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Managing Water Resources in the West Under Conditions of Climate Uncertainty: A Proceedings (1991)
Commission on Geosciences, Environment and Resources (CGER)

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. "1. Overview." Managing Water Resources in the West Under Conditions of Climate Uncertainty: A Proceedings. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press, 1991.

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Managing Water Resources in the West Under Conditions of Climate Uncertainty: Proceedings of a Colloquium November 14–16, 1990 Scottsdale, Arizona

differences in streamflow, vegetation, evapotranspiration, variability of precipitation, and other factors important to water management. Some of the most noticeable changes in catchment hydrologic fluxes (rainfall amount, evaporation rate and amount, and streamflow rates) and states (soil moisture depth and distribution in time and space) are found in threshold climates—that is, climates where relatively small changes in vegetative state or meteorological inputs have amplified effects.

One important topic, the hydroclimatology and ecosystems of urban areas, many of which are located in hydrologic threshold regions, has not been included explicitly in the colloquium. The relevant issues for urban areas are those associated with massive importation of water and subsequent changes in the natural hydrologic balance. It is not uncommon for imported water to be the equivalent of about twice the annual rainfall volume. Transfers of this magnitude influence the hydrologic cycle locally at the mesoscale (horizontal distances of 20 to 30 km) and influence the hydroclimatological balance at the export locations.

In an editorial written to mark the beginning of the second quarter century of the journal Water Resources Research, Charles Howe emphasized the role of technology, institutions, and politics in water resource management. He concluded:

. . . [I]t remains true, as it was [25 years ago], that socially responsible decisions require broad public participation, channeled through appropriate institutions. Institutions must change in response to changing public values, and institutional change is costly, but vital. Democracy, unfortunately for some, is messy and costly, but we will be better off pursuing the right goals somewhat inefficiently than pursuing the wrong goal efficiently (Howe, 1990).

It was in the spirit of these observations that the colloquium proceeded. All present—participants from academia, industry, and government—were eager to discuss the implications of possible climate change and to find ways to increase the resilience of our water systems in the face of increased uncertainty.

SHARING WATER RESOURCES

Edith Brown Weiss began the colloquium with a keynote address entitled "Sharing Water Resources with Future Gener-

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Front Matter (R1-R14)
1. Overview (1-14)
2. Sharing Water Resources with Future Generations (15-27)
3. The Science Climate Change and Climate (28-30)
4. Primer on Climate Change (31-46)
5. Climate Change and Climate Variability: The Climate Record (47-70)
6. Climate Change and Climate Variability: The Paleo Record (71-100)
7. Effects of Increasing Carbon Dioxide Levels and Climate Change . . . (101-147)
8. Hydrologic Implications of Climate Uncertainty in the Western United States (148-157)
9. The Implications of Climate Change for Streamflow and Water Supply . . . (158-176)
10. Climate Uncertainty: Implications for Operations of Water Control Systems (177-216)
11. Economic Consequences of Climate Variability on Water in the West (217-238)
12. Western Water Law, Global Climate Change, and Risk Allocation (239-254)
13. Water Resources Forecasting (255-274)
14. Some Aspects of Hydrologic Variability (275-280)
15. Management Responses to Climate Variability (281-283)
16. Improvements in Agricultural Water Management (284-289)
17. Creative Water Management (290-295)
18. Weather Modification as a Response to Variations in Weather and Climate (296-302)
19. Managing Water Supply Variability: The Salt River Project (303-323)
20. Public Involvement in Water Resources Decisionmaking in a Climate . . . (324-325)
21. The First Rough Draft of History: How the Press Reports on Global Warming (326-329)
22. Water Use Efficiency as a Response to Climate Uncertainty (330-332)
23. Climate Change, The Media, and Public Responses (333-336)
A Biographical Sketches of Steering Committee Members (337-338)
B Biographical Sketches of Principal Contributors (339-344)