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The Unpredictable Certainty: White Papers (1997)
Computer Science and Telecommunications Board (CSTB)

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. "Toward a National Data Network: Architectural Issues and the Role of Government." The Unpredictable Certainty: White Papers. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press, 1997.

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TABLE 2 Additional Investment Needed to Carry Additional Traffic (millions of dollars)

 

+4 TB/day

+12 TB/day

+28 TB/day

+60 TB/day

Government Model

34

67

123

199

NII Model

250

378

518

669

As Table 2 shows, additional traffic can be carried through the same wire centers that serve the government with little additional investment. Additional capital is needed to expand toward a fuller NII infrastructure that would require 5 times as many wire centers to be covered as are covered in the government network. However, the government network would still provide a significant jumping off point for the complete network. For example, an NII network serving all wire centers at 8 TB/day would require an investment of $410 million in equipment ($160M for the first 4 TB/day through the government wire centers plus $250M for the additional 4 TB/day through the remaining wire centers). The government network would have already caused 40 percent of that investment to be made.

The largest portion of the investment and monthly costs is in the access areas of the network, the portion that is normally provided by LECs. This reinforces the point made above in this paper that the shared network concept must be extended all the way to the user. It also points out the need for uniform standards for interfaces and switching in all regions (a minimum requirement for any open data network).

Conclusions

Three major conclusions can be drawn from the analysis presented above:

The infrastructure costs of a National Data Network show a marked economy-of-scale effect at the volumes represented by the federal government data communications traffic.

Significant economy-of-scale benefits can be achieved by aggregating agency requirements onto a common network.

The infrastructure created to support federal government requirements can significantly reduce the cost of extending service to larger communities in the public interest.

The savings resulting from the NDN approach are substantial enough to justify the complexities of an aggregated procurement (coordination of requirements, security, standards). Such a procurement would have to be carefully structured to harness the competitive forces necessary to motivate both local and interexchange carriers to pass on the cost savings shown above through lower prices. The end result would be a quantum step forward for the government and the country on the road to the information technology future.

Notes

1. Computer Science and Telecommunications Board, National Research Council. 1994. Realizing the Information Future: The Internet and Beyond. National Academy Press, Washington, D.C.

2. Computer Science and Telecommunications Board, National Research Council. 1994. Realizing the Information Future: The Internet and Beyond. National Academy Press, Washington, D.C.

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227
Front Matter (R1-R14)
The National Information Infrastructure and the Earth Sciences: Possibilities and Challenges (1-9)
Government Services Information Infrastructure Management (10-17)
Cutting the Gordian Knot: Providing the American Public with Advanced Universal Access in a Fully Competitive Marketplace at the Lowest Possible Cost (18-25)
The Role of Cable Television in the NII (26-30)
Competing Definitions of 'Openness' on the GII (31-37)
Communications for People on the Move: A Look into the Future (38-43)
Building the NII: Will the Shareholders Come? (And if They Don't, Will Anyone Really Care?) (44-56)
The Electronic Universe: Network Delivery of Data, Science, and Discovery (57-66)
An SDTV Decoder with HDTV Capability: An All-Format ATV Decoder (67-75)
NII and Intelligent Transport Systems (76-84)
Post-NSFNET Statistics Collection (85-96)
NII Road Map: Residential Broadband (97-100)
The NII in the Home: A Consumer Service (101-109)
Internetwork Infrastructure Requirements for Virtual Environments (110-122)
Electric Utilities and the NII: Issues and Opportunities (123-132)
Interoperation, Open Interfaces, and Protocol Architecture (133-144)
Service Provider Interoperability and the National Information Infrastructure (145-155)
Funding the National Information Infrastructure: Advertising, Subscription, and Usage Charges (156-164)
The NII in the Home (165-167)
The Evolution of the Analog Set-Top Terminal to a Digital Interactive Home Communications Terminal (168-177)
Spread ALOHA Wireless Multiple Access: The Low-Cost Way for Ubiquitous, Tetherless Access to the Information Infrastructure (178-184)
Plans for Ubiquitous Broadband Access to the National Information Infrastructure in the Ameritech Region (185-189)
How Do Traditional Legal, Commercial, Social, and Political Structures, When Confronted with a New Service, React and Interact? (190-200)
The Internet, the World Wide Web, and Open Information Services: How to Build the Global Information Infrastructure (201-204)
Organizing the Issues (205-208)
The Argument for Universal Access to the Health Care Information Infrastructure: The Particular Needs of Rural Areas, the Poor, and the Underserved (209-216)
Toward a National Data Network: Architectural Issues and the Role of Government (217-227)
Statement on National Information Infrastucture Issues (228-232)
Proposal for an Evaluation of Health Care Applications on the NII (233-236)
The Internet - A Model: Thoughts on the Five Year Outlook (237-240)
The Economics of Layered Networks (241-247)
The Fiber-Optic Challenge of Information Infrastructure (248-255)
Cable Television Technology Deployment (256-270)
Privacy, Access and Equity, Democracy, and Networked Interactive Media (271-279)
As We May Work: An Approach Toward Collaboration on the NII (280-285)
The Use of the Social Security Number as the Basis for a National Citizen Identifier (286-291)
Estimating the Costs of Telecommunications Regulation (292-303)
Residential PC Access: Issues with Bandwidth Availability (304-314)
The National Information Infrastructure: A High Performance Computing and Communications Perspective (315-334)
Nomadic Computing and Communications (335-341)
NII 2000: The Wireless Perspective (342-350)
Small Manufacturing Enterprises and the National Information Infrastructure (351-363)
Architecture for an Emergency Lane on the NII: Crisis Information Management (364-373)
Aspects of Integrity in the NII (374-377)
What the NII Could Be: A User Perspective (378-387)
Role of the PC in Emerging Information Infrastructures (388-396)
NII Evolution - Technology Deployment Plans, Challenges, and Opportunities: AT&T Perspective (397-404)
Enabling Petabyte Computing (405-411)
Private Investment and Federal National Information Infrastructure Policy (412-415)
Thoughts on Security and the NII (416-421)
Trends in Deployments of New Telecommunications Services by Local Exchange Carriers in Support of an Advanced National Information Infrastructure (422-433)
The Future NII/GII: Views of Interexchange Carriers (434-446)
Technology in the Local Network (447-461)
Recognizing What the NII Is, What It Needs, and How to Get It (462-468)
Electronic Integrated Product Development as Enabled by a Global Information Environment: A Requirement for Success in the Twenty-first Century (469-478)
Interoperability, Standards, and Security: Will the NII Be Based on Market Principles? (479-491)
Technology and Cost Models for Connecting K-12 Schools to the National Information Infrastructure (492-510)
Geodata Interoperability: A Key NII Requirement (511-520)
Electronic Commerce (521-537)
Prospects and Prerequisites for Local Telecommunications Competition: Public Policy Issues for the NII (538-545)
The Awakening 3.0: PCs, TSBs, or DTMF-TV - Which Is Right for the Next Generation's Public Network? (546-552)
Effective Information Transfer for Health Care: Quality versus Quantity (553-559)
Integrating Technology with Practice: A Technology-enhanced, Field-based Teacher Preparation Program (560-575)
RegNet: An NPR Regulatory Reform Initiative Toward NII/GII Collaboratories (576-604)
Electronic Document Interchange and Distribution Based on the Portable Document Format, an Open Interchange Format (605-617)