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Natural Climate Variability on Decade-to-Century Time Scales
Alaska
meteorological network, 88 , 89
precipitation, 55 , 73 , 77-78
temperatures, 81 , 82 , 84 , 88 , 89 , 475 , 476
Albedo, planetary, See also Atmospheric albedo 94 ;
Ice-albedo feedback;
Surface albedo
Alerce trees (Fitzroya cupressoides) , 494
Aleutian Low System, 134 , 137 , 139 , 146 , 475 , 476 , 478 , 479 , 480 , 481
Algal blooms, 568-569
Allerød-Bølling interstadial complex, 552
Along-Track Scanning Radiometer, 508
Analysis of Rapid and Recent Climate Change (ARRCC), 196 , 198 , 431
Antarctic Bottom Water, 366 , 384 , 385 , 388 , 396 , 537
Antarctic Circumpolar Current, 119 , 140 , 351 , 371 , 388 , 395 , 397 , 401-402 , 403 , 406 , 527 , 528
Antarctic Intermediate Water, 385 , 537
Antarctica
ice, 208 , 272
ice cores, 55 , 119 , 493
meteorological network, 201
snow cover, 50 , 59
Anthropogenic changes to climate
distinguishing between natural changes and, 7 , 562 , 567
modeling, 421 , 430
and precipitation changes, 15
Arabian Sea, 53
Arctic
climate cycle, 121 , 129 , 130 , 237 , 254-257 , 261
fresh-water transport from, 313 , 379-380
sea-level pressure, 260
sea ice, 243 , 258 , 260 , 367
temperatures, 219
Arctic Climate Change Program (ACCP), 423-425
Arctic Climate System (ACSYS), 55
Arctic Institute, 252
Arctic Intermediate Water, 263 , 309 , 316 , 383
Arctic Ocean
air temperature, 436
circulation, 289
Eurasian Basin, 286 , 287
fresh-water, 311 , 315
runoff into, 129 , 254-255 , 257 , 258-259 , 262 , 312 , 314
salinity, 322
sea ice, 254 , 424
snow, 62
temperatures, 31
tracer studies, 286
Arctic Red River (city), 257
Assessment of climate change.
See also Climate-signal detection;
Instrumental record;
Models/modeling
difficulties, 6-7 , 13
information sources, 2 , 6
measures of change, 6
observational data plus models, 601-602
spatial dependency, 7 , 30
statistical characterizations, 7
Atbara, 35
Atlantic Climate Change Program, 239 , 421 , 423-425
Atlantic Deep Western Boundary Current, 236 , 239 , 283-285 , 289 , 424
Atlantic Ocean.
See also North Atlantic Ocean
deep water, 303
eastern subtropical, 130
heat transport, 191 , 529
models, 140 , 385-397
overturning, 532
salinity, 386 , 402-403 , 404
surface properties, 21
temperature, 246 , 260 , 386 , 509-510
water-mass distribution, 385
water properties, 21
wind stress, 386
Atlantic Voluntary Observing Ships Special Observing Project, 424
Atmospheric (cloud) albedo, 93 , 94 , 165
Atmospheric circulation.
See also Coupled atmospheric-oceanic circulation systems;
Winds;
specific features
anticyclones, 90 , 116-118 , 128 , 132 , 255 , 475
biennial-scale fluctuations, 128
century-scale variations, 117-118
cyclonic, 127 , 357 , 360 , 362
data sources, 112 , 113 , 117-118
decadal-scale fluctuations, 13 , 116-117 , 128 , 189
double jet structure, 119
eddy vorticity fluxes, 478
equivalent-barotropic vertical structure, 112 , 113 , 116 , 118
glacial-to-interglacial transition, 552 , 553
Hadley cell, 41 , 193 , 194
and heat-flux anomalies, 119 , 128 , 136-139 , 147-148
inherent variability in, 188-190
interannual variations, 111-116
mechanisms, 115-116
momentum flux, 115
and North Atlantic climate, 124-128 , 424
North Pacific climate, 21 , 347 , 472-474 , 476-477
Northern Hemisphere, 121
and oceanic circulation, 399
phase lags, 114
pressure and, 112 , 116-117 , 118 , 128
proxy data on, 112 , 117-118 , 119
and rainfall, 41 , 42 , 117
and salinity, 294
and sea surface temperature, 124-128 , 261 , 327 , 414 , 424
snow cover and, 50-58 , 414
Southern Hemisphere, 111-119
storm tracks, 115-116 , 118 , 119 , 137 , 473 , 478
temperature and, 116 , 117-118 , 261
transient eddy activity, 115-116
upper-air data, 112-116
Walker circulation, 41 , 356 , 499
wave trains, 114-115 , 116 , 118
wind-stress curl, 272 , 386
zonally symmetric modes, 113-114 , 115-116 , 118 , 165
Atmospheric Model Intercomparison Project, 399 , 400
Atmospheric models/modeling.
See also Coupled general-circulation models;
General-circulation models
applications, 164-168 , 601
baroclinic flow, 166
cloud component, 430
constraints on, 426-427
detection of forced climate signals, 175-181
deterministic, 171-172
greenhouse effect, 169-174
natural climate variability, 169-174
one-dimensional, 165
optimal filters, 177-178 , 179
paleoclimatic data interpretation, 167-174
primitive-equation, 399 , 426-427
sensitivity, 601
tritium fluxes, 277
types, 11 , 164-166 , 354
U.K. Meteorological Office Unified Model, 250
validation, 166-168 , 425-426
zero-dimensional, 164-165
Atmospheric temperature.
See Air temperature
Australia
atmospheric circulation, 113 , 116 , 118 , 119