• Interpretation of uncertainty. There are a variety of methods for documenting and interpreting uncertainties and evaluating the extent to which uncertainties impact confidence in the scientific conclusions associated with a jeopardy decision. In particular, the NRC will consider the selection and use of uncertainty factors to account for lack of data on formulation toxicity, synergy, additivity, etc., and how the choice of those factors affects the estimates of uncertainty.
• Geospatial information and datasets. Location of the habitat is an important component of successfully protecting the impacted species. Much variability in datasets, geospatial layers, and scale contributes to uncertainty. The NRC will consider what constitutes authoritative geospatial information, including spatial and temporal scale that most appropriately delineates habitat of the species and the duration of potential effects.
In its deliberations, the NRC will focus on the scientific and technical methods and approaches the agencies use in determining risks to endangered and threatened species associated with the use of pesticides. The NRC will provide conclusions as appropriate about techniques the agencies might apply or use to improve those methods and approaches using scientific principles to support their decision-making.
As examples, the NRC will consider three recent consultations between NOAA and EPA on the effects of EPA’s proposed FIFRA actions on Pacific salmonids as reference points for its work. The NRC will use the consultations as examples of the various agencies’ scientific approaches and methods but will not evaluate the consultations themselves or the decisions resulting from them, and it will not limit its considerations strictly to aquatic species.
The committee’s report is organized into five chapters. Chapter 2 presents a common approach to the assessment process and discusses some overarching issues regarding uncertainty and best data available. Chapters 3 and 4 focus on exposure and effects analysis, respectively; each describes models and issues associated with uncertainty. Chapter 5 addresses the risk characterization process, which combines the results of the exposure and effects analyses. Excerpts of CFR Part 158 are provided in Appendix A, and Appendix B presents biographical information on the committee.
Brennan, M.J., D.E. Roth, M.D. Feldman, and A.R. Greene. 2003. The Endangered Species Act: Thirty years of politics, money, and science. 387 square pegs and round holes: Application of the “best scientific data available” standard in the Endangered Species Act. Tulane Environ. Law J. 16(Sumer):387-444.
Doremus, H. 2004. The purposes, effects, and future of the Endangered Species Act’s best available science mandate. Environ. Law 34:397-450.