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Suggested Citation:"Executive Summary." National Research Council. 1993. Demographic Effects of Economic Reversals in Sub-Saharan Africa. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/2228.
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Page 1
Suggested Citation:"Executive Summary." National Research Council. 1993. Demographic Effects of Economic Reversals in Sub-Saharan Africa. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/2228.
×
Page 2
Suggested Citation:"Executive Summary." National Research Council. 1993. Demographic Effects of Economic Reversals in Sub-Saharan Africa. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/2228.
×
Page 3
Suggested Citation:"Executive Summary." National Research Council. 1993. Demographic Effects of Economic Reversals in Sub-Saharan Africa. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/2228.
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Page 4

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EXecuilve Summary ~i$ upon sums Cam concse~,n. 1bat able ec~o~m~ic decline ill some sub- S~ha~ A~icab Lounges in Me list: ~15 yews may have ospec~ially Id Me tulle of vul=~blo g~Up$, sorb Cam ~p~i~ddsiri~1 Eu~ suggests 1bit id midge, and. chi~ldbe~n~ linked to charges in economic co~i- tioas over time. Our testy ls ~ ascertain babe such el~ioSships bald ill We show 1e~ ~ conlemp6~0 shb-S~_ Coca. DlY-ERS~lTY OF ECO~O~lC EX~PERlE\CES The e~xpedences of servers (~6B~ots~ana, Ghana, Kenya Vige- ria, Seal, ~go. Ed Agate =~yze~d in Uris epoch Allbough got =p~se~it~iv~e of #11 of sub-S~an~A~c~, Mesas countless Beg chooses ~1 Age diversity ~ Africa Comic experience. ba1 is bigly typic of me 446vo~ge'7 A~c~ Congo, Knew, I, and Ado bad Awed ~ high economics Garth ages in 1be I9?0s Ad Regive _s of Guam ill the 1980. ObiLi's economic pe~=ce brogan to lea _~- 1970$. Senegal's economy be not ID ~ al in accent decades able Bots~a's bus aroma sleazily. on primal commodity exalts ~ their incomes, Ed verse movemo~ts its Heir lees of Lade in \1 Even coldest bo~ev6~ ~lv be~vlK

2 ECU .~E~ .~ ~ ~^ DATA A\D ~ETHO~DO~LO:GY TbanaJyzetbee~clsofeconom~i~c~vers~lsondemogr~blcoutcomes we ~o~uldi~allyuselonglim~esc~de~s ~ de~mogr~biceve!nts. However, ~ ~nsys~msin sub~S^~mn Agog ~ ammo in Avenge Bus don provide~h~e~n~~s!=y numbers. events, me rely instead got ~ds~c~ve repays fief individual Comets Bull Heir montages and 1bo births and Adds of Heir children. TO ~ me use He dawn ^~ ~o nationally ~pre~senlal:ive De~mograpb~ic Ad H~ei11b Sum vey$ (D8S) Gala Beg condoned in web of our sower Malady cons scorer time in 1be paw ~1986~1990. Tbe dem~-i~c outcomes Cat ~c ~ aloe lo =~yze using tab D8S data are Orson morgues, Last births. second bi~bs, Ad daubs of cb.ild~n under ago 5. ~. .. . .- . ~ conduct lime sedes of 10 miens economic conalllons over time, me use 1be ~l~l~o~l~ng indi c~!ors~re~achcous~t~ abed ale: gros~sdomestic~p~duc1per C.8p~it8$ tb~q~uanlily ~ exporls~le:nn~sof1~e. ad world =~dproducerp~csesof commodities dial ~eimpo~anl~ Scab copays t:ime~se~desofinfonma1~ion onl~n~co~e distribution Public ei~pe~dllu~so!n social. he~lb, and f~m.i.ly planning prams. ~ do not ~1e~mpllo lions economic conditions to Me im~ple~me:~1~ati0n o} struC~ll a~uStmenl poop 9 e$limptz ~e<~#cts,bo~ gu~es~1 ~dl~ed~of~ac~ecsono!mip p~dic~to~ontheoccu~Dcs<~o~f~edem~6i~ceY#nlsbyhbinsm~u~I~i~v)~? a~ board models mat alsoco~[ol~rl:ine~rimcl~nd~s. ~ a#<yze# m<~ige~s~<n~d~rs1 #d&econ~db~ir~~s~om ~rslpikof~ei96ps~ {e ~ ~dp~ Of he 198g, ^~-ci~ ye~di~nd~gp,~) _ eye ~ in 16 1~1~- 780s. Whew possible, He 31~ separable models ~r Ural ad rig pppuii :~:t an ~ Ivy. each count. ~ analyst child modality Tom lamp 10 ~THE~E~ ~: ~ if economic Yes have dem~o~pb.ic enacts, Leo He enact <0o ~2 ~ ~'#.~# Age find witty Ad sbove-~d moiety ~rates. ~Depo~d~ing on ecu Ad politico awns, He also expect the enacts in urban gad Arm areas to ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ . ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ . ~ ~ 41~r ~For~xample,jov-e~nl$tb~ al~mpllo ~prO~C1~ domestic producer pocks Cam v~iad~onin Todd prices may b~vetoresthc1publicse-~loesas 1be~ya~usttolo~gr~orliDdoes.~ltp~ubl~icse~rviceGg~ner~lybe~nCEl-urbai Mae Man ru~1 populations tbe C~01$ ofesc~ono~mic~=ve~r$~ssbould te g~aterin urban gems. Finally me expect sponger effects ^~^~^c -~·v~..~..~ din ad by one com~odit-y and ex~denclng an especially stung ~co nom~i~c sb~k

h~ ~ ~ egg ~ ~ economic conditions ild mo~.ilil~y Ida Especially in USA areas). conditions and the odds of margins Air 1be It flame is also quite clew fit Bang. I, ~ ~ #~} ~ ^ If. first bi~hbs He He strongest of the resells for He ~ demographic ours comes. In Al seven counlries,ex~cept Kenya, gem isoconsis~nlly~~silive reIatio~n 10 economic variation gel of Hand. O!n Me o~lb~e~r~band.1be~resu~lls forse~co!nd bibs a=~perb~pslhe Weakest. Only for Botswana, Obana,and [panda do me find consistence DoSitivc~ Baboons between second climbs Ad economic conditions. He positive association bellmen economic ~ result .~ ~ Niger stands out as the counny Aim 1be sponges ac~noss-lbe-board effects ofec~onomic~ve~sals. TVS believe ~ ~ 1b~ dominance ofone com- modi1~ oil,in Be economy ~ndibe~s~e~verity 0ftbe economic shack account for this Ending In congas, relatively ~ ~ enacts appeased in Kenya, Mica did~n01~suf~rso$evereasboc~k and whose economyis~not~so depend de~1u~pon one cam modify. Our analysis gas su~ecl lo many caveals and tar est~im~e~d educes vary ill size and palte=, especially depending on He Comic indicator unshed ail 1be modal. ~+ve~el~ess, me condo tba1 He economic Overalls exude enced sign sub-San Coca have indeed bad dse~mog~ph~ic excels Ad that 1be lives of may tics brave Men and as ~e, spumed the gags of Heir cb~i~l~dren and made decisions boon. ~14y or Also mange Ad pa~n1

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This book examines the effects of economic downturns in recent decades on first marriages, first and second births, and child mortality in Botswana, Ghana, Kenya, Nigeria, Senegal, Togo, and Uganda.

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