. "The Anti-Alcohol Campaign and Variations in Russian Mortality." Premature Death in the New Independent States. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press, 1997.
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ANNEX TABLE 8-1 Coefficients from Regressions of Age-Specific Death Rates (ASDRs) by Cause of Death on Alcohol Consumption and Yearly Trend, 1980-1992
Cause of Death
Alcohol Consumption
Calendar Year
Intercept
r2
Observed ASDR in 1993
Predicted ASDR in 1993
Difference Observed/Predicted
Age 30-34
Infectious/ Parasitic
1.43
(0.21)
N.S.
-1.98
0.81
24.1
18.8
5.3
Neoplasm
N.S.
0.34 (0.07)
11.87
0.68
22.9
21.5
1.4
Circulatory
6.26
(0.62)
N.S.
-21.68
0.90
89.0
68.4
20.6
Respiratory
2.80
(0.51)
N.S.
-26.02
0.76
16.4
16.6
-0.2
Digestive
3.16
(0.39)
N.S.
-26.66
0.86
18.7
19.2
-0.5
External causes
44.01
(5.4)
N.S.
242.87
0.88
506.4
395.3
111.1
Other causes
2.81
(0.43)
N.S.
-15.03
0.80
25.7
28.3
-2.6
All causes
61.56
(5.03)
N.S.
322.55
0.93
706.1
570.1
136.0
Age 60-64
Infectious/ Parasitic
3.63
(1.21)
-1.90 (0.42)
16.98
0.85
60.8
44.9
15.9
Neoplasm
N.S.
14.81 (1.12)
891.60
0.94
1080.8
1090.9
10.1
Circulatory
68.94
(6.20)
6.09 (2.11
697.70
0.93
2194.4
1776.5
417.9
Respiratory
11.28
(2.54)
-4.95 (0.87)
67.38
0.94
365.6
282.6
83.0
Digestive
7.16
(1.16)
N.S.
32.44
0.79
136.3
146.3
10.0
External causes
43.55
(5.11)
4.18(1.64)
-303.77
0.88
515.20
383.0
132.2
Other causes
3.15
(0.71)
0.67 (0.20)
31.11
0.68
104.4
85.5
18.9
All causes
144.20
(10.61)
18.40 (3.49)
1,457.80
0.94
4,457.50
3,787.9
669.6
NOTE: N.S. = not statistically significant; standard deviations of estimates in parentheses.
