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The National Energy Modeling System (1992)

Chapter: References and Bibliography

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Suggested Citation:"References and Bibliography." National Research Council. 1992. The National Energy Modeling System. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/1997.
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REFERENCES AND BIBLIOGRAPHY

Alliance to Save Energy. 1983. Industrial Investment in Energy Efficiency: Opportunities, Management Practices and Tax Incentives. Washington, D.C.

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Ballard, C.L. and L.H. Goulder. 1985. Consumption Taxes, Foresight, and Welfare: A Computable General Equilibrium Analysis. In J. Piggott and J. Walley (eds.), New Developments in Applied General Equilibrium Analysis, pp. 253-82. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.

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Bohi, D.R.B. 1981. Analyzing Demand Behavior: A Study of Energy Elasticities. Baltimore: Johns Hopkins University Press.

Suggested Citation:"References and Bibliography." National Research Council. 1992. The National Energy Modeling System. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/1997.
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Bookout, J.F. 1989. Two Centuries of Fossil Fuel Energy. Remarks to the International Geological Congress, July 10, Washington, D.C.

Borges, A.M. and L.H. Goulder. 1984. Decomposing the Impact of Higher Energy Prices on Long-term Growth. In H.E. Scarf and J.B. Shoven (eds.), Applied General Equilibrium Analysis, pp. 319–62. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.

Boyd, G., J.F. McDonald, M. Ross, and D.A. Hanson. 1986. Effects of the Changing Composition of U.S. Manufacturing Production on Energy Demand. Report No. CONF-8603105. Palo Alto, California: Energy Modeling Forum.

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Canadian Energy Research Institute (CERI) and Decision Focus Incorporated. 1990. A Proposal for a World Gas Trade Program Based on a World Gas Supply, Transportation and Demand Model and Data Base. (April).

Chao, H.P., B.R. Judd, P.A. Morris, and S. C. Peck. 1985. Analysing Complex Decisions for Electric Utilities , Electric Power Research Institute (EPRI), Palo Alto, California.

Chern, W.S., C.A. Gallagher, R.C. Tepel and J.L. Trimble. 1982. An Integrated System for Forecasting Electric Energy and Load for States and Utility Service Areas, Oak Ridge National Laboratory Report TM-7947. Oak Ridge, Tennessee.

Cohen, J.E. 1986. Population Forecasts and Confidence Intervals for Sweden: A Comparison of Model-Based and Empirical Approaches. Demography 23: 105–126.

Conti, J., and S. Shaw. 1988. Modeling and Forecasting Energy Markets with the Intermediate Future Forecasting System, Operations Research (May–June).

Conti, J. 1991. Regionality in the National Energy Modeling System. NEMS Project Office, Issue Paper, Energy Information Administration (May 21), Washington, D.C.

Cowing, T. and D. McFadden. 1984. Microeconomic Modeling and Policy Analysis. Academic Press.


Decision Focus Incorporated (DFI). The California Petroleum Economy Model CAPE Model Structure and Methodology. Los Altos, California.

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Suggested Citation:"References and Bibliography." National Research Council. 1992. The National Energy Modeling System. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/1997.
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Diwekar, U.M. and E.S. Rubin. 1991. Stochastic Modeling of Chemical Processes. Computers and Chemical Engineering, Vol. 15, No. 2, pp. 105–114.

Doblin, C.P. 1984. Changing Structure of Industry and its Impact on Energy Requirements. In Weyant, J.P. and D.B. Sheffield (eds.). Energy Industries in Transition 1985–2000, Part 2, pp. 1325–1340. Washington, D.C.: International Association of Energy Economists.

Dubin, J. 1985. Consumer Durable Choice and the Demand for Electricity. New York: North-Holland Publishing Co.

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The Economist. 1991. Schools Brief: The next 100 years (March 9), pp 74–75.

Edmonds, J.A. 1991. Overview and Assessment of the State of Economic/Energy/Environment Policy Modeling and Modeling Research Agendas. Panel remarks in D.O. Wood and Y. Kaya, Proceedings of the Workshop on Economic/Energy/Environmental Modeling for Climate Policy Analysis. Center for Energy Policy Research and Sloan School of Management, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, Massachusetts.

Edmonds, J. and D.W. Barns. 1990. Estimating the Marginal Cost of Reducing Global Fossil Fuel CO2 Emissions. Report PNL-SA-18361. Pacific Northwest Laboratory, Washington, D.C.

Egan, J. 1990. Is Energy Strategy Falling Victim To A War Between Rival Computer Models? The Energy Daily (August 10).

Electric Power Research Institute (EPRI). Residential Sector Technology Characterization, Palo Alto, CA.

Electric Power Research Institute (EPRI). 1977. Report EA 0837. Initiation of Integration. EPRI Reserch Reports Center, Palo Alto, CA.

Energy Information Administration (EIA). 1991. Letter from Calvin Kent, Administrator, to Peter Johnson, chairman of the committee.

Energy Information Administration (EIA). 1990a. Requirements Analysis For a National Energy Modeling System, paper prepared by an Energy Information Administration Working Group. Washington, D.C.: U.S. Department of Energy. (July 2).

Energy Information Administration (EIA). 1990b. Directory of Energy Information Administration Models 1990. DOE/EIA-0293(90). Washington, D.C.: U.S. Department of Energy.

Suggested Citation:"References and Bibliography." National Research Council. 1992. The National Energy Modeling System. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/1997.
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Energy Information Administration (EIA). 1990c. Annual Energy Outlook with Long-Term Projections. DOE/EIA-0383(90). Washington, D.C.: U.S. Government Printing Office.

Energy Information Administration (EIA). 1990d. Annual Energy Outlook with Quarterly Projections . DOE/EIA-0202(90/2Q). Washington, D.C.: U.S. Government Printing Office.

Energy Information Administration (EIA). 1990e. National Energy Modeling System (NEMS): A Comparison of Requirements with Current Capabilities and Issues in the Design of a New System, Energy Information Administration Working Group. Washington, D.C.: U.S. Department of Energy. (September 19).

Energy Information Administration (EIA). 1990f. Improving Technology: Modeling Energy Futures for the National Energy Strategy. SR/EIA/90-7, Washington, D.C. U.S. Department of Energy. (October).

Energy Information Administration (EIA). 1990g. PC-AEO Forecasting Model for the Annual Energy Outlook 1990, Model Documentation (March). Washington, D.C.

Energy Information Administration (EIA). 1989. Directory of Energy Data Collection Forms. Forms in Use as of October 1989. DOE/EIA-0249(89). Washington, D.C.: U.S. Department of Energy.

Energy and Environmental Analysis, Inc. (EEA). 1982. Industrial Sector Technology Use Model, Vols. 1–8, Arlington, Virginia.

Fisher, F. M. and C. Kaysen. 1962. A Study in Econometrics: The Demand for Electricity in the United States, North Holland Publishing Co.

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Frey, H.C. and E.S. Rubin. 1991. Stochastic Modeling of Coal Gasification Combined Cycle Systems. Task 3 Topical Report. Contract No. DE-AC21-88MC24248. Morgantown, West Virginia: U.S. Department of Energy (May).


Gas Research Institute (GRI). undated. Contracting and Licensing: Policy and Practice. Contract Administration Department, Chicago, Illinois.

Goett, A.A. and D. McFadden. 1984. The Residential End-Use Energy Planning System: Simulation Model Structure and Empirical Analysis. In: J.R. Moroney, Ed., Advances in the Economics of Energy and Resources, Vol. 5, Greenwich, Connecticut: JAI Press: 153–210.

Suggested Citation:"References and Bibliography." National Research Council. 1992. The National Energy Modeling System. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/1997.
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Goulder, L. Lawrence Berkeley Laboratory. Residential Sector Technology Characterization.

Gouse, W.S. 1991. Long-Term Energy Conversion Research and Development Needs. McLean, Virginia: The Mitre Corporation.

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Greenberger, M., et. al. 1976. Models in the Policy Process: Public Decision Making in the Computer Era. Chapter 1. Russell Sage Foundation, New York.

Griffin, J.M. 1982. Pseudodata: A Synthesis of Econometric and Process Modeling Methodologies. In: R. Amit and M. Auriel (Eds.), Perspectives on Resource Policy Modeling: Energy and Minerals, Ballinger Publishing Co., Cambridge, Massachusetts.

Griffin, J.M. 1978. Joint Production Technology: the Case of Petrochemicals. Econometrica (March): 379–396.

Griffin, J.M. 1977. Long-run Production Modeling with Pseudodata: Electric Power Generation. Bell J. (Spring): 112–127.

Griffin, J.M. 1985. OPEC Behavior: A Test of Alternative Hypothesis. American Economic Review, Vol. 75, No. 5.

Halvorson, R. 1978. Econometric Models of U.S. Energy Demand. Lexington: D.C. Heath Publishing Co.

Hausman, J.A. 1981. Validation and Assessment Procedures for Energy Models. In Gass, S.I. (ed.) Validation and Assessment of Energy Models, pp. 79–86. National Bureau of Standards Special Publication 616.

Hausman, J.A. 1979. Individual Discount Rates and the Purchase and Utilization of Energy-Using Durables, Bell J. of Economics 10(1):33.

Heyde, C.C. and J.E. Cohen. 1985. Confidence Intervals for Demographic Projections Based on Products of Random Matrices. Th. Pop. Biology 27:120–153.

Hickman, B.G., H.G. Huntington, and J.L. Sweeney. 1987. Macroeconomic Impacts of Energy Shocks. Amsterdam: North-Holland Publishing Co.

Hickman, B.G., H.G. Huntington, H.G., and J.L. Sweeney (eds.). 1987. Macroeconomic Impacts of Energy Shocks. Contributions to Economic Analysis Series, No. 163. Amsterdam, Oxford and Tokyo: North-Holland Publishing Co.

Suggested Citation:"References and Bibliography." National Research Council. 1992. The National Energy Modeling System. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/1997.
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Hirst, E., and M. Schweitzer. 1990. Electric-Utility Resource Planning and Decision-Making: The Importance of Uncertainty. Risk Analysis, Vol. 10. No. 1.

Hirst, E. 1990. Balancing the Scales: Toward Parity in Electric Supply and Demand Data.. Oak Ridge National Laboratory, The Electric Journal: 28–33.

Hirst, E. 1989. Comparison of EIA Data Collections: Electricity Supply and Demand, (October). Energy Division, Oak Ridge National Laboratory, Oak Ridge, Tennessee.

Hodges, J. 1987. Uncertainty, policy analysis and statistics. Statist. Science. 2:259–273.

Hogan, W.W. and D.W. Jorgenson. 1991. Productivity Trends and the Cost of Reducing CO2 Emissions. Energy Journal, Vol. 12, No. 1, pp. 67–85.

Hogan, W.W. and J.P. Weyant. 1983. Methods and Algorithms for Energy Model Composition: Optimization in a Network of Process Models. In: Benjamin, L. (ed.), Energy Models and Studies. Studies in Management Science and Systems Series, Vol. 9. New York, Amsterdam and Oxford: North-Holland Publishing Co.

Hogan, W.W. 1989. A Dynamic Putty-Semi-putty Model of Aggregate Energy Demand. Energy Economics, Vol. 11, No. 1, pp. 53–69.

Holdren, J.P. 1990. Energy in Transition. Scientific American (September), pp. 157–163.

Holte, J. 1991. Near-Term, Mid-Term and Long-Term Forecasting in the National Energy Modeling System, NEMS Project Office, Issue Paper, Energy Information Administration, (May 21), Washington, D.C.

House, P.W., and P. McLeod, P. 1977. Large Scale Models for Policy Evaluation. Wiley-Interscience, New York.

Houthakker, H.S. and L.D. Taylor. 1970. Consumer Demand in the United States, Second Edition, Cambridge: Harvard University Press.

Houthakker, H.S., P.K. Verleger, and D.P. Sheehan. 1974. Dynamic Demand Analysis for Gasoline and Residential Electricity. American Journal of Agricultural Economics, 56:2.

Hubbard, H. 1991. The Real Cost of Energy. Scientific American (April). Vol. 264, No. 4:36–42.

Huntington, H.G. and G.E. Schuler, Jr. 1990. North American Natural Gas Markets: Summary of an Energy Modeling Forum Study. Energy Journal, Vol. 11, No. 2, pp. 1–21.

Suggested Citation:"References and Bibliography." National Research Council. 1992. The National Energy Modeling System. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/1997.
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Jaske, M.R. 1990. Air Pollution Projection Methodologies: Integrating Emission Projections with Energy Forecasts. California Energy Commission. Asilomar Conference Center, Pacific Grove, California.

Jorgensen, D. and P. Wilcoxen. 1990a. Environmental Regulation and U.S. Economic Growth. The Rand Journal of Economics 21 (2):314–340.

Jorgenson, D.W. and P.J. Wilcoxen. 1990b. Intertemporal General Equilibrium Modeling of U.S. Environmental Regulation, Journal Of Policy Modeling, Vol. 12, No. 4:715–744.


Keeney, R.L. 1988. Structuring Objectives for Problems of Public Interest. Operations Research, Vol. 36, No. 3, (May–June) 396–405.

Keeney, R.L. 1987. An Analysis of the Portfolio of Sites to Characterize for Selecting a Nuclear Repository, Risk Analysis, Vol. 7, No. 2: 195–218.

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Keeney, R.L. 1987. A Multiattribute Utility Analysis of Alternative Sites for the Disposal of Nuclear Waste, Risk Analysis, Vol. 7, No. 2: 173–194.

Kneese, A.V. and J.L. Sweeney. 1991. Handbook of Natural Resources and Energy Economics, Vol. 3, North-Holland Publishing Co., Forthcoming. In particular for nonrenewable resource models see: Newberry, D. and L. Karp, Intertemporal Consistency Issues in Depletable Resources; Slade, M. Kolstad, C. and R. Winer, Buying Energy and Nonfuel Minerals: Final, Derived, and Speculative Demand; Epple, D. and J. Londregan, Strategies for Modeling Exhaustible Resource Supply.

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Suggested Citation:"References and Bibliography." National Research Council. 1992. The National Energy Modeling System. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/1997.
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Manne, A.S., Richels, R.G. and W.W. Hogan. 1990. CO2 Emission Limits: An Economic Cost Analysis for the USA. Energy Journal, Vol. 11, No. 35, p. 51.

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Muth, J.F. 1981b. Rational Expectations and the Theory of Price Movements. In R.E. Lucas and T.J. Sargent (eds.). Rational Expectations and Econometric Practice, pp. 3–22. Minneapolis: University of Minnesota Press.

National Academy of Sciences (NAS). 1991. Policy Implications of Greenhouse Warming. Washington, D.C.: National Academy Press.

National Research Council (NRC). 1991a. Development of the National Energy Modeling System. First Advisory Report. Committee on the National Energy Modeling System. Washington, D.C.: Energy Engineering Board.

National Research Council (NRC). 1991b. An Evaluation of the Department of Interior's 1989 Assessment Procedures. Washington, D.C.: National Academy Press.

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National Research Council (NRC). 1990. Fuels to Drive Our Future. Washington, D.C.: National Academy Press.

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National Research Council (NRC). 1977. Energy Consumption Measurement. Data Needs for Public Policy. Committee on Measurement of Energy Consumption. Assembly of Behavioral and Social Sciences. Washington, D.C.

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This book addresses the process and actions for developing enhanced capabilities to analyze energy policy issues and perform strategic planning activities at the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) on an ongoing basis.

Within the broader context of useful analytical and modeling capabilities within and outside the DOE, this volume examines the requirements that a National Energy Modeling System (NEMS) should fulfill, presents an overall architecture for a NEMS, identifies data needs, and outlines priority actions for timely implementation of the system.

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