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Preparing for the 2000 Census: Interim Report II
Preparing for the 2000 Census
Interim Report II
Andrew A. White and Keith F. Rust, Editors
Panel to Evaluate Alternative Census Methodologies
Committee on National Statistics
Commission on Behavioral and Social Sciences and Education
National Research Council
NATIONAL ACADEMY PRESS
Washington, D.C.
1997
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Preparing for the 2000 Census: Interim Report II
NOTICE: The project that is the subject of this report was approved by the Governing Board of the National Research Council, whose members are drawn from the councils of the National Academy of Sciences, the National Academy of Engineering, and the Institute of Medicine. The members of the committee responsible for the report were chosen for their special competences and with regard for appropriate balance.
This report has been reviewed by a group other than the authors according to procedures approved by a Report Review Committee consisting of members of the National Academy of Sciences, the National Academy of Engineering, and the Institute of Medicine.
The National Academy of Sciences is a private, nonprofit, self-perpetuating society of distinguished scholars engaged in scientific and engineering research, dedicated to the furtherance of science and technology and to their use for the general welfare. Upon the authority of the charter granted to it by the Congress in 1863, the Academy has a mandate that requires it to advise the federal government on scientific and technical matters. Dr. Bruce M. Alberts is president of the National Academy of Sciences.
The National Academy of Engineering was established in 1964, under the charter of the National Academy of Sciences, as a parallel organization of outstanding engineers. It is autonomous in its administration and in the selection of its members, sharing with the National Academy of Sciences the responsibility for advising the federal government. The National Academy of Engineering also sponsors engineering programs aimed at meeting national needs, encourages education and research, and recognizes the superior achievements of engineers. Dr. William A. Wulf is president of the National Academy of Engineering.
The Institute of Medicine was established in 1970 by the National Academy of Sciences to secure the services of eminent members of appropriate professions in the examination of policy matters pertaining to the health of the public. The Institute acts under the responsibility given to the National Academy of Sciences by its congressional charter to be an adviser to the federal government and, upon its own initiative, to identify issues of medical care, research, and education. Dr. Kenneth I. Shine is president of the Institute of Medicine.
The National Research Council was organized by the National Academy of Sciences in 1916 to associate the broad community of science and technology with the Academy's purposes of furthering knowledge and advising the federal government. Functioning in accordance with general policies determined by the Academy, the Council has become the principal operating agency of both the National Academy of Sciences and the National Academy of Engineering in providing services to the government, the public, and the scientific and engineering communities. The Council is administered jointly by both Academies and the Institute of Medicine. Dr. Bruce M. Alberts and Dr. William A. Wulf are chairman and vice chairman, respectively, of the National Research Council.
This study was supported by Contract No. 50-YABC-5-66005 between the National Academy of Sciences and the Bureau of the Census, U.S. Department of Commerce. Any opinions, findings, conclusions, or recommendations expressed in this publication are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily reflect the view of the organizations or agencies that provided support for this project.
Additional copies available from:
Committee on National Statistics
National Research Council
2101 Constitution Avenue, N.W.
Washington, D.C. 20418
Printed in the United States of America
Copyright 1997 by the National Academy of Sciences. All rights reserved.
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Preparing for the 2000 Census: Interim Report II
PANEL ON ALTERNATIVE CENSUS METHODOLOGIES
KEITH F. RUST (Chair),
Westat, Inc., Rockville, Maryland
RONALD F. ABLER,
Association of American Geographers, Washington, D.C.
ROBERT M. BELL,
RAND, Santa Monica, California
GORDON J. BRACKSTONE,
Statistics Canada, Ottawa, Ontario
JOHN L. CZAJKA,
Mathematics Policy Research, Inc., Washington, D.C.
MICHEL A. LETTRE,
Maryland Office of Planning, Baltimore
D. BRUCE PETRIE,
Statistics Canada, Ottawa, Ontario
NATHANIEL SCHENKER,
Department of Biostatistics, School of Public Health, University of California, Los Angeles
STANLEY K. SMITH,
Warrington College of Business Administration, University of Florida, Gainesville
LYNNE STOKES,
Department of Management Science and Information Systems, University of Texas, Austin
JAMES TRUSSELL,
Office of Population Research, Princeton University
ALAN M. ZASLAVSKY,
Department of Health Care Policy, Harvard Medical School
ANDREW A. WHITE, Study Director
MICHAEL L. COHEN, Senior Program Officer
AGNES E. GASKIN, Senior Project Assistant
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Preparing for the 2000 Census: Interim Report II
COMMITTEE ON NATIONAL STATISTICS
NORMAN M. BRADBURN (Chair),
National Opinion Research Center, University of Chicago
JULIE DAVANZO,
RAND, Santa Monica, California
WILLIAM F. EDDY,
Department of Statistics, Carnegie Mellon University
JOHN F. GEWEKE,
Department of Economics, University of Minnesota, Minneapolis
JOEL B. GREENHOUSE,
Department of Statistics, Carnegie Mellon University
ERIC A. HANUSHEK,
W. Allen Wallis Institute of Political Economy, Department of Economics, University of Rochester
RODERICK J.A. LITTLE,
Department of Biostatistics, School of Public Health, University of Michigan
CHARLES F. MANSKI,
Department of Economics, University of Wisconsin
WILLIAM NORDHAUS,
Department of Economics, Yale University
JANET L. NORWOOD,
Urban Institute, Washington, D.C.
EDWARD B. PERRIN,
Department of Health Services, University of Washington
PAUL ROSENBAUM,
Department of Statistics, Wharton School, University of Pennsylvania
KEITH F. RUST,
Westat, Inc., Rockville, Maryland
FRANCISCO J. SAMANIEGO,
Division of Statistics, University of California, Davis
MIRON L. STRAF, Director
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Preparing for the 2000 Census: Interim Report II
Contents
Executive Summary
1
1
Introduction
3
2
Application of Sampling Procedures
6
3
Addresses Linked to Geography: Cornerstone of the 2000 Census
13
4
Improved Survey Methods: Making It Easier to Respond
24
5
Sampling for Nonresponse Follow-Up: Achieving Adequate Precision at Acceptable cost
30
6
Integrated Coverage Measurement: Tackling the Differential Undercount
46
7
Administrative Records: Looking to the Future
62
References
79
Appendix: Sampling in the 2000 Census: Interim Report I
85
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