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Suggested Citation:"Appendix B References and Selected Bibliography." National Research Council. 1998. A Scientific Strategy for U.S. Participation in the GOALS (Global Ocean-Atmosphere-Land System) Component of the CLIVAR (Climate Variability and Predictability) Programme. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/6199.
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Appendix B
References and Selected Bibliography

References

IPCC (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change). 1990. Climate Change: The IPCC Scientific Assessment. J.T. Houghton, G.J. Jenkins, and J.J. Ephraums, eds., Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, U. K., 365 pp.

IPCC (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change). 1996a. Climate Change 1995: The Science of Climate Change. J.T. Houghton, L.G. Meira Filho, B.A. Callander, N. Harris, A. Kattenberg, and K. Maskell, eds., Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, U. K., 572 pp.

IPCC (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change). 1996b. Economic and Social Dimensions of Climate Change. J.P. Bruce, H. Lee, and E.F. Haites, eds., Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, U. K., 448 pp.


NRC (National Research Council). 1994a. (GOALS) Global Ocean—Atmosphere—Land System for Predicting Seasonal-to-interannual Climate. National Academy Press, Washington, D.C., 103 PP.

NRC (National Research Council). 1994b. Ocean—Atmosphere Observations Supporting Short-term Climate Predictions. National Academy Press, Washington, D.C., 51 pp.

NRC (National Research Council). 1995. Organizing U.S. Participation in GOALS (Global Ocean—Atmosphere—Land System). GOALS Panel. National Academy Press, Washington, D. C., 8 pp.

NRC (National Research Council). 1996. Learning to Predict Climate Variations Associated with El Niño and the Southern Oscillation: accomplishments and legacies of the TOGA program. National Academy Press, Washington, D. C., 171 pp.

NRC (National Research Council). 1997. BITS of POWER: Issues in global access to scientific data. National Academy Press, Washington, D.C., 235 pp.


WCRP (World Climate Research Programme). 1995. Climate Variability and Predictability (CLIVAR) Science Plan. World Meteorological Organization, Geneva, Switzerland, WCRP-89, WMO/TD-No. 690.

WMO (World Meteorological Organization). 1995a. Plan for the Global Climate Observing System (GCOS), Version 1.0, May 1995. World Meteorological Organization, Geneva, Switzerland, GCOS-14, WMO/TD-No. 681,49 pp.

Suggested Citation:"Appendix B References and Selected Bibliography." National Research Council. 1998. A Scientific Strategy for U.S. Participation in the GOALS (Global Ocean-Atmosphere-Land System) Component of the CLIVAR (Climate Variability and Predictability) Programme. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/6199.
×

WMO (World Meteorological Organization). 1995b. GCOS/GTOS Plan for Terrestrial Climate-related Observations, Version 1.0, November 1995. World Meteorological Organization, Geneva, Switzerland, GCOS-21, WMO/TD-No. 721, UNEP/EAP.TR/95–07

Selected Bibliography

Anderson, D.L.T., and J.P. McCreary. 1995. Slowly propagating disturbances in a coupled ocean—atmosphere model. J. Atmos. Sci. 42:615–629.

Atlas, R., N. Wolfson, and J. Terry. 1993. The effect of SST and soil moisture anomalies on GLA model simulations of the 1988 U. S. summer drought. J. Climate 6:2034–2048.


Barnett, T.P., N. Graham, M. Cane, S. Zebiak, S, Dolan, J. O'Brien, and D. Leger. 1988. On the prediction of the El Niño of 1986–1987. Science 241:192–196.

Battisti, D.S., A.C. Hirst, and E.S. Sarachik. 1989. Instability and predictability in coupled atmosphere—ocean models. Phil. Trans. R. Soc. London A329:237–247.

Branstator, G.W. 1995. Organization of storm track anomalies by recurring low-frequency circulation anomalies. J. Atmos. Sci. 52:207–226.

Busalacchi, A.J., K. Takeuchi, and J.J. O'Brien. 1983. Interannual variability of the equatorial Pacific—revisited. J. Geophys. Res. 88:7551–7562.


Cane, M.A. 1991. Forecasting El Niño with a geophysical model. Pp. 345–369 in Teleconnections Linking Worldwide Climate Anomalies, M.H. Glantz, R.W. Katz, and N. Nicholls, eds., New York: Cambridge University Press.

Chapman, W.L. and I.E. Wals. 1993. Recent variations of sea ice and air temperature in high latitudes. Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc. 74:33–47.

Chen, D., S.E. Zebiak, A.J. Busalacchi, and M.A. Cane. 1995. An improved procedure for El Niño forecasting: Implications for predictability. Science 269:1699–1702.

Cole, J.E., R.G. Fairbanks, and G.T. Shen. 1993. Recent variability in the Southern Oscillation: Isotopic results from a Tarawa atoll coral. Science 260:1790–1793.


Delworth, T. and S. Manabe. 1989. The influence of soil wetness on near-surface atmospheric variability. J. Climate 2:1447–1462.

Dunbar, R.B., G.M. Wellington, M.W. Colgan, and P.W. Glynn. 1994. Eastern Pacific sea surface temperature since 1600 AD: The &X100; 18O record of climate variability in Galapagos corals. Paleoceanography 9:291–315.


Fenessy, M. and J. Shukla. 1992. Influence of initial soil wetness on prediction of global atmospheric circulation and rainfall. Paper presented at Second International Conference on Modeling of Global Climate Change and Variability, Hamburg, Germany, September 7–11, 1991.

Folland, C.K., T.N. Palmer, and D.E. Parker. 1986. Sahel rainfall and worldwide sea temperatures, 1901–85. Nature 320:602–607.

Frederiksen, J.S. and P.J. Webster. 1988. Alternative Theories of Teleconnections and Low Frequency Fluctuations. Review of Geophysics 26:459–494.


Gates, W.L. 1992. AMIP: The Atmospheric Model Intercomparison Project. Bull. Am. Meteor. Soc. 73:1962–1970.

Geisler, J.E., M.L. Blackmon, G.T. Bates, and S. Mu. 1985. Sensitivity of January climate response to the magnitude and position of equatorial Pacific sea surface temperature anomalies . J. Atmos. Sci. 42:1037–1049.

Glantz, M.H., R.W. Katz, and N. Nicholls, eds., 1991. Teleconnections linking worldwide climate anomalies. Cambridge University Press, 535 pp.

Graham, N.E., J. Michaelsen, and T.P. Barnett. 1987a. An investigation of the El Niño/Southern Oscillation cycle with statistical models. Part 1: Predicted field characteristics. J. Geophys. Res. 92:14251–14270.

Graham, N.E., J. Michaelsen, and T.P. Barnett. 1987b. An investigation of the El Niño/Southern Oscillation cycle with statistical models. Part 2: Model results, J. Geophys. Res. 92:14271–14289.

Suggested Citation:"Appendix B References and Selected Bibliography." National Research Council. 1998. A Scientific Strategy for U.S. Participation in the GOALS (Global Ocean-Atmosphere-Land System) Component of the CLIVAR (Climate Variability and Predictability) Programme. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/6199.
×

Harrison, D.E. and N.K. Larkin. 1997. Darwin sea level pressure, 1876–1996: Evidence for climate change? Geophys. Res. Lett. 24:1779–1782.

Hasselman, K. 1976. Stochastic Climate Models. Part 1. Theory. Tellus 28:473–485.

Hastenrath, S. 1990. Prediction of Northeast Brazil Rainfall Anomalies. J. Climate 3:893–904.

Hayes, S.P., L.J. Mangum, J. Picaut, A. Sumi, and K. Takeuchi. 1991. TOGA-TAO: A moored array for real-time measurements in the tropical Pacific Ocean. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc. 72:339–347.


Ji, M., A. Kumar, and A. Leetmaa. 1994. A multiseason climate forecast system at the National Meteorological Center. Bull. Am. Meteor. Soc. 75:569–577.

Ji, M., A. Leetmaa, and V.E. Kousky. 1995. An ocean analysis system for seasonal to interannual climate studies. Mon. Wea. Rev. 123:460–481.


Kalnay, E., M. Kanamitsu, R. Kistler, W. Collins, D. Deaven, L. Gandin, M. Iredell, S. Saha, G. White, J. Woollen, Y. Zhu, M. Chelliah, W. Ebisuzaki, W. Higgins, J. Janowiak, K.C. Mo, C. Ropelewski, A. Leetmaa, R. Reynolds, and R. Jenne. 1996. The NCEP/NCAR Reanalysis Project. Bull. Am. Meteor. Soc. 77:437–471.

Karl, T. R., ed. 1996. Long-term climate monitoring by the Global Climate Observing System. International meeting of experts, Asheville, North Carolina, U. S. A.. Reprinted from Climate Change Vol 31, Nos. 2–4, 1995. Kluwer Academic Publisher, The Netherlands, 648 pp.

Karl, T.R., P.Y. Groisman, R.R. Heim, Jr., and R.W. Knight. 1993. Recent variations of snowcover and snowfall in North America and their relation to precipitation and temperature variability. J. Clim. 6:1327–1344.

Karl, T.R., G. Kukla, and J. Gavin. 1984. Decreasing diurnal temperature range in the United States and Canada from 1941–1980. J. Clim. Appl. Met. 23, 23:1489–1504.

Knutson, T.R. and S. Manabe. 1995. Time-mean response over the tropical Pacific to increased CO2 in a coupled ocean—atmosphere model. J. Clim. 8:2181–2199.

Knutson, T.R., S. Manabe, and D. Gu. 1997. Simulated ENSO in a global coupled ocean—atmosphere model: multidecadal amplitude modulation and CO2 sensitivity. J. Clim. 10:138–161.


Latif, M., A. Sterl, E. Maier-Reimer, and M.M. Junge. 1993. Structure and predictability of the El Niño Oscillation phenomenon in a coupled ocean—atmosphere general circulation model. J. Clim. 6:700–708.

Lau, K.M., C.H. Sui, and T. Nakazawa. 1989. Dynamics of westerly wind burst, supercloud clusters, 30–60 day oscillations and ENSO: A unifying view. J. Meteorol. Soc. Japan 67:205–219.

Lukas, R., 1988: Interannual fluctuations of the Mindanao current inferred from sea level. J. Geophys. Res. 93:6744–6748.

Lukas, R., P.J. Webster, M. Ji, and A. Leetmaa. 1995. The large scale context for the TOGA COARE coupled ocean—atmosphere response experiment. Meteorol. and Atmos. Physics 56:3–16.


McPhaden, M.J. 1995. The Tropical Atmosphere—Ocean array is completed. Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc. 76:739–741.

Meehl, G.A. and W.M. Washington. 1996. El Niño like climate change in a model with increased atmospheric CO2 concentrations. Nature 382:56–60.

Meehl, G.A., G.W. Branstator, and W.M. Washington. 1993. Tropical Pacific interannual variability and CO2 climate change. J. Clim. 6:42–63.

Molteni, F., L. Ferranti, T.N. Palmer and P. Viterbo. 1993. A dynamical interpretation of the global response to equatorial Pacific SST anomalies. J. Clim. 6:777–795.

Moura, A.D. 1992. International Research Institute for Climate Prediction: A proposal. NOAA Office of Global Programs, Silver Spring, Maryland, 51 pp.


Nicholls, N., B. Lavery, C. Frederiksen, and W. Drosdowsky. 1996. Recent apparent changes in relationships between the El Niño/Southern Oscillation and Australian rainfall and temperature. Geophys. Res. Lett. 23:3357–3360.


Palmer, T.N. 1993. A nonlinear dynamical perspective on climate change. Weather 48:314–326.

Suggested Citation:"Appendix B References and Selected Bibliography." National Research Council. 1998. A Scientific Strategy for U.S. Participation in the GOALS (Global Ocean-Atmosphere-Land System) Component of the CLIVAR (Climate Variability and Predictability) Programme. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/6199.
×

Philander, S.G.H., R.C. Pacanowski, N.K. Lau, and M.J. Nath. 1992. Simulation of the ENSO with a global atmospheric GCM coupled to a high-resolution, tropical Pacific Ocean GCM. J. Clim. 5:308–329.

Patz, J.A., P.R. Epstein, T.A. Burke and J.M. Balbus. 1996. Global climate change and emerging infectious diseases. JAMA 275:217–223.

Rajagopalan, B., U. Lall, and M.A. Cane, 1997. Anomalous ENSO occurrences: An alternative view. J. Clim. 10:2351–2357.

Rasmusson, E.M. and K.C. Mo. 1993. Linkages between 200-mb tropical and extratropical anomalies during the 1986–1989 ENSO cycle. J. Clim. 6:595–616.

Rasmusson, E.M., X. Wang, and C.E. Ropelewski. 1990. The biennial component of ENSO. J. Mar. Sys. 1:71–96.

Ropelewski, C.F. and M.S. Halpert. 1989. Global and regional scale precipitation patterns associated with the El Niño/Southern Oscillation. Mon. Wea. Rev. 115:1606–1626.


Sarachik, E.S. 1990. Predictability of ENSO. Pp. 161–171 in Ocean Climate Interaction, M. E. Schelisinger, ed., Norwell, Massachusetts: Kluwer Academic Publisher.

Shukla, J. 1987. Long range forecasting of monsoons. Pp. 523–547 in Monsoons, J.S. Fein and P. L. Stephens, eds., New York: J. Wiley & Sons, Ltd.


Tomas, R. and P.J. Webster. 1997. On the location of the intertropical convergence zone and near-equatorial convection: The role of inertial instability. Quart. J. Roy. Met. Soc. 123:1445–1482.

Trenberth, K.E. 1995. Atmospheric circulation climate changes. Climatic Change 31:427–453.

Trenberth, K.E. 1996. El Niño/Southern Oscillation, Chapter 6 of Climate Change: Developing Southern Hemisphere Perspectives. T. Giambelluca and A. Henderson-Sellers, eds., John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., 145–173.

Trenberth, K.E. 1997. Short-term climate variations: Recent accomplishments and issues for future progress. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc. 78:1081–1096.

Trenberth, K.E. and T.J. Hoar. 1996. The 1990–1995 El Niño/Southern Oscillation event: Longest on record. Geophys. Res. Lett. 23:57–60.

Trenberth, K.E., G.W. Branstator, D. Karoly, A. Kumar, N.C. Lau, and C. Ropelewski. 1996. Global atmospheric diagnostics and modeling for TOGA. (special TOGA issue)


Unninayar, S. and K.H. Bergman. 1993. Earth system modeling in the mission to planet Earth era. NASA/MTPE monograph, 133 pp.


Wang, B. 1995. Interdecadal changes in El Niño onset in the last four decades. J. Clim. 8:267–285.

Webster, P.J. 1982. Seasonality of atmospheric response to sea-surface temperature anomalies. J. Atmos. Sci. 39:29–40.

Webster, P.J. and R.A. Houze, Jr. 1991. The Equatorial Mesoscale Experiment, EMEX. Bull. Am. Met. Soc. 72:1481–1505.

Webster, P.J. and R. Lukas. 1992. TOGA-COARE: The coupled ocean—atmosphere response experiment. Bull. Am. Met. Soc. 73:1377–1416.

Webster, P. 1994. The role of hydrological processes in ocean—atmosphere interaction. Rev. Geophys. 32:427–476.

Webster, P.J. 1995. The annual cycle and the predictability of the tropical coupled ocean—atmosphere system. Meteorol. Atmos. Physics 56:33–55.

Webster, P.J., T. Palmer, M. Yanai, V. Magana, J. Shukla, and A. Yasunazi, 1998. The Monsoon: processes, predictability and the prospects for prediction. J. Geophys. Res. special issue (in press)


Zhang, Y., J.M. Wallace, and D.S. Battisti. 1997. ENSO-like interdecadal variability: 1900–93. J. Clim. 10:1004–1020.

Zebiak, S.E. and M.A. Cane. 1987. A model El Niño/Southern Oscillation. Mon. Wea. Rev. 115:-2262–2278.

Suggested Citation:"Appendix B References and Selected Bibliography." National Research Council. 1998. A Scientific Strategy for U.S. Participation in the GOALS (Global Ocean-Atmosphere-Land System) Component of the CLIVAR (Climate Variability and Predictability) Programme. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/6199.
×
Page 66
Suggested Citation:"Appendix B References and Selected Bibliography." National Research Council. 1998. A Scientific Strategy for U.S. Participation in the GOALS (Global Ocean-Atmosphere-Land System) Component of the CLIVAR (Climate Variability and Predictability) Programme. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/6199.
×
Page 67
Suggested Citation:"Appendix B References and Selected Bibliography." National Research Council. 1998. A Scientific Strategy for U.S. Participation in the GOALS (Global Ocean-Atmosphere-Land System) Component of the CLIVAR (Climate Variability and Predictability) Programme. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/6199.
×
Page 68
Suggested Citation:"Appendix B References and Selected Bibliography." National Research Council. 1998. A Scientific Strategy for U.S. Participation in the GOALS (Global Ocean-Atmosphere-Land System) Component of the CLIVAR (Climate Variability and Predictability) Programme. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/6199.
×
Page 69
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