Linkages Between Arctic Warming
and Mid-Latitude Weather Patterns
Summary of a Workshop
Katie Thomas, Rapporteur
Committee on Linkages Between Arctic Sea Ice Loss
and Mid-Latitude Weather Pattern: A Workshop
Board on Atmospheric Sciences and Climate
Polar Research Board
Division on Earth and Life Studies
NATIONAL RESEARCH COUNCIL
OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMIES
THE NATIONAL ACADEMIES PRESS
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This study was supported by the National Science Foundation under contract numbers AGS-1158602 and ARC-1137066, the National Aeronautics and Space Administration under contract numbers NNX08AB07G and NNX10AR69G, and the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration under contract numbers NA11OAR4600211 and NA13OAR4310215. Any opinions, findings, and conclusions, or recommendations expressed in this material are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily reflect the views of the sponsoring agencies or any of their subagencies.
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COMMITTEE ON LINKAGES BETWEEN ARCTIC SEA ICE LOSS AND MID‐LATITUDE WEATHER PATTERNS: A WORKSHOP
DAVID A. ROBINSON, (Chair), Rutgers, The State University of New Jersey, Piscataway
UMA BHATT, University of Alaska, Fairbanks
CECILIA BITZ, University of Washington, Seattle
LANCE F. BOSART, State University of New York, Albany
DAVID H. BROMWICH, Ohio State University, Columbus
CLARA DESER, National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO
WALTER MEIER, University of Colorado, Boulder
NRC Staff:
KATIE THOMAS, Study Director
AMANDA STAUDT, Director
SUSAN ROBERTS, Director (until September 2013)
LAURIE GELLER, Senior Program Officer
AMANDA PURCELL, Research and Financial Associate
RITA GASKINS, Administrative Coordinator
ROB GREENWAY, Program Associate
BOARD ON ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES AND CLIMATE
ANTONIO J. BUSALACCHI, JR. (Chair), University of Maryland, College Park
GERALD A. MEEHL (Vice Chair), National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, Colorado
LANCE F. BOSART, State University of New York, Albany
MARK A. CANE, Columbia University, Palisades, New York
SHUYI S. CHEN, University of Miami, Florida
HEIDI CULLEN, Climate Central, Princeton, New Jersey
PAMELA EMCH, Northrup Grumman Aerospace Systems, Redondo Beach, California
WILLIAM B. GAIL, Global Weather Corporation, Boulder, Colorado
LISA GODDARD, Columbia University, Palisades, New York
TERRI S. HOGUE, Colorado School of Mines, Golden
ANTHONY JANETOS, Joint Global Change Research Institute, College Park, Maryland
RONALD “NICK” KEENER, JR., Duke Energy Corporation, Charlotte, North Carolina
JOHN E. KUTZBACH, University of Wisconsin-Madison
STEPHEN W. PACALA, Princeton University, New Jersey
ARISTIDES A.N. PATRINOS, New York University, Brooklyn
RAYMOND T. PIERREHUMBERT, The University of Chicago, Illinois
KIMBERLY PRATHER, University of California, San Diego
S.T. RAO, North Carolina State University, Raleigh
DAVID A. ROBINSON, Rutgers, The State University of New Jersey, Piscataway
JOHN T. SNOW, The University of Oklahoma, Norman
CLAUDIA TEBALDI, Climate Central, Princeton, New Jersey
XUBIN ZENG, University of Arizona, Tucson
Ocean Studies Board Liaison
DANIEL RUDNICK, University of California, San Diego
NRC Staff
AMANDA STAUDT, Director
EDWARD DUNLEA, Senior Program Officer
LAURIE GELLER, Senior Program Officer
KATHERINE THOMAS, Program Officer
LAUREN BROWN, Associate Program Officer
AMANDA PURCELL, Research and Financial Associate
RITA GASKINS, Administrative Coordinator
ROB GREENWAY, Program Associate
SHELLY FREELAND, Senior Program Assistant
POLAR RESEARCH BOARD
JAMES W. C. WHITE (Chair), University of Colorado, Boulder
WALEED ABDALATI, University of Colorado, Boulder
SRIDHAR ANANDAKRISHNAN, Pennsylvania State University, University Park
KATEY WALTER ANTHONY, University of Alaska, Fairbanks
JULIE BRIGHAM-GRETTE, University of Massachusetts, Amherst
JOHN CASSANO, University of Colorado, Boulder
JENNIFER A. FRANCIS, Rutgers University, Marion, Massachusetts
EILEEN E. HOFMANN, Old Dominion University, Norfolk, Virginia
BERNICE M. JOSEPH, University of Alaska, Fairbanks (until January 13, 2014)
ELLEN S. MOSLEY-THOMPSON, Ohio State University, Columbus
GEORGE B. NEWTON, U.S. Arctic Research Commission, Marstons Mills, Massachusetts
RAFE POMERANCE, Independent Consultant, Washington, DC
CARYN REA, ConocoPhillips, Anchorage, Alaska
GAIUS R. SHAVER, The Ecosystems Center, Woods Hole, Massachusetts
ALLAN T. WEATHERWAX, Siena College, Loudonville, New York
Ex-Officio
JACQUELINE M. GREBMEIER (U.S. Delegate to IASC), University of Maryland, Solomons
TERRY WILSON (U.S. Delegate to SCAR), Ohio State University, Columbus
DENEB KARENTZ (Alternate U.S. Delegate to SCAR), University of San Francisco, California
NRC Staff
AMANDA STAUDT, Director
EDWARD DUNLEA, Senior Program Officer
LAURIE GELLER, Senior Program Officer
KATHERINE THOMAS, Program Officer
LAUREN BROWN, Associate Program Officer
AMANDA PURCELL, Research and Financial Associate
RITA GASKINS, Administrative Coordinator
ROB GREENWAY, Program Associate
SHELLY FREELAND, Senior Program Assistant
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Contents
Arctic Warming and Extreme Events in the Mid-Latitudes: A Possible Link?
The Role of Arctic Warming in the Context of Other Forcing Factors
Observational Evidence of Trends
Theoretical and Modeling Studies
ACID Test to Assess Proposed Linkages
Future Needs and Opportunities
B Workshop Agenda and Participant List
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