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OCR for page R5
Improving Information for Social Policy Decisions—The Uses of Microsimulation Modeling: Volume II, Technical Papers
Contents
Contents of Volume I
vii
Introduction
Constance F.Citro
1
DATABASES AND METHODS OF DATA ENHANCEMENT
1
Databases for Microsimulation: A Comparison of the March CPS and SIPP
Constance F.Citro
11
2
Statistical Matching and Microsimulation Models
Michael L.Cohen
62
MODEL DESIGN
3
Alternative Model Designs: Program Participation Functions and the Allocation of Annual to Monthly Values in TRIM2, MATH, and HITSM
Constance F.Citro and Christine M.Ross
89
4
DYNASIM2 and PRISM: Examples of Dynamic Modeling
Christine M.Ross
121
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Improving Information for Social Policy Decisions—The Uses of Microsimulation Modeling: Volume II, Technical Papers
COMPUTING TECHNOLOGY
5
Future Computing Environments for Microsimulation Modeling
Paul Cotton and George Sadowsky
141
MODEL VALIDATION
6
Variance Estimation of Microsimulation Models Through Sample Reuse
Michael L.Cohen
237
7
Evaluations of Microsimulation Models: Literature Review
Michael L.Cohen
255
8
A Validation Experiment With TRIM2
Michael L.Cohen, Lynne Billard, David M.Betson, and Eugene P.Ericksen
276
9
Evaluating the Accuracy of U.S. Population Projection Models
Laurence Grummer-Strawn and Thomas J.Espenshade
305
MODEL DOCUMENTATION
10
Documentation for Microsimulation Models: A Review of TRIM2, MATH, and HITSM
Kevin M.Hollenbeck
333
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Improving Information for Social Policy Decisions—The Uses of Microsimulation Modeling: Volume II, Technical Papers
Contents
Volume I: Review and Recommendations
Summary
1
Introduction
PART I INFORMATION FOR SOCIAL WELFARE POLICY: TOWARD A SECOND REVOLUTION
2
The Search for Useful Information
3
Improving the Tools and Uses of Policy Analysis
Appendix: Models, Uncertainty, and Confidence Intervals
PART II THE ROLE OF MICROSIMULATION AS A POLICY ANALYSIS TOOL
4
Microsimulation Models: Then and Now
5
Databases for Microsimulation
6
Model Design and Development
7
Computing Technology and Microsimulation
8
Microsimulation Modeling of Health Care, Retirement Income, and Tax Policies
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Improving Information for Social Policy Decisions—The Uses of Microsimulation Modeling: Volume II, Technical Papers
9
Validation
10
Documentation and Archiving
11
The Microsimulation Modeling Community
Appendix: Microsimulation Models, Databases, and Modeling Terms
Glossary of Acronyms
References
Biographical Sketches of Panel Members and Staff