Appendix 3.B
Population Projection Assumptions

This appendix presents detailed tables for the population projection assumptions. The tables that follow provide the assumptions used in the projections for fertility, mortality, immigration and emigration, exogamy, and ethnic attribution for multiple-ancestry persons. These appendix tables do not show assumptions made for American Indians, Eskimos, and Aleuts; the text and the tables do not present results for these population groups because they are relatively small and not affected by variations in immigration. Tables, graphs, and information for the U.S. total population, however, includes estimates for American Indians, Eskimos, and Aleuts.

TABLE 3.B1 Mortality Assumptions for Life Expectancy at Birth for U.S. National Population Projections by Race and Hispanic Origin, 1995 and 2050

 

1995

2050

Race/Ethnicity

Low

Medium

High

Low

Medium

High

White

Male

73.6

73.6

73.6

72.6

81.9

87.5

Female

80.0

80.0

80.0

79.8

85.3

92.9

Asian

Male

79.6

79.6

79.6

78.6

83.9

87.5

Female

80.2

80.2

80.2

79.8

85.0

89.3

Black

Male

64.5

64.5

64.5

62.2

69.5

80.8

Female

74.3

74.3

74.3

73.4

78.8

89.8

Hispanic

Male

74.9

74.9

74.9

73.1

84.4

85.5

Female

82.2

82.2

82.2

81.7

89.6

91.4

 

Source: Mortality assumptions made in national population projections of the U.S. Bureau of the Census (1996a).



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