APPENDIX F
MEETINGS AND ACTIVITIES

July 31 & August 1, 1990

The National Energy Strategy and the National Energy Modeling System”

Henson Moore, Deputy Secretary of Energy, and Linda G. Stuntz, Deputy Under Secretary, Policy, Planning and Analysis, U.S. Department of Energy (DOE).

The Development and Operation of the NEMS: An EIA Perspective”

Calvin A. Kent, Administrator Designate, Energy Information Administration (EIA).

Reference Case for the National Energy Strategy”

Eric Petersen, DOE Office of Policy, Planning and Analysis.

Current Configuration and Applications of the NEMS”

W. Calvin Kilgore, Director, EIA Office of Energy Markets and End Use.

Use of Energy Models and Data Systems at EIA”

Lawrence A. Pettis, Deputy Administrator, EIA.

Requirements Analysis for the NEMS”

C. William Skinner, Technical Assistant to the Administrator, EIA.



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The National Energy Modeling System APPENDIX F MEETINGS AND ACTIVITIES July 31 & August 1, 1990 “The National Energy Strategy and the National Energy Modeling System” Henson Moore, Deputy Secretary of Energy, and Linda G. Stuntz, Deputy Under Secretary, Policy, Planning and Analysis, U.S. Department of Energy (DOE). “The Development and Operation of the NEMS: An EIA Perspective” Calvin A. Kent, Administrator Designate, Energy Information Administration (EIA). “Reference Case for the National Energy Strategy” Eric Petersen, DOE Office of Policy, Planning and Analysis. “Current Configuration and Applications of the NEMS” W. Calvin Kilgore, Director, EIA Office of Energy Markets and End Use. “Use of Energy Models and Data Systems at EIA” Lawrence A. Pettis, Deputy Administrator, EIA. “Requirements Analysis for the NEMS” C. William Skinner, Technical Assistant to the Administrator, EIA.

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The National Energy Modeling System September 20 & 21, 1990 “Update on NES and Key Policy Issues” Linda G. Stuntz, Deputy Under Secretary, Policy, Planning and Analysis, DOE. “Context for the Analysis of Key Policy Issues” --Descriptions of Options --Definition of the “Reference Case” --Conceptual basis for integrated analysis --Choice of issues to “demonstrate” characteristics & capabilities of models applied to the current NES effort Eric Petersen, DOE Office of Policy, Planning and Analysis. “Sectoral Energy Demand: PC-AEO Models” John D. Pearson, Director, Energy Analysis & Forecasting Division, EIA Office of Energy Markets & End Use. “Energy Supply-Coal & Electricity: NCM & ARGUS” Mary J. Hutzler, Director, Electric Power Division, EIA Office of Coal, Nuclear, Electric & Alternate Fuels. “Energy Supply-Oil & Gas” GAMS & PROLOG” Susan Shaw, Analysis & Forecasting Branch, Reserves & Natural Gas Division, EIA Office of Oil and Gas. “Integration Model: FOSSIL2” Roger Nail, AES Corporation, Arlington, VA. “Oil Market Simulation Model” Erik Kreil, International/Contingency Information Division, EIA Office of Energy Markets & End Use. “DRI Macroeconomic Model” Ronald Earley, Economics & Statistics Division, EIA Office of Energy Markets and End Use. “Wrap-up on Current NES Analysis Effort” Robert C. Marlay, Acting Director, DOE Office of Program Review & Analysis. “Update on NEMS Development/Look-Ahead” Calvin A. Kent, Administrator, EIA.

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The National Energy Modeling System November 6, 1990 Preparatory Meeting, preceding Secretary's meeting with the Chairman and Committee Members on November 9, 1990 to exchange impressions regarding the application of existing models and data by DOE & EIA to the ongoing national energy strategy exercise. November 8 and 9, 1990 Committee meeting on November 8–9, and Meeting with Secretary Watkins by the delegation from the committee on November 9, 1991, from 10 a.m. to 12 noon. January 17 and 18, 1991 “Modeling Energy, Economic and Environmental Interactions: Applications to CO2 Emissions Abatement” Rich Richels, Program Manager, Environmental Risk Analysis, Electric Power Research Institute (EPRI) “Issues and Considerations in Developing Long-Range Modeling Capabilities at DOE” Dale M. Nesbitt, Vice President, Decision Focus Inc. “Energy Modeling, Forecasting and Planning in the Pacific Northwest” Jim Litchfield, Northwest Power Planning Council and Sue Hickey, Assistant Administrator for Energy Resources, Bonneville Power Administration. “Energy Modeling at the California Energy Commission” Daniel Nix, Deputy Director for Energy Forecasting and Planning, California Energy Commission (CEC). “Development and Application of the ELFIN Model” Dan Kirshner, Environmental Defense Fund. “Energy Demand Forecasting Models Developed by EPRI” Philip Hummell, Customer Systems Division, EPRI. “Long-term Policy Issues on Energy” Robert C. Marlay, Acting Director, Office of Program Review and Analysis, DOE. February 28 and March 1, 1991 “NEMS Requirements for Responsive Policy Analysis” Robert C. Marlay, Office of Policy, Planning and Analysis, DOE.

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The National Energy Modeling System “Examples of Analysis and Decision Processes at the Power Planning Council” James W. Litchfield, Northwest Power Planning Council. “Addressing Value Issues in Modeling Decisions” Ralph L. Keeney, Professor, University of Southern California. April 18 and 19, 1991. “Status of the NEMS Project at EIA” John Holte, NEMS Project Office, EIA. “Modularity as it relates to NEMS” Susan Shaw, NEMS Project Office, EIA. “Archiving of Models” Douglas R. Hale, Director, Quality Assurance Division, EIA. June 6 and 7, 1991 “Modeling Activities and the NEMS Tie-in in the Office of Conservation and Renewable Energy” Henry Kelly, Office of Conservation & Renewable Energy, DOE. “Long-Range Modeling” Jae Edmonds, Battelle Pacific NW Labs, Washington, D.C. “Long-Range Forecasting” Lester Lave, Carnegie-Mellon University. “100 Year Period--A Century of Uncertainty” David Gray, David Morrison and Glen Tomlinson, Mitre Corporation, McLean, Virginia. July 15 and 17, 1991 Writing Group of the committee worked on draft of report. July 25 and 26, 1991 “EIA Data and Analytical Tools: End-Use and Efficiency” Eric Hirst, Oak Ridge National Laboratories, Oak Ridge, Tennessee. “What Makes the Office of Technology Assessment Work?” John H. Gibbons and Peter Blair, Office of Technology Assessment, Washington, D.C.

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The National Energy Modeling System October 4, 1991 Exchange of views with Secretary of Energy Staff and committee members.

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The National Energy Modeling System This page in the original is blank.