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Improving Information for Social Policy Decisions—The Uses of Microsimulation Modeling: Volume II, Technical Papers Contents Contents of Volume I vii Introduction Constance F.Citro 1 DATABASES AND METHODS OF DATA ENHANCEMENT 1 Databases for Microsimulation: A Comparison of the March CPS and SIPP Constance F.Citro 11 2 Statistical Matching and Microsimulation Models Michael L.Cohen 62 MODEL DESIGN 3 Alternative Model Designs: Program Participation Functions and the Allocation of Annual to Monthly Values in TRIM2, MATH, and HITSM Constance F.Citro and Christine M.Ross 89 4 DYNASIM2 and PRISM: Examples of Dynamic Modeling Christine M.Ross 121
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Improving Information for Social Policy Decisions—The Uses of Microsimulation Modeling: Volume II, Technical Papers COMPUTING TECHNOLOGY 5 Future Computing Environments for Microsimulation Modeling Paul Cotton and George Sadowsky 141 MODEL VALIDATION 6 Variance Estimation of Microsimulation Models Through Sample Reuse Michael L.Cohen 237 7 Evaluations of Microsimulation Models: Literature Review Michael L.Cohen 255 8 A Validation Experiment With TRIM2 Michael L.Cohen, Lynne Billard, David M.Betson, and Eugene P.Ericksen 276 9 Evaluating the Accuracy of U.S. Population Projection Models Laurence Grummer-Strawn and Thomas J.Espenshade 305 MODEL DOCUMENTATION 10 Documentation for Microsimulation Models: A Review of TRIM2, MATH, and HITSM Kevin M.Hollenbeck 333
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Improving Information for Social Policy Decisions—The Uses of Microsimulation Modeling: Volume II, Technical Papers Contents Volume I: Review and Recommendations Summary 1 Introduction PART I INFORMATION FOR SOCIAL WELFARE POLICY: TOWARD A SECOND REVOLUTION 2 The Search for Useful Information 3 Improving the Tools and Uses of Policy Analysis Appendix: Models, Uncertainty, and Confidence Intervals PART II THE ROLE OF MICROSIMULATION AS A POLICY ANALYSIS TOOL 4 Microsimulation Models: Then and Now 5 Databases for Microsimulation 6 Model Design and Development 7 Computing Technology and Microsimulation 8 Microsimulation Modeling of Health Care, Retirement Income, and Tax Policies
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Improving Information for Social Policy Decisions—The Uses of Microsimulation Modeling: Volume II, Technical Papers 9 Validation 10 Documentation and Archiving 11 The Microsimulation Modeling Community Appendix: Microsimulation Models, Databases, and Modeling Terms Glossary of Acronyms References Biographical Sketches of Panel Members and Staff