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Technology
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Relevance
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Prognosis
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High-density storage and memory
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Capacity to deal with large volumes of data and high rates of transmission for today's science demands.
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Precipitous drop in cost. Holographic and high-density optical memory technology will enter market.a
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Encryption/authentication
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Ability to protect copyright, the privacy of individuals, and data integrity.
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Imbedded encryption in numerous products expected to make privacy and security applications manageable. Widespread application of public-key encryption
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Packet asynchronous transfer mode (ATM) communications
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Support for high-speed, flexible transmission of video and images.
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Long-term steady growth in ATM applications over high-speed fiber-optic links. Use of ATM within local area networks, competitive with other local area network (LAN) technologies (e.g., 100-Mbps Ethernet)
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Sensors
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Extension of the range of that which can be observed (more precision, more spectral range, higher sampling frequency, less calibration effort)
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New multispectral sensors, improved resolution, smaller and more numerous satellites. Additional terrestrial applications (e.g., agriculture).
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Small satellites (and inexpensive launches)
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Lowering of barriers to entry for remote sensing applications.
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Increased space and ground remote sensing activity. Broader array of applications.b
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Wireless (space and ground) communications
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Capability to enhance communication in remote areas or areas where post, telephone, and telegraph have limited capability/capacity.
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Worldwide access to voice and high-speed data transmission within 5 years. Wireless systems filling in to meet communications needs that ongoing investments in fiber cable or wireline systems have been unable to accommodate.
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High-performance computer processors
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Enhanced capability for computationally intensive science activities (e.g., models, transformation of large data sets).
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More expensive fabrication processes expected to cause reduction in supplier alternatives.c Potential for "single-electron" circuits. d Moore's law applying through 2005, or longer.
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Robotics for exploration and for technology data transmission, from or to inaccessible places
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Improved autonomy of vehicles for ocean and atmosphere studies and for planetary missions.
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New frames for small submarines and pilotless aircraft (driven in part by military applications); "downhole" oil, gas, and geologic exploration; micro-electromechanical systems (MEMs) applications. e
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