If the path of the air parcel can be computed by trajectory analysis, then plume age can be estimated more exactly.

Many real physical situations of interest may occur outside the bounds of the above assumptions (e.g., heterogeneous SO2 oxidation in clouds often is important).

A second type of composite model has been developed that employs CMB receptor modeling for attribution of primary airborne particles to their sources, accompanied by a separate deterministic model for sulfate formation and transport that is driven by atmospheric transport, reaction, and dilution calculations rather than by tracer concentration data (Harley et al., 1989). This approach employs the sulfate formation model of Cass (1981), which is based on gridded SO2 and primary sulfate emissions, hourly wind speed, wind direction, mixing height, dry deposition rates, and measured or computed atmospheric pseudo-first-order rates for conversion of SO2 to sulfates. The composite model has been applied to study the least-cost solution to the aerosol control problem in the Los Angeles basin (Harley et al., 1989).

Additional hybrid modeling can be envisioned in which tracer or CMB models are used for elements of the source attribution problem that are difficult to determine with a deterministic model (e.g., predictions of airborne soil-dust concentrations). More complete deterministic models for secondary airborne particle formation would then be used to compute sulfate, nitrate, and secondary organic particle concentrations along with those primary particle concentrations that are due to ducted emission sources.

The National Academies | 500 Fifth St. N.W. | Washington, D.C. 20001
Copyright © National Academy of Sciences. All rights reserved.
Terms of Use and Privacy Statement