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Capability Surprise for U.S. Naval Forces: Initial Observations and Insights: Interim Report (2013)

Chapter: Enclosure B: Summary of Committee Meetings and Site Visit

« Previous: Enclosure A: Terms of Reference
Suggested Citation:"Enclosure B: Summary of Committee Meetings and Site Visit." National Research Council. 2013. Capability Surprise for U.S. Naval Forces: Initial Observations and Insights: Interim Report. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/18270.
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Enclosure B
Summary of Committee Meetings and Site Visit

The committee on Capability Surprise for U.S. Naval Forces was first convened in February 2012. Over a period of 4 months, the committee has held three data-gathering meetings which included presentations from outside experts and discussion and debate among the committee. A summary of the committee’s meetings, thus far, is provided below:

February 28-March 1, 2012, in Washington, D.C.: First full committee meeting. Briefings on information and intelligence perspectives from the Office of Naval Intelligence Scientific and Technical Center and the National Maritime Intelligence-Integration Office; operational perspectives from the Assistant Deputy Chief of Naval Operations for Operations, Plans, and Strategy (N3/N5B); Marine Corps perspectives from the Commanding General, Marine Corps Combat Development Command/Deputy Commandant for Combat Development and Integration; Office of Naval Research perspectives from the Executive Director, Office of Naval Research; fleet readiness and logistics perspectives from the Deputy Chief of Naval Operations for Fleet Readiness and Logistics (N4); cyber perspectives from the Deputy Commander, U.S. Fleet Cyber Command/Deputy Commander, U.S. TENTH Fleet; rapid prototyping perspectives from the Director, Rapid Prototyping Technology Office, Principal Deputy, Deputy Assistant Secretary of Defense for Rapid Fielding; U.S. Coast Guard perspectives from the Assistant Commandant for Capability; and the Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency (DARPA) perspectives from the program managers, Tactical Technology Office, DARPA.

April 11-12, 2012, in Washington, D.C.: Second full committee meeting. Briefings on capability surprise with perspectives from the Office of the Chief of Naval Operations, Assessment Division (N81); the Assistant Secretary of the Navy for Research, Development, Test and Evaluation; the former Commandant of the U.S. Coast Guard (ADM Thad W. Allen, USCG, retired); the Program Executive Officer, Littoral Combat Ships; the Naval War College and its Modeling and Analysis Department; SSBN (nuclear powered, ballistic-missile-carrying submarine) Security Program; Chief of Naval Operations Strategic Studies Group; and the NRC Committee on Avoiding Technology Surprise for Tomorrow’s Warfighter.

May 2, 2012, in Washington, D.C. at the Naval Research Laboratory: Site visit and small group data-gathering session. Briefings from the Tactical Electronic Warfare Division, Naval Research Laboratory on electronic warfare support measures, electronic countermeasures and supporting counter-countermeasures, and studies on modeling and simulation for improving the performance of electronic warfare systems.

May 16-17, 2012, Washington, D.C.: Third full committee meeting. Briefings on capability surprise with perspectives from the NeXTech, Emerging Capabilities Division Rapid Reaction Technology Office, Deputy Assistant Secretary of Defense for Rapid Fielding; Air Force Red Team, Lincoln Laboratory Air Vehicle Survivability Evaluation Program; Space Systems, Strategic and Space Systems, Office of the Assistant Secretary

Suggested Citation:"Enclosure B: Summary of Committee Meetings and Site Visit." National Research Council. 2013. Capability Surprise for U.S. Naval Forces: Initial Observations and Insights: Interim Report. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/18270.
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of Defense for Research and Engineering and the Office of the Under Secretary of Defense for Acquisition, Technology and Logistics, and the Office of the Deputy Chief of Naval Operations for Information Dominance (N2/N6), “Operation Burnt Frost,” Program Executive, Aegis Ballistic Missile Defense, and the Air and Missile Defense Department, Johns Hopkins University, Applied Physics Laboratory; the Assistant Chief of Staff for Concepts, Navy Warfare Development Command; and the Pacific Fleet Command, Warfighting Assessment and Readiness.

Suggested Citation:"Enclosure B: Summary of Committee Meetings and Site Visit." National Research Council. 2013. Capability Surprise for U.S. Naval Forces: Initial Observations and Insights: Interim Report. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/18270.
×
Page 23
Suggested Citation:"Enclosure B: Summary of Committee Meetings and Site Visit." National Research Council. 2013. Capability Surprise for U.S. Naval Forces: Initial Observations and Insights: Interim Report. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/18270.
×
Page 24
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A letter dated December 21, 2011, to National Academy of Sciences President Dr. Ralph Cicerone from the Chief of Naval Operations, ADM Jonathan W. Greenert, U.S. Navy, requested that the National Research Council's (NRC's) Naval Studies Board (NSB) conduct a study to examine the issues surrounding capability surprise—both operationally and technically related—facing the U.S. naval services. Accordingly, in February 2012, the NRC, under the auspices of its NSB, established the Committee on Capability Surprise for U.S. Naval Forces. The study's terms of reference, provided in Enclosure A of this interim report, were formulated by the Office of the Chief of Naval Operations (CNO) in consultation with the NSB chair and director. The terms of reference charge the committee to produce two reports over a 15-month period. The present report is the first of these, an interim report issued, as requested, following the third full committee meeting.

The terms of reference direct that the committee in its two reports do the following: (1) Select a few potential capability surprises across the continuum from disruptive technologies, to intelligence inferred capability developments, through operational deployments and assess what U.S. Naval Forces are doing (and could do) about these surprises while mindful of future budgetary declines; (2) Review and assess the adequacy of current U.S. Naval Forces' policies, strategies, and operational and technical approaches for addressing these and other surprises; and (3) Recommend any changes, including budgetary and organizational changes, as well as identify any barriers and/or leadership issues that must be addressed for responding to or anticipating such surprises including developing some of our own surprises to mitigate against unanticipated surprises.

Capability Surprise for U.S. Naval Forces: Initial Observations and Insights: Interim Report highlights issues brought to the committee's attention during its first three meetings and provides initial observations and insights in response to each of the three tasks above. It is very much an interim report that neither addresses in its entirety any one element of the terms of reference nor reaches final conclusions on any aspect of capability surprise for naval forces. The committee will continue its study during the coming months and expects to complete by early summer 2013 its final report, which will address all of the elements in the study's terms of reference and explore many potential issues of capability surprise for U.S. naval forces not covered in this interim report.

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