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OCR for page R1
Report of the Observer Panel for the U.S.-Japan Earthquake Policy Symposium
REPORT OF THE OBSERVER PANEL FOR THE U.S.-JAPAN EARTHQUAKE POLICY SYMPOSIUM
U.S.-Japan Earthquake Policy Symposium Observer Panel
Board on Natural Disasters
Commission on Geosciences, Environment, and Resources
National Research Council
NATIONAL ACADEMY PRESS
Washington, D.C.
1997
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Report of the Observer Panel for the U.S.-Japan Earthquake Policy Symposium
NOTICE: The project that is the subject of this report was approved by the Governing Board of the National Research Council, whose members are drawn from the councils of the National Academy of Sciences, the National Academy of Engineering, and the Institute of Medicine. The members of the panel responsible for the report were chosen for their special competences and with regard for appropriate balance.
This report has been reviewed by a group other than the authors according to procedures approved by a Report Review Committee consisting of members of the National Academy of Sciences, the National Academy of Engineering, and the Institute of Medicine.
Support for this study was provided by the Federal Emergency Management Agency.
Additional copies of this report are available from:
Board on Natural Disasters
National Research Council
2101 Constitution Avenue, NW
Washington, DC 20418
202-334-1964
The cover art for this report was created by Carrie Mallory, a graduate of the Cooper Union for the Advancement of Science and Art. She takes many of her themes for the natural world, and she has provided several covers for National Research Council reports. The original wood block for this cover was created using traditional Japanese carving tools, techniques, and inks.
Copyright 1997 by the National Academy of Sciences. All rights reserved.
Printed in the United States of America
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Report of the Observer Panel for the U.S.-Japan Earthquake Policy Symposium
U.S.-JAPAN EARTHQUAKE POLICY SYMPOSIUM OBSERVER PANEL
WILFRED IWAN, Chair,
California Institute of Technology, Pasadena
WILLIAM HALL,
University of Illinois, Urbana-Champaign
LUCILE JONES,
U.S. Geological Survey, Pasadena, California
STEPHANIE H. MASAKI-SCHATZ,
ARCO, Los Angeles, California
PAUL SOMERVILLE,
Woodward-Clyde Federal Services, Pasadena, California
L. THOMAS TOBIN,
Tobin & Associates, Mill Valley, California
Staff
CHARLES MEADE, Study Director
SUSAN SHERWIN, Senior Project Assistant
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Report of the Observer Panel for the U.S.-Japan Earthquake Policy Symposium
BOARD ON NATURAL DISASTERS
WILFRED IWAN, Chair,
California Institute of Technology, Pasadena
LLOYD CLUFF,
Pacific Gas and Electric Company, San Francisco, California
HENRY FALK,
Centers for Disease Control, Atlanta, Georgia
LUCILE JONES,
U.S. Geological Survey, Pasadena, California
JAMES KIMPEL,
University of Oklahoma, Norman
HOWARD KUNREUTHER,
University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia
WALTER LYNN,
Cornell University, Ithaca, New York
STEPHANIE H. MASAKI-SCHATZ,
ARCO, Los Angeles, California
JOANNE NIGG,
University of Delaware, Newark
DALLAS PECK,
U.S. Geological Survey, Reston, Virginia
RICHARD ROTH,
Northbrook, Illinois
HARVEY RYLAND,
Insurance Institute for Property Loss Reduction, Boston, Massachusetts
ELLIS STANLEY,
Atlanta-Fulton County Emergency Management Agency, Atlanta, Georgia
FRANK THOMAS,
Loudon, Tennessee
GILBERT WHITE,
University of Colorado, Boulder
Staff
STEPHEN PARKER, Director
CHARLES MEADE, Senior Program Officer
GREGORY SYMMES, Staff Officer
ANDRE VARCHAVER, Consultant
SUSAN SHERWIN, Senior Project Assistant
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Report of the Observer Panel for the U.S.-Japan Earthquake Policy Symposium
COMMISSION ON GEOSCIENCES, ENVIRONMENT, AND RESOURCES
GEORGE M. HORNBERGER, Chair,
University of Virginia, Charlottesville
PATRICK R. ATKINS,
Aluminum Company of America, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania
JAMES P. BRUCE,
Canadian Climate Program Board, Ottawa, Ontario
WILLIAM L. FISHER,
University of Texas, Austin
JERRY F. FRANKLIN,
University of Washington, Seattle
DEBRA S. KNOPMAN,
Progressive Foundation, Washington, D.C.
PERRY L. MCCARTY,
Stanford University, California
JUDITH E. MCDOWELL,
Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution, Massachusetts
S. GEORGE PHILANDER,
Princeton University, New Jersey
RAYMOND A. PRICE,
Queen's University at Kingston, Ontario
THOMAS C. SCHELLING,
University of Maryland, College Park
ELLEN K. SILBERGELD,
University of Maryland Medical School, Baltimore
VICTORIA J. TSCHINKEL,
Landers and Parsons, Tallahassee, Florida
National Research Council Staff
STEPHEN RATTIEN, Executive Director
STEPHEN D. PARKER, Associate Executive Director
MORGAN GOPNIK, Assistant Executive Director
GREGORY SYMMES, Reports Officer
JAMES MALLORY, Administrative Officer
SANDI FITZPATRICK, Administrative Associate
MARQUITA SMITH, PC Analyst and Project Assistant
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Report of the Observer Panel for the U.S.-Japan Earthquake Policy Symposium
The National Academy of Sciences is a private, nonprofit, self-perpetuating society of distinguished scholars engaged in scientific and engineering research, dedicated to the furtherance of science and technology and to their use for the general welfare. Upon the authority of the charter granted to it by the Congress in 1863, the Academy has a mandate that requires it to advise the federal government on scientific and technical matters. Dr. Bruce Alberts is president of the National Academy of Sciences.
The National Academy of Engineering was established in 1964, under the charter of the National Academy of Sciences, as a parallel organization of outstanding engineers. It is autonomous in its administration and in the selection of its members, sharing with the National Academy of Sciences the responsibility for advising the federal government. The National Academy of Engineering also sponsors engineering programs aimed at meeting national needs, encourages education and research, and recognizes the superior achievements of engineers. Dr. William A. Wulf is interim president of the National Academy of Engineering.
The Institute of Medicine was established in 1970 by the National Academy of Sciences to secure the services of eminent members of appropriate professions in the examination of policy matters pertaining to the health of the public. The Institute acts under the responsibility given to the National Academy of Sciences by its congressional charter to be an adviser to the federal government and, upon its own initiative, to identify issues of medical care, research, and education. Dr. Kenneth I. Shine is president of the Institute of Medicine.
The National Research Council was organized by the National Academy of Sciences in 1916 to associate the broad community of science and technology with the Academy's purposes of furthering knowledge and advising the federal government. Functioning in accordance with general policies determined by the Academy, the Council has become the principal operating agency of both the National Academy of Sciences and the National Academy of Engineering in providing services to the government, the public, and the scientific and engineering communities. The Council is administered jointly by both Academies and the Institute of Medicine. Dr. Bruce M. Alberts and Dr. William A. Wulf are chairman and interim vice chairman, respectively, of the National Research Council
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Report of the Observer Panel for the U.S.-Japan Earthquake Policy Symposium
Contents
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
1
1
INTRODUCTION
3
2
BILATERAL PROGRAMS
7
Existing Agreements
7
New Cooperative Mechanisms from the Earthquake Policy Symposium
11
Conclusions
12
3
TOPICS FOR POLICY AND RESEARCH COLLABORATION
13
Earthquake Forecasting, Warning, and Hazard Zonation
15
Earthquake Risk Assessment and Loss Estimation
20
Earthquake Resistant Design, Construction, Rehabilitation, and Repair Standards
24
Earthquake Preparation, Response, Recovery, and Mitigation
27
Conclusions
27
4
CONCLUSIONS AND RECOMMENDATIONS
29
Policy Leadership
30
Strategic Planning
30
Measuring Success
31
Expanded Dialogue
31
Function-to-Function Collaboration
31
Liaison Contact
32
Funding
32
APPENDIX A:
Correspondence
35
APPENDIX B:
American and Japanese Invitees
39
APPENDIX C:
Symposium Agenda
49
APPENDIX D:
Joint Statement
59
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Report of the Observer Panel for the U.S.-Japan Earthquake Policy Symposium
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