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APPENDIX ~ J References and Bibliography Ahlberg, I. H., E. N. Nilson, and I. L. Walsh (1967~. The Theory of Splines and Their Applica- tion. New York: Academic Press. Algermissen, S. T. (1969) . Seismic risk studies in the United States. Paper presented at 4th World Conference on Earthquake Engineering, Santiago, Chile. Algermissen, S. T. (1983~. An Introduction to the Seismicity of the United States. EERI Mono- graph. Berkeley, California: Earthquake Engineering Research Institute. 148 pp. Algermissen, S. T. and D. M. Perkins (1976~. A Probabilistic Estimate of Maximum Acceleration in Rock in the Contiguous United States. Open-File Report 76-416. Reston, Virginia: U.S. Geological Survey, U.S. Department of the Interior.45 pp. Algermissen, S. T., D. M. Perkins, P. C. Thenhaus, S. L. Hanson, and B. L. Bender (1982~. Probabilistic Estimates of Maximum Acceleration and Velocity in Rock in the Contiguous United States. Open File Report 82-1033. Reston, Virginia: U.S. Geological Survey, U.S. Department of the Interior. American Meteorological Society (1959~. Glossary of Meteorology, Ralph Huschke, ed. Boston, Massachusetts. American Society of Civil Engineers (1973~. Re-evaluating Spillway Adequacy of Existing Dams. New York: Task Committee of the Committee on Hydrometeorology, Hydraulics Division. Benjamin, I. R. and C. A. Cornell (1970~. Probability, Statistics and Decisions for Civil Engi- neers. New York: McGraw-Hill. Benson, M. A. (1968~. Uniform flood-frequency estimating methods for federal agencies. Water Resources Research 4~5~:891-908. Buehler, B. (1984~. Discussion on paper by Donald W. Newton, "Realistic assessment of maxi- mum flood potentials." Journal of Hydraulic Engineering 110~8~: 1166-1168. Bureau of Reclamation (1981a). Criteria for Selecting and Accommodating Inflow Design Floods for Storage Dams. ACER Technical Memo 1. Washington, D.C.: U.S. Department of the Interior. 43 pp. Bureau of Reclamation (1981b). Freeboard Criteria and Guidelines for Computing Freeboard 259

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260 Appendix G Allowances for Storage Dams. ACER Technical Memo 2. Washington, D.C.: U.S. Depart- ment of the Interior. 70 pp. Bureau of Reclamation (1984~. Design Standards, No. 13, Chapter 14. Washington, D. C.: U.S. Department of the Interior. Cohn, T. and I. R. Stedinger (1983~. The use of historical flood records in flood frequency analysis. Paper presented at American Geophysical Union Meeting, San Francisco, Califor- nia, December 1983. Committee on Safety of Existing Dams (1983~. Safety of Existing DamsEvaluation and Improvement. Prepared under auspices of Water Science and Technology Board, Commis- sion on Engineering and Technical Systems, National Research Council. Washington, D. C.: National Academy Press.374 pp. Condie, R. and K. A. Lee (1982~. Flood Frequency Analysis with Historic Information, Journal of Hydrology 58:47-61. Covello, V. T., W. G. Flamm, J. V. Rodricks, and R. G. Tardiff feds.) (1983~. The Analysis of Actual Versus Perceived Risks. New York: Plenum. Dower, R. C. (1983~. Survey of Federal Agency Research and Application of Economic Benefits Analysis. Prepared by the Environmental Law Institute for the U.S. Environmental Protec- tion Agency. Fenn, D. D. (in press). Probable Maximum Precipitation Estimates forJohns Creek Basin above Dewey Dam. NOAA Technical Memorandum NWS HYDRO 41. Silver Spring, Maryland: National Weather Service, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, U.S. Depart- ment of Commerce. Fuller, W. E. (1914~. 1914 Flood flows. Transaction of the American Society of Civil Engineers ASCE 77:564-617. Gillette, R. (1974~. Nuclear safety: Calculating the odds of disaster. Science 185:838-839. Gould, B. W. (1973~. Discussion of "Bias in computed flood risk." Journal of Hydraulics Divi- sion, ASCE 99(HY1~:270-273. Hansen, E. M., J. T. Riedel, and F. K. Schwarz (1977~. Probable Maximum Precipitation EstimatesColorado River and Great Basin Drainages. Hydrometeorological Report 49. Silver Spring, Maryland: National Weather Service, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, U.S. Department of Commerce. 161 pp. Hansen, E. M., L. C. Schreiner, and I. F. Miller (1982~. Application of Probable Maximum Precipitation EstimatesUnited States East of the 105th Meridian. Hydrometeorological Report 52. Washington, D.C.: National Weather Service, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, U.S. Department of Commerce. 168 pp. Hershfield, D. M. (1961~. Estimating the probable maximum precipitation. Proceedings, ASCE, Journal of Hydraulics Division 87:99-106. Hershfield, D.M. (1965~. Methods of estimating probable maximum precipitation. Journal of American Waterworks Association 57:965-972. Ho, F. P. and J. T. Riedel (1980~. Seasonal Variation of 10-Square Mile Probable Maximum Precipitation EstimatesUnited States East of the 105th Meridian. Hydrometeorological Report 53. Washington, D.C.: National Weather Service. 89 pp. Hornbeck, R. W. (1975~. Numerical Methods. Englewood Cliffs, New Jersey: Prentice-Hall. Housner, G. W. and P. C. Jennings (1982~. Engineering Monographs on Earthquake Criteria, Structural Design, and Strong Motion Records, Vol.4, Earthquake Design Criteria, Berkeley, California: Earthquake Engineering Research Institute. Huber, P. (1983~. The old-new division in risk regulation. Virginia Law Review 69: 1025-1107. Interagency Advisory Committee on Water Data (1982~. Guidelines for Determining-Flood Flow Frequency. Washington, D.C. Interagency Committee on Dam Safety (1983~. Proposed Federal Guidelines for Selecting and

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Appendix G 261 Accommodating Inflow Design Floods for Dams. Draft prepared by Working Group on Inflow Design Floods, Subcommittee 1 of ICODS. International Commission on Large Dams (1974~. Earthquake Committee. International Commission on Large Dams (1975~. A Review of Earthquake Resistant Design of Dams. Bulletin No. 27. U.S. Committee on Large Dams, Boston, Massachusetts: Chas. T. Main, Inc. International Conference of Building Officials (1979~. Uniform Building Code, 1979 Edition. Whittier, California. Jarrett, R. D. and I. E. Costa (1982~. Multidisciplinary Approach to the Flood Hydrology of Foothill Streams in Colorado. Report on International Symposium on Hydrometeorology June 1982~. Denver, Colorado: American Water Resource Association, pp. 565-560. Jennings, A. H. (1952~. Maximum 24-Hour Precipitation in the United States. Technical Paper 16. Washington, D.C.: U.S. Weather Bureau, U.S. Department of Commerce. 284 pp. Kirby, W. (1978~. Predictions of streamflow hazards. Pp. 202-215 in Geophysical Predictions. Washington, D.C.: National Academy Press. Kite, G. W. (1977~. Frequency and Risk Analyses in Hydrology. Fort Collins, Colorado: Water Resources Publications. Lave, L. B. (1981~. The Strategy of Social Regulation: Decision Frameworks for Policy. Wash- ington, D.C.: Brookings Institution. Miller, I. F. (1963~. Probable Maximum Precipitation and Rainfall-Frequency Data for Alaska. Technical Paper 47. Washington, D.C.: U.S. Weather Bureau, U.S. Department of Com- merce. 69 pp. Miller, I. F., R. H. Frederick, and R. I. Tracey (1973~. Precipitation-frequency atlas of the western United States. NOM Atlas 2. Silver Spring, Maryland: National Weather Service, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, U. S. Department of Commerce. l l vols. Miller, I. F., E. M. Hansen, and D. D. Fenn (1984~. Probable Maximum Precipitation for the Upper Deerfield River Drainage Massachusetts and Vermont. NOAA Technical Memoran- dum NSW HYDRO 39. Silver Spring, Maryland: National Weather Service, National Oce- anic and Atmospheric Administration, U.S. Department of Commerce.36 pp. Myers, V. A. (1967~. The Estimation of Extreme Precipitation as the Basis for Design Floods Resume of Practice in the United States. Pp. 84-101 in Publication 84, Symposium at Lenin- grad (1967~. Gentbrugge, Belgium: International Association of Scientific Hydrology. New Columbia Encyclopedia (1975~. Fourth ea., William H. Harris and Judith S. Levey, eds. New York: Columbia University Press. Newton, D. W. (1983~. Realistic assessment of maximum flood potentials. ASCE Journal of Hydraulic Engineering 109~6~:905-918. Riedel, I. T. (1977~. Assessing the probable maximum flood. Water Power and Dam Construc- tion (December). Riedel, I. T. and L. C. Schreiner (1980~. Comparison of Generalized Estimates of Probable Maximum Precipitation with Greatest Observed Rainfalls. NOAA Technical Report NWS 25. Silver Spring, Maryland: National Weather Service, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, U.S. Department of Commerce. 66 pp. Riedel, I. T., I. F. Appleby, and R. W. Schloemer (1956~. Seasonal Variation of the Probable Maximum Precipitation East of the 105th Meridian for Areas of 10 to 1,000 Square Miles and Durations of 6, 12, 24, and 48 Hours. Hydrometeorological Report 33. Washington, D.C.: U.S. Weather Bureau, U.S. Department of Commerce. 58 pp. Schreiner, L. C. and I. T. Riedel (1978~. Probable Maximum Precipitation EstimatesUnited States East of the 105th Meridian. Hydrometeorological Report 51. Silver Spring, Maryland: National Weather Service, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, U.S. Depart- ment of Commerce.87 pp.

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262 Appendix G Schwarz, F. K. (1963~. Probable Maximum Precipitation in the Hawaiian Islands. Hydrome- teorological Report 39. Washington, D.C.: Weather Bureau, U.S. Department of Com- merce.98 pp. Seed, H. B. and I. M. Idriss (1982~. Ground Motions and Soil Liquefactions During Earth- quakes. Berkeley, California: Earthquake Engineering Research Institute. 134 pp. Stedinger, J. R. (1983a). Design events with a specified flood risk. Water Resources Research l9(April): 511-522. Stedinger, I. R. (1983b). Estimating a regional flood frequency distribution. Water Resources Research l9(April): 503-510. Stedinger, I. R. (1983c). Confidence intervals for design events. Journal of Hydraulics Division, ASCE 109(HY1~: 13-27. Thaler, R. and W. Gould (1982~. Public Policies Toward Lifesaving: Should Consumer Prefer- ences Rule? Journal of Policy Analysis and Management 1 (2) :223-242. Tschantz, B. A. (1983~. Report on Review of State Non-Federal Dam Safety Programs. Wash- ington, D.C.: Federal Emergency Management Agency. Tschantz, B. A. (1984~. Updated Review Summary of State Non-Federal Dam Safety Programs. Washington, D.C.: Federal Emergency Management Agency. U.S. Army Corps of Engineers (1945~. Storm Rainfall in the United States. Washington, D.C. U.S. Army Corps of Engineers (1982~. Report of the Chief of Engineers to the Secretary of the Army on the National Program of Inspection of Non-Federal Dams. Washington, D.C. U.S. Atomic Energy Commission (1974~. An Assessment of Accident Risks in U.S. Commercial Nuclear Power Plants. Washington, D.C. U.S. Committee on Large Dams (1970~. Criteria and Practices Utilized in Determining the Required Capacity of Spillways. Report of USCOLD Committee on Failures and Accidents to Large Dams other than in Connection with the Foundations. U.S. Department of the Interior (1982~. Guidelines for Determining Flood Flow Frequency. Reston, Virginia: U.S. Geological Survey, Office of Water Data Coordination. U.S. National Weather Service (1943-1984~. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administra- tion Hydrometeorological Reports 1-55. (A series of PMP Studies for various drainages of regions. Many were not published, and many are out of print. Some are listed by authors elsewhere in this bibliography.) Washington, D.C. U.S. National Weather Service (1968~. Climatic Atlas of the United States. Washington, D.C.: U.S. Department of Commerce. U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission (1981~. Proceedings of Workshop on a Proposed Safety Goal by the NRC, July 23-24, 1981. Washington, D.C.: U.S. Government Printing Office, Division of Technical Information and Document Control NUREG/CP-0020. U.S. Weather Bureau (1947~. Generalized Estimates of Maximum Possible Precipitation Over the United States East of the 105th Meridian. Hydrometeorological Report 23. Washington, D.C.: U.S. Department of Commerce. Pp. ~6. U.S. Weather Bureau (1960~. Generalized Estimates of Probable Maximum Precipitation West of the 105th Meridian. Technical Report 38. Washington, D.C.: U.S. Department of Com- merce. U.S. Weather Bureau (1961a). Interim ReportProbable Maximum Precipitation in Califor- nia. (Including revision of 1969.) Hydrometeorological Report 36. Washington, D.C.: U.S. Department of Commerce. 101 pp. U.S. Weather Bureau (1961b3. Generalized Estimates of Probable Maximum Precipitation and Rainfall-Frequency Data for Puerto Rico and Virgin Islands. Technical Paper 42. Washing- ton, D.C.: U.S. Department of Commerce. 94 pp. U.S. Weather Bureau (1966a). Probable Maximum Precipitation EstimatesNorthwest States. (Including revision of 1981.) Hydrometeorological Report 43. Washington, D.C.: U.S. De- partment of Commerce, Environmental Science Services Administration. 118 pp.

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Appendix G U.S. Weather Bureau (1966b). Meteorological Conditions for the Probable Maximum Flood on the Ukon Above Rambort, Alaska. Hydrometeorological Report 42. Washington, D.C.: U.S. Department of Commerce. Vogel, R. and I. R. Stedinger (1984~. Floodplain Delineation in Ice Jam Prone Regions. Journal of Water Resources, Planning and Management 110(WR2~:206-219. Wall, I. B. (1974~. Probabilistic assessment of flooding hazard for nuclear power plants. Nuclear Safety 15~4~:399-408. Wallis, I. R. (1980~. Risk and uncertainties in the evaluation of flood events for the design of hydrologic structures. Paper presented at the Seminar on Extreme Hydrological Events: Floods and Droughts, Centro di Cult. Sci. "E. Majorana," Erice, Italy, March 22-25,1980. Westergaard, H. M. (1933~. Water pressures on dams during earthquakes. Transactions ASCE 98:418-433. World Meteorological Organization (1969~. Manual for Depth-Area-Duration Analysis of Storm Precipitation. WMO Report 129. Geneva, Switzerland. World Meteorological Organization (1973~. Manual for Estimation of Probable Maximum Precipitation. Operational Hydrology Report 1. Geneva, Switzerland. Zangar, C. N. (1952~. Hydrodynamic Pressures on Dams Due to Earthquake Effects. Engineer- ing Monograph 11. Washington, D.C.: Bureau of Reclamation. 263