September 20 & 21, 1990

Update on NES and Key Policy Issues”

Linda G. Stuntz, Deputy Under Secretary, Policy, Planning and Analysis, DOE

Context for the Analysis of Key Policy Issues”

--Descriptions of Options

--Definition of the “Reference Case”

--Conceptual basis for integrated analysis

--Choice of issues to “demonstrate” characteristics & capabilities of models applied to the current NES effort

Eric Petersen, DOE Office of Policy, Planning and Analysis

Sectoral Energy Demand: PC-AEO Models”

John D. Pearson, Director, Energy Analysis & Forecasting Division, EIA Office of Energy Markets and End Use

Energy Supply-Coal & Electricity: NCM & ARGUS”

Mary J. Hutzler, Director, Electric Power Division, EIA Office of Coal, Nuclear, Electric and Alternate Fuels

Energy Supply-Oil & Gas” GAMS & PROLOG”

Susan Shaw, Analysis and Forecasting Branch, Reserves and Natural Gas Division, EIA Office of Oil and Gas.

Integration Model: FOSSIL2”

Roger Nail, AES Corporation, Arlington, Virginia

Oil Market Simulation Model”

Erik Kreil, International/Contingency Information Division,

EIA Office of Energy Markets and End Use

DRI Macroeconomic Model”

Ronald Earley, Economics and Statistics Division, EIA Office of Energy Markets and End Use

Wrap-up on Current NES Analysis Effort”

Robert C. Marlay, Acting Director, DOE Office of Program Review and Analysis

Update on NEMS Development/Look-Ahead”

Calvin A. Kent, Administrator, EIA

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