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Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA Table of Contents Papers from a National Academy of Sciences Colloquium on Earthquake Prediction: The Scientific Challenge Earthquake prediction: The scientific challenge L.Knopoff 3719–3720 Earthquake prediction: The interaction of public policy and science Lucile M.Jones 3721–3725 Initiation process of earthquakes and its implications for seismic hazard reduction strategy Hiroo Kanamori 3726–3731 Intermediate- and long-term earthquake prediction Lynn R.Sykes 3732–3739 Scale dependence in earthquake phenomena and its relevance to earthquake prediction Keiiti Aki 3740–3747 Intermediate-term earthquake prediction V.I. Keilis-Borok 3748–3755 A selective phenomenology of the seismicity of Southern California L.Knopoff 3756–3763 The repetition of large-earthquake ruptures Kerry Sieh 3764–3771 Hypothesis testing and earthquake prediction David D.Jackson 3772–3775 What electrical measurements can say about changes in fault systems Theodore R.Madden and Randall L.Mackie 3776–3780 Geochemical challenge to earthquake prediction Hiroshi Wakita 3781–3786 Implications of fault constitutive properties for earthquake prediction James H.Dieterich and Brian Kilgore 3787–3794 Nonuniformity of the constitutive law parameters for shear rupture and quasistatic nucleation to dynamic rupture: A physical model of earthquake generation processes Mitiyasu Ohnaka 3795–3802 Rock friction and its implications for earthquake prediction examined via models of Parkfield earthquakes Terry E.Tullis 3803–3810 Slip complexity in earthquake fault models James R.Rice and Yehuda Ben-Zion 3811–3818
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Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America Dynamic friction and the origin of the complexity of earthquake sources Raúl Madariaga and Alain Cochard 3819–3824 Slip complexity in dynamic models of earthquake faults J.S.Langer, J.M.Carlson, Christopher R.Myers, and Bruce E.Shaw 3825–3829 The organization of seismicity on fault networks L.Knopoff 3830–3837 GEOPHYSICS Geometric incompatibility in a fault system Andrei Gabrielov, Vladimir Keilis-Borok, and David D.Jackson 3838–3842