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Appendix D: Presentations and Committee Meetings Washington, DC, January 16-17, 2012 Proliferation Risk Assessments: A Policy-Maker’s Observations, Dunbar Lockwood, National Nuclear Security Administration, DOE, Office of Nonproliferation and International Security, NA-24 DOE/NE Perspectives on the National Academies Proliferation Risk Assessment Project, Andrew Griffith, Office of Nuclear Energy, DOE Phase One Workshop Overview: Policy-Side Perspective, Sharon Squassoni, Center for Strategic and International Studies Phase One Workshop Overview: Technical Perspective, William Charlton, Texas A&M University Overview of Proliferation Risk Methodologies, William Charlton, Texas A&M University Assessing Proliferation Risk: Approaches from Quantitative Political Science, Jeff Kaplow, University of California, San Diego Washington, DC, March 26-27, 2012 Recent Nonproliferation Policy Decisions, Joyce Connery, Nuclear Energy Office of International Economics, National Security Council Progress and Application of Proliferation Risk Reduction to the Design of a Reprocessing Facility, John Herzceg, Office of Fuel Cycle Technologies, Office of Nuclear Energy Nonproliferation Decision-Making Within Congress, Mary Beth Nikitin, Congressional Research Service Government Agencies Outside of DOS and DOE Using Proliferation Risk Assessments, Ray Richardson, U.S. Central Intelligence Agency Stanford, CA, May 11, 2012 Host State Intentions: Political Science Perspectives, Christopher Way, Cornell University Determinants of Nuclear Proliferation, Erik Gartzke, Department of Political Science, University California, San Diego Thoughts on Proliferation Risk Assessment, Chris Whipple, ENVIRON Proliferation Analysis: Methodologies, Assessments, and Warning Indicators, Lisa Owens Davis, Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory 74
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APPENDIX D 75 Livermore, CA, May 22-23, 2012 TAMU’s TPRA [Technical Proliferation Resistance Assessments]Methodology and TPRAs State of the Art, William Charlton, Texas A&M University Proliferation Resistance Assessment: GIF, INPRO, and IAEA Safeguards, Jon R. Phillips, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory Gen IV Working Group PR&PP Methodology, Robert Bari, Brookhaven National Laboratory Nuclear Energy Materials Applied to Nuclear Weapons, Vladimir Georgevich, Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory LLNL Z-Division Proliferation Events, Mary Beth Ward, Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory LLNL Z-Division Host State Assessments for Government Decisions, Lisa Owens Davis, Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory Albuquerque, NM, July 9-10, 2012 Technical Assessments of Proliferation Risk and the Nuclear Supplier’s Group Review of Dual Use Technology List, Jeff Bedell, Los Alamos National Laboratory Probabilistic Effectiveness Methodology (PEM) for the Domestic Nuclear Detection Office (DNDO), A Transportation Pathways Risk Assessment, James Smith, Los Alamos National Laboratory DNDO’s Global Nuclear Detection Architecture Adversary Risk Model, Steven Streetman, Domestic Nuclear Detection Office, Department of Homeland Security Probabilistic Risk Analysis Background and Applications, David Johnson, ABS Consulting Threat Assessments for Cyber-Security, Rafail Ostrovsky, University of California, Los Angeles Washington, DC, September 12-13, 2012 Utilization of Prioritization Methodologies by Policymakers, Phillip Dolliff, Office of Cooperative Threat Reduction, Department of State International Aspects of the Tasking and Safeguards, Kory Budlong-Sylvester, Los Alamos National Laboratory Improving the Assessment of Proliferation Risk of Nuclear Fuel Cycles, Michael Rosenthal, past member of International Atomic Energy Agency’s Standing Advisory Group on Safeguards Implementation SILEX Risk Assessment Panel with Global Laser Enrichment Evaluation Team, Donald M. Kerr, George Mason University; Susan Koch, independent consultant; and Gordon Oehler, Potomac Institute for Policy Studies How to Develop Complex Nuclear Risk Messages for the Public, Hank Jenkins- Smith, Oklahoma State University Models on Countries’ Intent, Brian Lessenberry