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OpuLA:~H ~:~:~s O~F su :: A: ::: F:~CA 6~:~c Erg ~ ~= ~5 ~N I-.. AF~A EF:~s OF EA-~-~ RAMS O~:~D TV I: Ace s ~:~G BAIT WEE N I... AF~.^ ~:P~-~ oY~.~s OF KENT PO~N oY~:~:~s OF sENE:~L Sock Ins o~r Ages F5~t 'A 5~ A:

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~ t~14H ~ ~ AILS 0 F SO BIER ^ ~ >ad ~^ ^ Wowing O~!up on Debit Icy of Economic Social Rev~41~ Panel -ul~i~on Dyn~m!ics of S~db=~S~= A~ca Tommie on ~ppl~op Commis~s~i~ on Bsebavio~ and Stain Sciences ~ Cations ~ ~ . Gallon -a Resew. Council ATlO~NA~L ACADEMY PRESS Wasb~iDglon, O.C. 1993

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Loll .AC~DE~YsPRESS -~210~1 C=~1~ A~e~ ~.~. ~ ~+ DC~ =1~8 ICE: ~ ^cct ~1 i$ Me Bum of His ~ ads Id by the G~^eming Bond of tab National Bomb Council. Awe mama ~ ~~c ~ Be counct.~ls of 1be ~itio=1 Italy ~ Sciences. Be ~iono1 By of Blind. Ad ~c 1~^ of Ice. ammo of ~ c~i=c ~c ~ ~ ~ ~ ~= ~ Heir swig cadges and Aid Egg Pa!. This ~ ~ ~ ~;~ Yip a claps opal _ ~th~sss~s&-ors Golda to pledges approved by ~ Report adieu ~mmil:ce consists of mamas ~ He ~io~ ~ademy Sciences. ~ >~!io#~! fly AS ~73 sss~ OCR for page R1
~ORK~1~G GROL-P~O~ ECONOMIC Aim SOCIAL REVERSALS ERECTS OF KB~NE~ H. HAL Amp, D~en1 of P~u~latiod Dynamics, Johns H OCR for page R1
PO:P[L~l~O~(DY`~l~CS OF~S~EB-S.~ARA~ AFR1CA KENNETH ~ ~ HILL ~(~.~ Dep_nt of Populsati~ Dyed, Job~ns ~[i~S [~i~ver$ity If_ Pl=~i~cabo!n {lD~EP), O~ar.!Sse~reg~ ~ JAMB T. BERTRAND< ~S~cb~obl~ <~ Pubic Hti1~ laid T~p~iCAl~ medicine. at, ~ . . 1ul~ umv~ CAR!OU\B if. B~LEDS~OE, DSpa~mebt of An~~pblo~gi~ ~oftb.~ts!te~ University WlLLl~!~BRAS~S~,~Cebt~t Popul~t~i~ohi Steam, ~Lo~bb~!School~ of Hygiene Ed Micah Eddie, En~las~d~ D~sUCL^s~ss ~> s~K<~ ~PopuT~Al:io~ Studies Cellar, Laity 6~s#~ PH~l~Ll~E fAR!GE~ES, Cent d'E:u~s en de Documentation Bco~~m~ique, Sociale e1 juddique ACEDIA, Celia Encrypt RON J. ~ST~AECHE. Mullet van ~ ~ppom~isdhe~, ~S~i~C one 6~lideke We~1e~n$cb~n, Y!~C L~!i~vsers~lle~it B~s~s~l, Belgium PA^1CK O. OHA.D~1~; axiom 1tsd~l~s ~r ~pdl~i~n S~bd:les (RIPS). Aced, Obana ARAB R PEBBLY, Tb~e BARE C~o~o~l~i~-, Santa tonic Cili~ia Hi. So. ^ DSmo~gr~b~iques (lPORD). funds. C~e~n et ~ R~be~be

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C 0~4lTTE~E O N fO PLL AT10 ~ SA)~LBL at. PRESTO ~ go, Population Studies Center, [diversity of Pennsylvam~ E~)~TjU~- ~Vc~1d B ^ Vas~ D.C. J~O ~ ~ B CASTBRL1~E, Depa~men1 of Sociology, Brown University BERNET. HILLY Deparunen1 of Population~Dyn~mics,Jobn$ H~opki. Universlly DE)Jq T.JA)ilSO at. School of Putrid ~ Sky Oily of C ~ifonnia. .~ . Los ^ngeie$ A N HE R.~PEBI1SY, Tb~e RAND CO~[PO[atIOD, S8D18 \4~o~ni~ca, Californ~i~ RO ~ ALDER. Rl~ FUSS, Depa~men.1 of Sociology, University of Comb Cajoling.. Chapel grill 1. P~A LL SC~H UL1SZ, ~epartmen1 of~Bconom~.cs, Y~1~c Cnive~rsity S[SA ~ C.~1. SCRI)1SHA\~. Schoolo~f Public Heal.lb, [nive~ily of California, Los Angeles Bl~rH J. SOLC O. Depa~ne~1 of ~ mogr~phy. Cesorgeto~ University )TA~.TA T1E~ D A, Pppu~lation Re~s~e.arcb Cene~[ [~niversil~y of Cbic4go BARBARA BOYLB TORR~EY, Populat-ion Re~rence Bu~au~ Wasb~ngt~on, ~.~. JA)iBS TR USSELL, OfEce o~f Popula!ion Re$oech, Pd~ncelo~n [n~iver$il~y A\~Y O. ISLI~ Canolina:Population Center Univers:~y of ~-o~b C~rolina, Cbapel Hil.1 L1~ ~ A G~ h4~UFfO O)1ER Y ~ ALFOR~D, !~, P~(! ~* CA ROLE L.JOLLY, ~r~ (~r D O)41\IQ[-E \4BEKERS~ ~* P~A O~LA J~ )!ELVl~LLE~f~r Fr~j~!~r ~: ~ 1~1 **~ July 1992

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Preface lbisrepon is-one aus~ce~s ofthe Panel OB the Populal!ion Dyn ~ ics of Sub~Sabarsn ~d) of tbe~ati~o~ ~Resea~cb Council's Com mate on Popul~i~o~. The Research Councilbas along~bi~sbo~y of~xamnin!ing popula~ionis~sue~si~n den aseries ofsludies ~.albave been craned o~u1under velop!ing countries. ln~1971i~lissued fbe pod 2~p~ G~n~: ~ ~1~,^~ me on Poplin and [~mo~napb~ began a major Study of levels and trends of ~dl~ily and mo~ityin Me developing ~odd~tbal ~sul~di!n~13 coun~y~po~s~and 6~po~s on demogn~phi~c~tbods~. ! Tben,}nibc eddy ~1980s,itunde~ook asludy ofibede~rminaulsof ~dli~in1be developing Iodide abide ~s~ul~d~in~l~O~po~s. In the m~id-andla~-I980s, We Com- ~mittee on PoD~l~io~ assessed Me economic consequences of population aroma add Me heals conseq!~ences~of Contras epdve use and cooled ~11~1~> among many o ~ r~clivil:ies. Nopublico~on on ~edemogn~yof$ub-Siba~ Afi~cag~me~ged Bom Seemly Monk oftheconun~i1~e,1 ~ ely because of Me pluckily order and Me poor Ruing of Babe Ads available. Hoover ~c censuses' eggnog Cupric s1~es,and surveys ofrecenlyesrs~sucb as gone under Me aus- pi~cesof Me Dodd Fd~11~ily Suryeyan~d ~c Demo tic and Deals Survey Pronouns, brave made available data on 1be demography of sub~Sabar~n Attica. The data collection basso doubt beens~m~ul~d by ~oinc~asing ingest oxbow s~cholar$and~policymakersi~n ~edemog~phic devel~o~nen ofA~fica~nd Me ~lali~onsbe1~een demo~phiccb~ng~andsocioeconomic developments. In spouse 1O ingest. Me Committee on Population

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bald ~ meeting in 1989 to ascetic Ago ^e Ibid: Ad desirability off major study of He ~mo~=phy of Alcoa, Ad decided to set up ~ F=el on the ~pulalion Dynamics of Sub-Saba~n Africa. He paella ~bicb fit cbal~d by Deane Hill ~ Apace, Bu~pe, Ad 1be aniseed Statism met far He ~1 time in Pang gay 1990 clan ~sb~i~ng10n, D.C. Id men 1bc pa decided ~ sat up six Corking Troupes, composed of its own members Ad onsets experts on 1be d~ogr~hy of Apical tO Cay oul specific studies. Our Ulna groups amused oar c~ss~nationa1 studies off subss~.l~ive issues: 1be s~~ia~1 dynamics of ~o~le~scse~n1 Iliad, ~C10rS acting con~acep~ve use, 1be ecus on moodily of child su:^ivi1 and Era be. IFS. Id the demos ~ _ ~ _ a, ~ . ^ . ~ ~ . ~ ma. Ran each of Comic Avid. 1~1~0 other Norma Buffs there ~.. . . .. ... ^ ~- ~. ~^ . bed bib in~dep~ studies of Kenya Id Senegal, -its ~c obi~ec-live dv!~ l~i~k~ Thee dem~i~c able ad between tease v~- ~e pallet) also decried 10 publ~lsb a volume of pagers ~vie~i~n~ levels and Mends o~1 1e~lilly~, nup~lla11ty~ the prime of ~ililv child glib ad.uI1 morality, intern migrant ~nd~in~le~maliona1 m~tgratio~n. as Dell as He ~em~o!~rap~l!c co~se- quence~s of He AIRS epidemic. Tb!i~$~srepo~os~e~b~f~slb~ fair c~os~s~n~ional~slusdi~es:>an~yz<~stbe~s~ho midges and ti~isng~s~of~Orsl and~se~co~d~bi!Bbs.~ ~ fodukes on~7tba~dk~ld: gSapb~ic~an~d~ssec~onc~n~ic eiped~e~ce$ ib~ece~nt degrades of~sev~e~cooo~ie$s~: Bo~in~Gb~:s~ii. Nieddi~Se~e~.~ld~co and Uganda These co ~ ~ ~ ~ a, ~ , . ~ . ~ , ~ , tees Gem seT!ec~ted~!not~s~because~tbey ~s~ne~es~sstily ~epre~sen~dv~ of slabs Sabarin~fdCb~bL.ibecau~se-tbeyseibib~ted~a~i~ely!~df~ e co~i~!~s~dtu~e IS and b~sto~es~ mioreov!e\~i~e~ch~is~rece~nil~ylbe~s~ecl~ofasu~rvey undies He Espies dfibe Demogriphic~nd~!~ealib!~S~ut)~ey pars in d~o~i~ng~lhe~analys~1s~ tag m!o$~sop~ls~:lcale0!~!~m~!llvan~-~eC~4ues e deli old bo~b~v~e glean flushed ages ~ \e!ve^~cl!es~s~.~ ~ ~1~1 shags abler . . ^ . . ... ~. ^ ~ . . ~ ~^ ~. ~ mideto ~sikethcs~neno~acce$~s~!1e~s~lo a~non~lecSh~l~al~lence~.~l~e~ec~nl~? ^ cal discussion is coned to Cb~r 4.~!~bic~b~v~ie~s~e me!~ods!~used!, Ad slO beg and ~p6nsd~ix~es,~ Bach s~!sdri~be the Sages of Me economic and demonic ~: As is Hose for i11 of tic panel!s ~ork;tbis Upon would not~bave been possible ~i~dboutthe coppe~ralion and~as$i~sl~ance~ofibe De~o~rapb:~c and Heil~tb Surve~y~(D~HS~) P~ogram~ofib~e Inshtu~ for Res~ou~e Dev~el~op~ . , -- ~ ~^ All to the D~HS Etch ~ responding to DO Sys~te-ms. . as a. ourin~u-i~.es~and f~cili-l~li~; obrearly ~ccesslolbe surveys data. we a~ealso grateful 10 1be oi~gan~.z~l~i~o~n~S Unprovided ~is~lsuppc~ for He Cock oflbe panel: tab Ofice o!fPopula~lion arid He Attica Bureau of 1bc Agency forln~rn~ion~1 DeveJopme~nt, Sandra W.hiellon Founda

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arm an ~:~ ~ ~ tion, Me Ill Ed Gore Hc~lel1 ~undatio~n, Ed the Rockwell Foully dalion. Besides providing ~ndi~. He ~p~s~e~nlalives off 1bese o~aniza~ lions Were ~ source of invasion and advice in file ~clopmen1 ~ He ~ ~ it. This Upon rcsu]l$ Ham Be j~Oi~1 equals of the ~o~1~g Coup mimers and sad Ed Upsets ~ consensus of He members' views on He issues addressed. Me Committee OD Population Ed ~ PI on the Popul.ali!on Cynics of Subs A~ca appreciate the lime Ed energy Hat ~.1. He I grow Demurs devoid ~ fed study. Several member and olbe~ deserve ~cogn.~.lion ~r Bela s~c~i~ con1rlbution$: creole Ad~ns~.~P:~.pim, ~1 Assogba, ~ Jackson ~i=-G~ plow gay was in ob~nin~ documents on Heir Stile couches, Ova, ~go, and Scandal Ed in ... . . . . . . . _~_~ ~ bossed the second of the 1bree meeli~n~s of abet I group at ~e== Universily in Kampala. Cayenne H~11 blindly p~vi~^d economic data on Boa. Anew Easer Varied oust He =alysis of mango and Agility wi~tb as$is~nce Pierre Carom of He University off Pennsylvania, and Kennelb Hill and Lima Dawn undo He =al~ysis of cb~il~d morality Sib He Sistine of Gbulam booms of Jobos Hopkins Ives. Foster also Bale ~ Cast drag of Cb~, 3~; ~ill, of Cb~te~ 1 and 6; Shin, of Cb~te~ 4 Ed 7 Ed He ~og~phic porous of Cbapte:rs 2 Ed 3. Cashing Pax sag co~iled He tin series of economic data used lion 1be . . analysis ends emotes He 5~[S1 IS of able economic potions ~ Cb~r$ 2 gad 5. Main served 2$ He principal editor and coo~in~or of He Bang Special~nks~alsodueSus~ Cdke~nd~DianeOoldm~ ~rp~vid- ings~ a~m~inis~ativeandlog~istic~ $UppO~ ~ the ~o~i:n~g group to en~~l~le, Be~nson Id ~orencePo~illon ~rsk~ill~ledi1:~ngoftberepo~, Elalne~G~n~ugb~ ~1:~!c~0usp~d=~0n~s~i^~e>~d.m Europa ~v~uablc~uidan~ceandex~-rdina~ patience rub ~ere- vie~ ~dpxducdonp~esses. SAHEL ~ MASON, Char Committee on Repulsion

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