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Demographic Effects of Economic Reversals in Sub-Saharan Africa (1993)

Chapter: 7 Caveats and Comparisons

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Suggested Citation:"7 Caveats and Comparisons." National Research Council. 1993. Demographic Effects of Economic Reversals in Sub-Saharan Africa. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/2228.
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Page 167
Suggested Citation:"7 Caveats and Comparisons." National Research Council. 1993. Demographic Effects of Economic Reversals in Sub-Saharan Africa. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/2228.
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Page 168
Suggested Citation:"7 Caveats and Comparisons." National Research Council. 1993. Demographic Effects of Economic Reversals in Sub-Saharan Africa. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/2228.
×
Page 169
Suggested Citation:"7 Caveats and Comparisons." National Research Council. 1993. Demographic Effects of Economic Reversals in Sub-Saharan Africa. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/2228.
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Page 170

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7 ~ Caves :~ : Em gist study EbiS~!~lt0~-t~S ~ic<^in~1b~is~ten~e~ grails I Gbiba.E~nyA~, Ire S~ng~g~s{~goi<~!~d~ ~Lg~d~bt~ ~bec~~se~ imp assent sub. Africa as a Bobbie bill. Is tab send .6 em ..... ... . ~.,. eC~o*o~d!~ ~royiers~s~in ! ~c~nt~ ! ~dec~des~l~n~S<v~en~S~sub>~< . . .. . . . . . ^.^^~^~,^s~ a ~^,~s^^~^~.~.~S^~ ^~^s~^-s~s^e ~_., _. i ,_ -. . . lO~ermi~d~?inoome~co!dn~ie~s~some~e~been~n~sOvez~l~y~abc!~d ~!dban o~ers~by~!~ecdhOknic dow~blurn!d~in~tie~il~!97~0s~And~1~98~0s~s~!~!~io~eoy~eG~theR ecos~omie~s~b~ve quip di~a~rept~s~Utture~s~bxhiti~tings~dif>~enl~!~sdeg~ees~of d~rs~i~ob~sod~govem men1~i~tvsenliop~. Id~all~e~cepls~s~Uj~nd6~ibbil~d ~iv~b~s~improv~d.,.~bul~i~onl~y~t~o-#B~os~ana~aDd~Es~Kesya--bas~tb~ ~at. S~ s ,.,: ~ .s . Is s ss as . :s :s Is .s s:~s Old ~ ly~ould~b~ve~s~a4~yzed~lpnG~time~sehe~s~of~imleVents~in~ib of~tbe~se counbies~nd~l~i ^ d~s~v~d!~1iob~sin~tbb~nu~bers~0f~tboSe event . . . ^ c~ge~s~ !~i~ecdnomic~ condi~Cig~s.~is~ad,~e~ve~badlo~ely~ob~te~ospecy tive~5po~of~ind!ividu~l~omC~n~ibo~t~tb8~ic~.~bi4ges~bd~dke~bi~bs~d deaths oftbeir~chikL~. glosses do ~sb~c product may not~pno~vide ~ good measure~pf yc~>to~yseer ecosomic~-~d~ion i! econ~o~n~ies ~itb~laTgeinform ~ orsu~bsi~stonc~e~sec~rs. Several oftbe econom~i~c~ndi:calorstbat we bave~used--the expo~q~uantum indcx,tbe tennis of Wades, Dodd c~olnmodi~ pd~es--~neasu~ changes overtimein the ideation economic e~D~vi~onm~e~n1foresob county TV~ would have pan Knead bel~ri~d~i~cat ~ ofvari~ion~s ofeconomic conditions 7d7

7~ #~ =~S ~ s#~ - ~1fbin coupes. For exa~npl~e,exce>1 fog dale 0~ r~nfdl~in Sewage, me above been u~nab~ ~oincludeindi!Cato~ ofenv:iron<men~lcond~idon~stbat~re likely n~bei~pO~1in~pd~m~dly 4gd.cultu~d economizes. For brave me beers able to de~1~1ne~e the disnibudo~n~ aspects of eco- nom~ic cb~nge asi1 bas af~c~d d~dd~ent$egmenils ofe~cb popul~1ion'1be Scab Venus the pow Be ~x e. Am bused ~d^~r~ Ices as Taxies fbrsti~dssis ofli~i6{ i!~ru~u aIe~s,outc~e~pa~cularcom moats ~ o1 v<Tying~impor~ce to each economy and the pa on ofibe~libo~ force e~qployedin each may nolbelarge. SliU, ~e~necog~izedth~ nonproducers ofacom modify miSbloxpedencespillovere~cts~<uncbangesinilspdoe. ~. , ^ , , ^lSO ml~ssm~ 1roln our 8~YS1S are measures ofibe may qoverement responses lo economic reverses awe gad 1~ ~e~1~-belnG ol lee pOppl3 lions. But Eme shades of public expenditures on social' herb, gad frilly pl_~i~ng services ~ got local eno~gb for our purposes Tube Be av~l~le darn ~ de~mo~b~ic ends economic, may not pried -a timing of events Incise Cough to Onyx Me above vamp. For enable, ~-spectiv~e~ ~mog~h!ic dam of Beg son 1bat gel brave cased involve pounds em in ding of evens., Blob may shin extents Tom one Pled yew 10 comes Also, softer of ~ econ~ic~ Edict ~31~ Ha awe it USE! ~ m3~::~!Cb=~g0~S0nl\S ~S~S10~1Y oven. !! ~ ~ mover peaces . ~ , ^ . . Is. Adto~lngl~ !~!od~me~s~!~smAy!~!~no1!~ss~be Ale ~!~los!~!~.!~ecl!~y(#lo< h ~ g e s ~ ~ ~ i n ! ~ ~ ~ ~ c o n d m i ~ ! ~ ! ~ ~ o n d l t i o ~ s ~ ~ i ~ ~ e y ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ l i ~ ~ I ~ ~ ~ ! ~ i b ! ~ ~ e ~ ~ e ~ ~ ~ ~ t o ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ s e ~ s ~ i ~ ~ e ~ ~ ~ ~ t o ~i~ ad ~ Over !!! IS edge I! 8~!~l~le AS: ~:~S~!~ ~ b~e:!~dic~d~ ~1~ ~odology~ ~ He brave tike~!~!~fe~i~nol~!~nedd~s~ari~ly~!~. w6!~Y debut wb!!!~belie~Ve~!~tbal~!~tbby reOrOsen~l~e~son~ble~comonomises~l~t~reallt~ ~ ! :~]b680~ ~civeyts~Scert~inly Suggest di~ecb~oc!s!~!~fdr~f~^be~da~!!~!cbJ~lecstiob indicaletba1dbeeconomicrever$~sexpe~rienc~d~ !!i~sub\~Sib_~ Afire ) ~- dien~!,~!!butchncl~ding dbservad!oDs<~sre~based~!on~tbe Resale fbrtbe~sums~of the coefEcien~ of Me cu~nla~dl~gged values of be economics vadib~- Tbe enacts oTpoor~eco~ndm~i~scosdilio~s~on~sschilds~msouality~s~reclt8~st for Gb~na~s<pspeci~lyin~drd~areas)~nd~i~gedq~espetisallyin urban are The exults a~ mixed far Kenya, Senegal, Tb~o,and~gandi~: S;ome~eco BomiC l~dlc~lors have nerve erects, ~e~ees~olne~ nave po~$lllve offers \~ds1ionsi~n economic conditions ~ppearlo brave bad no ethyls on Vader dons~in~chi~l!d modality ne$oflrend in Botswana. Tbe positive association Careen economic conditions and Be adds of

^~ ~ :~ Woos (e~ci~ly sign u~ In). Ecocp~ic~is generally Eve alive e~cls on madame also fib Kenya and Nigeda, bug ~ exceptions. Am ~.~ of ~ Dawn sedge ~ do! Nag seem got age associated ~7~ Of ~e~fburdemoiriphic o~utcc~ne$,5~1bi^ sloe s_gest~ finks oeConomic~Condidon~s!.!~In~l~ou:~countd~ese~XceptKob~ya~!~ri~ions~in one or~mo=~of ~e!~seco~nomic~iOdicalo~tb~!~ailib~d~!splay!~a~ ~pO$i~vt ~lal:~n~!~v~ia~oh~ssne~1~!~of~eidin~4be~odds of B~t!~sb~i~and~sponc~isbow~s Alike Ion. ~ Be Cults Smiled ! in~!!~eny~.~s~ Oberon Ewe ~q sags I! ss~oS~i~es`~ acts is ~ ~!~0~!!!! !~Signi~[cant~ Spain as ~ s~ ~ ~ ~ , second bib sad flay one di~di~Kenya. Kiowa Stands out its He country ~i~tb ~e~s~on~ge~st ac~o~ss-~e~bo~rd each ofeconom~:~c eras. TVS believe ~1 we dominance oboe coma Bodily oil,in tbe~eco~omy gad Be $ev~ed~ty of tie~economic shock i.n N~i~eha ~ccountfordbis finding. Bol$~a,~sec~ono~nyisalso quip depend dentin a~s~i~glecommo~ty~d~i.~o~d~s. ~bossepd~c~e~sbrie~y dec~Iined~n ~o l.~Os;but ~!~g our, corniest Bots~n~a sands outas an economic and d~m~oc~ib~i!c success no doublin Day because Ifs ~ove~nme~l,~sc~=eful - ~ . moment of avenges. Kenya, Blob did e~he~ce a Cession in lassos, exb~ibiled Icy ~v demographic enacts Of eCso~omic dogs. =~S1 fitly becou~seit~seconom~c~bas~e~iSqube diseased. Evaluating ~ each of economic Oversalts oar s~u~sali~o~al groans, Bulb as USA Acid =~ Sidearm bias been difficult. I:n some cases, He dam available ~ us did not Clog saga ~ division of Me s3~plC$. Far Ohansa, He e~cls on Id ~morlali~, Rat b~i~bs' ~ second brims bane been most Pap ~ Stir Outlaws. Par Kenya' abed Be ells ~ Enemy $~miU' e Sulk he s~l~i~htlyst~ongeri~n rung Mania urban ~as. Tberesulls~in~ ~i~eda ~ sligb~tl~y sangria u~b~n.~sanin ~E ~ss~bu1 Be e~1sof economic reversal appear10 be pervasive!. Por.Ssen~e~1 and Ttgo, Be em facts on manage and 6~IS1 bus brave been ~11 primely in usage Ha, e~c~ial~ly those of resold prices Tbe~seE Sales ~ consist Dim our b~ypo~e~sis tat in countries Curb as S;e~nega1 and Mao whose govem~e~nls con1~l producer paces undo Wee gill e~bi~bit grams demographic eR ~ 1b.an ~111rura1 ~as. Tbere~soni~gistb~ intb~esecoun1desgove=- meB~l ev~en~uesandexpendi~:=s ~spondlocb~nges~i~n Todd pdc~e~sandlbat u~bana~asa~ ~ep~ma~ bene~ci~d!esof~ovcnnmen~texpend~ as. Wbe~ utb~neatcls ~relativeJ.y s1:rong~itcould also belbatruralb.ous~bolds ^ _

~7~ ~ ~S ~~ sSs#~*~ ~ Mar able ~ ad~1 ~ into price ones by hang Sots mass met ~=e~~ ~by~sb~i~!i~g away ~ac~1iv~itic~s than b~v~b~cpme . a. . lesser I ~ ~ ~ .~ ~ .. ~ ~ ~ Aim. lo ~sc~oncl!usion~,~ ~cb =@css~in~bcop~dyn~ic~Econdi~ons~ig~bece~1~decade~s~ig~d se~vensub-Ssb~n - oounties~s~[ed~biv6~b~en~r~80c ~ Slav dons Is be nol~=mp~d~ to~li^ ~e~!deleri~on~bf economic caddies ~ :: We ~i!=lemcn~uon.~E~of~s-clur~s~sa~ds~_~ to s~some~sof blob May We ~ao E~sl~llv~e000~$s~ ~^ ~ away Was ~ causes A ~long<~!~mo~ g~bic~ I ~ER-er,~s~pur~i~go~ Was ~en~ Mob gibe ~un~is1~!~ of ~ e ~ ~ i ~ a ~ s o c i ~ t i o n s ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ b ~ ~ - ~ 1 e ~ ~ ~ v ~ ~ o ~ ~ s ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ c ~ ~ o m 1 c ~ ~ i ~ d ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ 1 c indicamrs in ICE!. 0= trysts indicates- 1ba1 the lives of may peon 1 ! i k e 1 ~ ~ ~ ~ a ~ c e d ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ b y ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ e ~ ~ ~ m i c ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ e ~ s ~ ~ s ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ! b e ~ y ~ ~ ~ s u ~:or~ ~^ ~ ~ci~siOns ~ ~l~y ~!~0~: ~d ~e ~=d E:~.:

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This book examines the effects of economic downturns in recent decades on first marriages, first and second births, and child mortality in Botswana, Ghana, Kenya, Nigeria, Senegal, Togo, and Uganda.

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