Public Opinion Research, 205
Rosewood, 99n.1, 99-100n.3
Rowland, Sherwood, 57
Rubber tappers, 72
S
Sahel region, Africa, 127-30, 140, 141, 162-163, 179
Sample surveys, 204
Sampling, 219-220, 249
Scripps Oceanographic Institution, 226, 253
Sea levels, 27, 102, 157, 216
Slash-and-burn cultivation, 140
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Social and natural science collaboration, 24-25.
See also Interdisciplinary collaboration
accounting systems, 52
data collection, 222
incentives for, 9-10, 230, 236-237, 243, 251-252
national research program, 10-11, 226, 253
necessity of, 21-22, 42-43, 168, 169, 170-171, 223, 234
Social change, global, 6, 130-131, 156-60, 177
Social conflict, 229-230, 238, 247.
See also Conflict management
Social costs, 80, 246
Social discount rates, 111, 112, 137, 139
Social driving forces, 75-76, 93-95
Social impact assessment (SIA), 187-188, 189-190, 191, 192, 193
Socialization, 177
Social models, 196
Social movements, 6, 143, 145-146, 211
Social paradigm, 90
Social revolutions, 175
Social science, 25, 35-40
applied and basic research, 41, 192, 233-234
and behavioral science, 171-172
data availability, 204, 209, 210, 212, 216, 249, 250
and decision making, 153
and environmental conflict, 114, 115
environmental social science, 9, 37-40, 43, 95, 171, 180, 227, 232-233
federal agencies and, 10, 232-234
and global change research, 35-40, 168-170, 236
levels of analysis and time scales, 99, 176, 179, 240
modeling, 174-175, 185, 188-189, 196
national research centers, 252
and nonlinearities, 175
policy evaluation, 164, 190-191
population growth in, 76, 77
professional associations, 231
and reflexivity, 181
research priorities, 40-42, 237-238
research techniques, 97, 185-186
social impact assessment methodology, 187-188, 189-190
theoretical tools, 6, 41
valuation methods, 192-193
Social science theory, 6, 197, 204
Social systems, 102
robustness of, 4, 108, 162-163, 166n.6, 241, 242
Social transformations, 177-178
Social traps, 37
Sociocultural systems, 5, 130-131, 140-143, 158, 162-163
Socioeconomic marginalization, 158
Socioeconomic organization, 179
Sociology, 45, 215, 238
Soils, 25, 26, 31, 68, 80, 140, 141, 169
Soil scientists, 169
Solar energy, 110, 163
South Africa, 62
South Korea, 53
Soviet Union, 159, 178
Aral Sea, 87, 158
carbon dioxide emissions, 60
coal production, 60-61
data sampling, 219, 249
energy consumption, 63
environmental movement in, 135
and Montreal Protocol, 118
Spatial scales, 178-180
Species diversity, 29-30, 44, 67-68, 99n.2
Species extinction, 20, 30, 31, 34, 99n.1, 99-100n.3, 107, 109, 112, 240
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Stalin, Josef V., 61-62
Statistical analysis, 213, 216
Statistical Yearbooks (UN), 205
Steel industry, 124
Suburbanization, 144, 176
SUDAM, 71
Sulfur dioxide, 56
Sulfur oxide, 66
Sun Belt, 57, 60
Supersonic transport, 57, 117
Survey data, 216-217
Survey research, 186
Sustainable zones, 222
Systemic analysis, 96
T
Taiwan, 53
Technology, 90
conflicts over, 114, 116
and deforestation, 36
and energy use, 120-121, 122, 123-124
and environmental change, 2-3, 13, 75, 77, 83-85, 93, 94-95, 97, 159, 177, 246-247
and environmental policies, 148, 159
fossil fuel replacement, 81, 107, 110, 112
and global warming, 18, 200, 201
unanticipated consequences, 60, 92, 98
Texas, 57
Theory construction, 6, 32, 167, 172-174, 182, 190, 197-198, 212, 217, 234
time scales, 41, 99, 172-173, 176
Third World, 3, 87, 88, 113, 144, 209
Time lags, 31-32, 167, 173, 177
Time scales, 27, 41, 98, 99, 164, 172-173, 176-178, 240-241
Time-series data, 200, 201, 209, 217
Toxic Substances Control Act (1976), 117
Trade associations, 6, 143, 145, 146-147
Training programs, 9-10, 223, 227-230
Transportation, 59, 64, 88, 107, 126
Tree-structured accounting system, 45-53, 92
Trinidad and Tobago, 62
Tropical forest destruction.
See also Deforestation
greenhouse gas contribution, 18, 35, 153, 240
land use in, 71, 72-75, 140
restriction of, 107, 113
species extinction, 17, 20, 21, 30, 67-69, 240
U
Ultraviolet radiation, 44, 246
data collection, 201, 202
human responses to, 4, 133, 236
ozone depletion and, 28, 54, 57, 107
Unanticipated consequences, 31, 60, 163, 167, 173, 174, 199
United Nations, 79, 204-205
United Nations Environment Programme, 117, 156, 205
United States
air pollution, 153
attitudes and beliefs in, 135
automobile dependency, 88, 144, 175-176
carbon dioxide emissions, 50, 60, 64
CFC regulations, 57, 117, 118, 119
coal production and use, 60-61, 63
and data availability, 7-8, 14, 210, 211, 219, 249-250
data sampling, 219, 249
deregulation, 177-178
economic development, 82
energy conservation, 37, 51-52, 63, 120-127, 133
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energy consumption, 18, 35-36, 37, 63, 109, 120, 122, 126, 174
energy policies, 84, 123-124
environmental movement in, 145, 146
environmental policies, 147-148, 149
fellowship programs, 14, 251
government barriers to research, 10-11, 232-234
national forests, 86
national research program, 11, 15-16, 235, 252, 254-256
and population growth, 77
water allocation, 137
U.S. Army Corps of Engineers, 88
U.S. Atomic Energy Commission, 88
U.S. Census Bureau, 205, 232-233
U.S. Congress, 117
U.S. Department of Agriculture, 233
U.S. Department of Commerce, 218-219
U.S. Department of Education, 232-233
U.S. Department of Energy, 233
U.S. Department of Health and Human Services, 232-233
U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development, 232-233
U.S. Department of Interior, 88
U.S. Department of Labor, 232-233
U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), 117, 118, 232, 233
U.S. Global Change Research Program (USGCRP), 16, 232-233, 237, 250 , 254, 255-256
Universities, 9, 225, 226-227, 228, 229, 251, 254
University of Chicago, 225
University of Connecticut, 205
University of Michigan, 205
University of North Carolina, 205
Urbanization, 157, 176, 240, 241
Utility companies, 125
V
Valuation of consequences, 13, 161, 192-194, 246
Vienna Convention for the Protection of the Ozone Layer (1985), 116 -117, 118
W
Warfare, 158, 175
Waste disposal, 80-81
Waste management, 82, 89
Water allocation, 137, 138, 142
Water resource management, 132
Women, 53, 177
World Bank, 69, 72, 79, 177, 204-205
World Health Organization, 204-205
World Meteorological Organization, 117
World Population Trends and Policies (UN), 205
World Tables (World Bank), 205
Y
Yemen, 62
Z
Zaire, 75, 153, 240
Zambia, 18, 62
Representative terms from entire chapter:
international cooperation