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strategic deterrence as our will and ability to wield military
power to prevent or inhibit the use of force by another state in a
manner of which we disapprove.
Successful deterrence lies with careful and precise application
of such a policy. In practice, deterrence is an element of a
specific security strategy, and such strategy does not evolve in
isolation. There is a logic, or a series of steps based on a broad
policy objective, that we follow to arrive at a strategy. To reason
out and implement deterrence in foreign policy, we identify whom we
want to deter from doing something, how we want to deter them,
under what circumstances, and by what means we plan to deter them.
Thereafter we must decide how we obtain those means. More simply,
we have to know which states we want to deter from doing
whatand we have to decide what we need to do so and how to
get it.
To deter specific cases of aggression, the best deterrent is
possession of superior military fighting capabilities coupled with
well-thought-through "use" and "declaratory" doctrines. However, it
is also essential, although often overlooked, that the target
government and leadership we wish to deter respond to the logic of
deterrencethat they recognize, understand, and react to our
efforts to inhibit their actions as we would have them do. Such
behavior requires a similar logical thought process to our own, an
assumption not always justified.
Much of the Cold War discussion about deterrence has muddled our
understanding of the concept. We should guard against a general
notion of deterrence as an end in itself rather than as a tool, a
means to an end. Many writers, and even policy makers, attempted to
treat deterrence as an abstract. In the Cold War years, these
efforts aimed at creating a general theory and policy of
deterrence, with an associated clutch of models one might apply to
help understand and address unfolding challenges to the United
States. The unique security challenges to the United States during
the Cold War helped engender this search for a general theory. It
was a bipolar world, and to deter war meant inhibiting the Soviet
Union from using force to further its foreign policy goals.
Furthermore, since we could assume that any use of force between
the superpowers would lead to escalation into eventual nuclear war,
debate centered on coupling nuclear and conventional arms
deterrence as the key to prevent general war. Ultimately, these
Cold War efforts toward "general" deterrence against all types of
aggression failed, although the idea has resurfaced more
recently.
COLD WAR DETERRENCE AND THE LIMITS OF
NUCLEAR WEAPONS
During the Cold War, U.S. foreign policy and security strategy
flowed from the threat of the Soviet Union and the ultimate threat
of nuclear war. We designed and implemented a national security
strategy centered on containing further Soviet expansion and
deterring Soviet use of force toward achieving their foreign policy
ends. Although we sought to reduce the risk of nuclear war,