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The Unpredictable Certainty: White Papers (1997)
Computer Science and Telecommunications Board (CSTB)

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. "The National Information Infrastructure and the Earth Sciences: Possibilities and Challenges." The Unpredictable Certainty: White Papers. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press, 1997.

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Long, thoughtful analyses and small, unpopular data sets are often overwhelmed in such a system. Similar processes are at work in television; the metaphors of the TV world are rapidly appearing in the network world.

One can successfully argue that Earth science is currently limited by the lack of data (or at least the correct data), but an equally serious problem is the inability to synthesize large, complex data sets. This is a problem without a technological solution. While information systems can help, they will not overcome this hurdle. Delivering more data at a faster rate to the scientist will obscure this fundamental problem. Indeed, technology may give the appearance of solving the problem when in reality it exacerbates it. As stated by Jacob Bronowski,

This is the paradox of imagination in science, that it has for its aim theimpoverishment ofimagination. By that outrageous phrase, I mean that the highest flight ofscientific imagination is toweed out the proliferation of new ideas. In science, the grand view is amiserly view, and a rich modelof the universe is one which is as poor as possible in hypotheses.

Networks are useful. But as scientists, we must be aware of the fundamental changes that networks bring to the scientific process. If our students rely only on networks to locate data as opposed to making real-world observations, if they cannot use a library to search for historical information, if they are not accountable for information that appears on the network, if they cannot form reasoned, logical arguments, then we have done them a great disservice.

The balance between market forces with their emphasis on short-term returns for individuals and infrastructure forces with their emphasis on long-term returns for the common good must be maintained. There is a role for both the private sector and the public sector in this balance. At present, the balance appears to be tilted toward the short term, and somehow we must restore a dynamic equilibrium.

Notes

[1] Roszak, Theodore. 1994. The Cult of Information: A Neo-Luddite Treatise on High-Tech, Artificial Intelligence, and the True Art of Thinking. University of California Press.

[2] Miller, Mark Crispin. 1988. Boxed In: The Culture of TV. Northwestern University Press.

[3] U.S. Government Accounting Office. 1995. "Earth Observing System: Concentration on Near-term EOSDIS Development May Jeopardize Long-term Success," Testimony before the House Subcommittee on Space and Aeronautics, March 16.

[4] Negroponte, Nicholas. 1995. "000 000 111—Double Agents," Wired, March.

[5] Hardin, Garrett. 1968. "The Tragedy of the Commons," Science 162:1243–1248.

[6] Postman, Neil. 1992. Technopoly: The Surrender of Culture to Technology. Knopf, New York.

[7] Stoll, Clifford. 1995. Silicon Snake Oil: Second Thoughts on the Information Superhighway. Doubleday, New York.

[8] Postman, Technopoly, 1992.

[9] Physics Today. 1995. "Roundtable: Whither Now Our Research Universities?" March, pp. 42–52.

[10] Roszak, The Cult of Information, 1994.

[11] Postman, Technopoly, 1992.

[12] Miller, Boxed In, 1988.

[13] Stross, Randall. 1993. Steve Jobs and the NeXT Big Thing. Atheneum, New York.

[14] Postman, Technopoly, 1992.

Page
9
Front Matter (R1-R14)
The National Information Infrastructure and the Earth Sciences: Possibilities and Challenges (1-9)
Government Services Information Infrastructure Management (10-17)
Cutting the Gordian Knot: Providing the American Public with Advanced Universal Access in a Fully Competitive Marketplace at the Lowest Possible Cost (18-25)
The Role of Cable Television in the NII (26-30)
Competing Definitions of 'Openness' on the GII (31-37)
Communications for People on the Move: A Look into the Future (38-43)
Building the NII: Will the Shareholders Come? (And if They Don't, Will Anyone Really Care?) (44-56)
The Electronic Universe: Network Delivery of Data, Science, and Discovery (57-66)
An SDTV Decoder with HDTV Capability: An All-Format ATV Decoder (67-75)
NII and Intelligent Transport Systems (76-84)
Post-NSFNET Statistics Collection (85-96)
NII Road Map: Residential Broadband (97-100)
The NII in the Home: A Consumer Service (101-109)
Internetwork Infrastructure Requirements for Virtual Environments (110-122)
Electric Utilities and the NII: Issues and Opportunities (123-132)
Interoperation, Open Interfaces, and Protocol Architecture (133-144)
Service Provider Interoperability and the National Information Infrastructure (145-155)
Funding the National Information Infrastructure: Advertising, Subscription, and Usage Charges (156-164)
The NII in the Home (165-167)
The Evolution of the Analog Set-Top Terminal to a Digital Interactive Home Communications Terminal (168-177)
Spread ALOHA Wireless Multiple Access: The Low-Cost Way for Ubiquitous, Tetherless Access to the Information Infrastructure (178-184)
Plans for Ubiquitous Broadband Access to the National Information Infrastructure in the Ameritech Region (185-189)
How Do Traditional Legal, Commercial, Social, and Political Structures, When Confronted with a New Service, React and Interact? (190-200)
The Internet, the World Wide Web, and Open Information Services: How to Build the Global Information Infrastructure (201-204)
Organizing the Issues (205-208)
The Argument for Universal Access to the Health Care Information Infrastructure: The Particular Needs of Rural Areas, the Poor, and the Underserved (209-216)
Toward a National Data Network: Architectural Issues and the Role of Government (217-227)
Statement on National Information Infrastucture Issues (228-232)
Proposal for an Evaluation of Health Care Applications on the NII (233-236)
The Internet - A Model: Thoughts on the Five Year Outlook (237-240)
The Economics of Layered Networks (241-247)
The Fiber-Optic Challenge of Information Infrastructure (248-255)
Cable Television Technology Deployment (256-270)
Privacy, Access and Equity, Democracy, and Networked Interactive Media (271-279)
As We May Work: An Approach Toward Collaboration on the NII (280-285)
The Use of the Social Security Number as the Basis for a National Citizen Identifier (286-291)
Estimating the Costs of Telecommunications Regulation (292-303)
Residential PC Access: Issues with Bandwidth Availability (304-314)
The National Information Infrastructure: A High Performance Computing and Communications Perspective (315-334)
Nomadic Computing and Communications (335-341)
NII 2000: The Wireless Perspective (342-350)
Small Manufacturing Enterprises and the National Information Infrastructure (351-363)
Architecture for an Emergency Lane on the NII: Crisis Information Management (364-373)
Aspects of Integrity in the NII (374-377)
What the NII Could Be: A User Perspective (378-387)
Role of the PC in Emerging Information Infrastructures (388-396)
NII Evolution - Technology Deployment Plans, Challenges, and Opportunities: AT&T Perspective (397-404)
Enabling Petabyte Computing (405-411)
Private Investment and Federal National Information Infrastructure Policy (412-415)
Thoughts on Security and the NII (416-421)
Trends in Deployments of New Telecommunications Services by Local Exchange Carriers in Support of an Advanced National Information Infrastructure (422-433)
The Future NII/GII: Views of Interexchange Carriers (434-446)
Technology in the Local Network (447-461)
Recognizing What the NII Is, What It Needs, and How to Get It (462-468)
Electronic Integrated Product Development as Enabled by a Global Information Environment: A Requirement for Success in the Twenty-first Century (469-478)
Interoperability, Standards, and Security: Will the NII Be Based on Market Principles? (479-491)
Technology and Cost Models for Connecting K-12 Schools to the National Information Infrastructure (492-510)
Geodata Interoperability: A Key NII Requirement (511-520)
Electronic Commerce (521-537)
Prospects and Prerequisites for Local Telecommunications Competition: Public Policy Issues for the NII (538-545)
The Awakening 3.0: PCs, TSBs, or DTMF-TV - Which Is Right for the Next Generation's Public Network? (546-552)
Effective Information Transfer for Health Care: Quality versus Quantity (553-559)
Integrating Technology with Practice: A Technology-enhanced, Field-based Teacher Preparation Program (560-575)
RegNet: An NPR Regulatory Reform Initiative Toward NII/GII Collaboratories (576-604)
Electronic Document Interchange and Distribution Based on the Portable Document Format, an Open Interchange Format (605-617)