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s
Conclusions and Recommendations
The Committee on Science Priorities for NSF's Arctic Natural Sciences
Program was charged with reviewing the program's management and research
strategy and providing guidance on how to set research priorities given the di-
verse scientific issues that fall within its purview. In its study, the committee
found that the Arctic Natural Sciences (ANS) program considers proposals in an
exceptionally wide range of fields and that this poses significant management
challenges. Some of these challenges are typical of a program that is new and
still evolving, while others relate to the program's size and scope.
The committee believes the ANS program makes important contributions to
research in the Arctic, but there are opportunities for improvement. ANS staff
should find ways to get help in judging proposals through collaboration with
other National Science Foundation (NSF) personnel and by getting input from
review panels established specifically to consider proposals from a multidisci-
plinary perspective. Better internal communications are prerequisites for a uni-
fied Arctic Section. And increased outreach efforts to other agencies and pro-
grams are needed to build relationships that, over time, could make the program
a more effective participant in interagency and international collaborations. Fi-
nally, because limited budgets mean that decisions must be made about which
research is "best" or "most important," ANS staff can get input on which research
areas care important through the peer-review process, interaction with the arctic
research community, and planning other activities as needed.
This chapter provides the committee's conclusions and recommendations on
how best to implement these desired improvements. The conclusions state the
main lessons the committee drew from its evaluation; the recommendations in
40
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CONCLUSIONS AND RECOMMENDATIONS
41
elude both general guidance and some detailed prescriptions for strengthening
the ANS program. The committee took the present Office of Polar Programs
(OPP) organizational structure as a boundary condition and, although members
brainstormed more radical approaches, our conclusions are based on the follow-
ing three assumptions: (1) The ANS program will continue to exist as a broadly
defined subsection of the OPP's Arctic Sciences Section, with equivalent status
to the Arctic System Science (ARCSS) and Arctic Social Sciences (ASSP) pro-
grams. (2) The definition of the areas of science supported by ANS is largely as
stated in its request for proposals (atmospheric sciences, biological sciences,
earth sciences, glaciology, and oceanography). (3) Funding for science within
the Arctic Sciences Section and allocations among programs will continue with-
out major change.
PROGRAM SCOPE AND STRUCTURE
There is a significant need for a research support program with the diverse
focus of the ANS program. Despite some inherent overlap with other NSF
programs, the committee believes that ANS should be the central program within
the National Science Foundation covering research in the natural sciences in the
Arctic.
Conclusions
· Opportunities for funding within ANS should continue to be unfettered by
emphasis on thematic considerations. Individual as well as joint or cooperative
proposals should have equal access to the available funding.
.
A substantial advantage of the present ANS structure is that it can accommo-
date and encourage the growing trend toward multidisciplinary research because
it is not confined by traditional disciplinary boundaries. The present broad scope
of the program should continue.
.
The sometimes unclear boundaries between the ANS program and other
NSF programs with arctic elements create a management challenge that is best
addressed soon, while the program is still young and malleable. The solution lies
primarily in improved management rather than in restructuring or redefining the
program.
Recommendations
· To best reflect the broad purpose of the ANS program within the OPP con-
text, OPP should adopt the following mission statement for the ANS program:
"The mission of the Arctic Natural Sciences program is to fund cutting-edge
research dealing with any aspect of the Arctic's atmospheric, terrestrial, and
marine systems. The program focuses on proposals that contribute to under
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FUTURE DIRECTIONS FOR NSF'S ARCTIC NATURAL SCIENCES PROGRAM
standing and predicting the unique elements and processes that are part of the
arctic environment."
.
ANS program staff should use the guidelines provided in Chapter 4 or some
other set of clear guidelines to help make judgments about whether proposed
research fits within the ANS mission and should publicize the guidelines to help
reduce confusion about overlap with other NSF programs.
.
The head of the Arctic Sciences Section should divide the ANS's broad
scientific program into three spheres, each of which is larger than a single disci-
pline. The suggested spheres are: atmospheric systems, terrestrial systems, and
marine systems. These spheres should have flexible boundaries in terms of both
subject matter and allocation of dollars; in general, funding would follow current
patterns. The spheres would be defined as follows:
Atmospheric systems would include studies of the troposphere, strato-
sphere, ionosphere, and space physics, with the latter including physical and
chemical studies from the Earth's surface to the sun, surface exchange pro-
cesses, and interactions between the biosphere and atmosphere.
Terrestrial systems would include studies of terrestrial biology and ecol-
ogy; glaciology (including glaciers, ice sheets, snow, and permafrost); land-
based geology; Earth surface processes; past environmental history; and
freshwater.
Marine systems would include studies of biological and marine ecosys-
tems, marine geology and geophysics, physical and chemical oceanography,
sea-ice, and paleomarine issues.
These three scientific spheres are not mutually exclusive; proposals may
overlap spheres or deal with interactions among spheres. Consequently, a pro-
posal may very well be evaluated and funded by more than one sphere, or as-
signed to a single sphere for easier management. The value of dividing ANS
research among three spheres is that this structure blends related intellectual
thrusts while imposing a more manageable limit on the diversity and volume of
proposals to be considered and compared.
· Program managers and staff should treat the spheres as of intrinsically equal
importance, although they do not have to be equal in terms of the number of
proposals submitted or funded, or in allocation of dollars. (Related recommenda-
tions dealing with proposal review and funding allocation under the three sphere
scenario appear later in this chapter.)
MANAGEMENT STRATEGY
The committee reviewed the ANS program's current management strategy
to determine whether its strategy and staffing levels are adequate. Since the
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CONCLUSIONS AND RECOMMENDATIONS
43
committee began its work, some management changes have occurred. When we
began, the program was staffed by one staff person; other staff some full time
and some part time have since been assigned to assist, and some permanent
personnel have been transferred to the program. These are steps in the right
direction, but because they were ongoing as this report was being prepared, we
provide the following thoughts with the original management structure as our
base.
.
Conclusion
The diversity of subjects covered by the ANS program is too broad for a
single program manager to cover with adequate depth and consistency, and ad-
justments in management strategy and staffing are needed to ensure proper re-
view of proposals and balanced decisionmaking about funding.
Recommendations
· To improve the management of the ANS program, OPP could assign man-
agement responsibility to be shared among three staff members, one responsible
for each sphere. These staff should be of equal status and report to the Arctic
Section Head. Care would need to be taken not to create three "mini-programs,"
which might lose the benefits of size and multidisciplinary focus that are ANS's
chief benefits, and which also might be eclipsed by larger programs like ARCSS.
· The challenge of managing a diverse scientific program requires staff with
particularly broad backgrounds, because staff must be able to identify the best
and most innovative research proposals within all the fields encompassed by the
program. For this reason, the program manager positioners) should not be filled
with rotating employees who serve for only two years or similarly short periods.
Alternatively, if there are multiple managers (as suggested above) at least one or
two should be permanent. The argument for making the program managers
permanent is based on the committee's belief that there are few working scien-
tists who could adequately and quickly become effective in this broadly-based
program, and it will always be difficult to replace incumbents at the end of any
two-year term. Gaps in staffing would be problematic.
The Arctic Section Head provides leadership to the entire Arctic Section, but
because of the key role and diversity of the ANS program he or she should serve
more directly as the lead supervisor overseeing the ANS program staff and con-
tinually reassessing the balance, interactions, cooperation, and resource partition-
ing among the spheres. If the Arctic Section head position remains one filled by
rotating employees, it must continue to be someone of significant authority.
· OPP should make a clear statement to the scientific community updating
researchers about the mission of the ANS program and its relationships with
.
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FUTURE DIRECTIONS FOR NSF'S ARCTIC NATURAL SCIENCES PROGRAM
other programs. Such a statement could also clarify logistical support issues that
seem perplexing to many researchers (discussed in more detail later in this chap-
ter).
SETTING RESEARCH PRIORITIES
What seems to make management of the ANS program challenging is its
breadth how can one decisionmaker, a program manager, know all the relevant
fields equally well and truly be aware of emerging issues and needs? It will
always be more difficult to make judgments in fields beyond your own, although
that can be alleviated to some extent by selecting staff with broad backgrounds
and over time as the staff's knowledge increases. Using the three spheres should
reduce the need to compare across disciplinary boundaries, and additional staff
will increase in-house expertise available to make judgments. But other mecha-
nisms can be incorporated into the decision-making process to, in essence, en-
large the program manager's view and help identify high-priority research
projects.
Setting priorities should involve input from at least three groups: NSF man-
agement, to be sure that the priorities selected support broader agency goals and
strategic planning; the scientific communities who will be requesting funds, to be
sure that the priorities selected represent what they believe are the most important
and cutting-edge issues; and, finally, representatives of related research pro-
grams and agencies, to be sure there is coordination of effort and to limit dupli-
cation of effort. This input can be gained in a one-time exercise like a workshop,
a more long-term approach would be to use existing activities to solicit ongoing
input that is, use existing mail review and panel review processes to judge
proposal quality and gain insight into the level of importance of the work. Other
mechanisms to assist in priority-setting can be using a Committee of Visitors
tailored to give appropriate input, involving subcommittees of the Office Advi-
sory Committee, and hosting town meetings at large conferences such as the
annual meeting of the American Geophysical Union. These processes, combined
with input from NSF staff and input from other agency staff, should be adequate
to reflect the full range of views. It is the job of the program staff to synthesize
the information and make final judgments about priorities.
If the ANS program elects to impose the three spheres suggested by this
committee, it will help with the process of identifying research priorities on an
ongoing basis because the mail reviews will be focused by sphere. The panel
reviewers, with some additional instruction, can then help balance the total port-
folio. Using the three spheres should reduce the necessity to compare "across"
disciplinary boundaries. The additional staff we envision associated with the
three spheres, in turn, increases the in-house expertise available to make judg-
ments.
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CONCLUSIONS AND RECOMMENDATIONS
45
Conclusions
· The fundamental strength of the ANS program is that it is a general program
covering a broad range of topics. Priority-setting will always be a part of
decisionmaking where budgets are limited, but the selection of specific themes
that dictate program direction and are solicited as such should not be the driver
behind the ANS program.
· The setting of priorities should not be a one-time event but a flexible process.
Mail-in reviews, panel reviews, and other NSF and agency staff with arctic ex-
pertise can play key roles in helping ANS management identify priorities and
maintain a dynamic balance among the needs in the three research spheres. Mail-
in and panel reviews are especially important because they foster involvement of
active researchers and allow access to the community's thinking about what areas
are important for investigation.
Recommendations
· The first stage in proposal review is to separate proposals into the three
research spheres with all staff participating in the assignment of all proposals.
Mail-in reviews would then be sought via standard OPP procedures from care-
fully selected scientists, by sphere. After the mail-in reviews are received and
considered, each ANS staff member would select the top proposals in his or her
sphere (e.g., the top 30 percent, or whatever proportion seems appropriate given
the proposal pressure and funding available) to be considered as serious candi-
dates for funding.
· Next, ANS staff should, under the leadership of the Arctic Section Head, set
up a multidisciplinary review panel to meet and consider the top proposals. The
panel should include two members of the research community from each sphere
plus representatives of the Arctic Affiliates (that is, all NSF program managers
whose portfolios include arctic research projects and selected representatives
from other federal agencies supporting arctic research). At this meeting, the top
ANS proposals should be considered in the context of the totality of known
research activity in the upcoming year. The proposals should be discussed indi-
vidually and priority for funding suggested, in accordance with typical NSF panel
review procedures.
· The proposal selection process within ANS could be improved by involving
non-OPP program managers who fund studies related to arctic natural science in
the panel reviews. Finding ways to involve representatives of other federal
agencies that fund or conduct related research in the Arctic would also, over time,
promote the efficient use and leveraging of research resources; help reduce dupli-
cation; and increase collaboration to support common facilities, logistics, and
research goals. Better coordination with other units of NSF might be facilitated
by appointing liaisons from the most appropriate units (e.g., the Geosciences or
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FUTURE DIRECTIONS FOR NSF'S ARCTIC NATURAL SCIENCES PROGRAM
Biology Directorates) to attend meetings of the OPP's Office Advisory Commit-
tee and vice versa.
· Although there should be broad input into this process including the mail-
in reviews, the advice of the Arctic Affiliates, and advice from the
multidisciplinary panel ultimate decisionmaking should remain with the ANS
program staff. It is very important that the final decisions be an agreed-upon
compromise between competing viewpoints and science agendas. The Arctic
Section Head should help to broker compromise as needed among program staff
and the three spheres.
.
If OPP decides that a list of current research priorities is needed to guide the
ANS program as it leaves its start-up phase and matures, ANS managers or an
outside body can be charged to convene a workshop involving principal investi-
gators, other researchers interested in the areas funded by ANS, and the Arctic
Affiliates, including representatives of the ARCSS program so as to clarify and
maintain the distinctions between ARCSS and ANS. The objectives of such a
workshop would be:
to give the ANS program managers and the head of the Arctic Section
direct input from the research community regarding their sense of future
research goals within each of the three spheres and the links between them;
and
to discuss the current range of ad hoc international research activities
and connections that exist within the research community and how these
links might be formalized and strengthened.
A workshop might also explore the ongoing issue of logistics support and, in
particular, the potential impacts of the new Coast Guard ship, USCGC Healy, on
the ANS program. Such a workshop should be held only if OPP determines that
it needs a list of concrete research priorities to steer the ANS program, because
additional meetings require time from researchers and use funds that could other-
wise be applied to support research. Also, care would be necessary to work
against the tendency for meetings to lead to "big science" and to be sure that the
ANS door remains open to individual researchers. The greatest challenge in
organizing a workshop would be to maintain the interest of the diverse partici
pants.
AGENCY ANDINTERNATIONALCOOPERATION
Since many nations have territory in the Arctic and even more are actively
involved in arctic research, international cooperation is critical in optimizing
opportunities and cost effectiveness in the pursuit of research. Building interna-
tional cooperation is a long-term activity, and so it is not surprising that it is not
yet a large element of the ANS program. As staff numbers and experience
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CONCLUSIONS AND RECOMMENDATIONS
47
increase, it will be easier to develop the necessary connections to and knowledge
of international activities.
Similarly, several federal agencies have responsibilities that lead them to be
involved in research in the Arctic. Cooperation is critical so these efforts are not
duplicative and are coordinated to best advantage. Coordination and communi-
cation within units of the National Science Foundation are, of course, also essen-
tial since a number of programs have arctic natural science dimensions. A coor-
dinated U.S. effort is vital to ensure that the nation participates fully and in a
unified manner in international activities.
Conclusions
.
International cooperation and collaboration should be fostered and encour-
aged. Although a research proposal cannot be judged solely on whether it has an
international dimension, appropriate collaborations across national boundaries
should be considered an advantage. Such collaborations can leverage resources,
open access to data, and ensure that the United States has input to, and receives
contributions and in-kind support from, international efforts.
.
Interagency cooperation and collaboration are critical to efficient use of
limited resources.
· Communication and collaboration among the NSF units that address various
aspects of natural science in polar regions needs to be improved, including be-
tween the Antarctic and Arctic Science Sections and between the ANS program
and relevant programs outside of the Office of Polar Programs.
Recommendations
.
ANS program staff can take steps to encourage participation in international
scientific investigations. For instance, ANS staff should be intimately familiar
with international opportunities to leverage resources or to capitalize on the
availability of facilities or research platforms. Such opportunities often emerge
from international research initiatives; staff should promote the necessary link-
ages.
.
ANS staff should facilitate and give careful consideration to research that
proposes to gather data of use to the international arctic science community and
that involves collaboration with international partners. The program should be
open to funding travel grants or supplements, within the existing proposal selec-
tion process, so participants can meet for international planning purposes.
Timing is often an important factor in collaborative international efforts.
Projects developed among many nations often have a long planning horizon, and
U.S. participants must work within that schedule. Where possible, ANS should
be flexible in the timing of awards and provision of logistics support to match the
needs of international projects.
.
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FUTURE DIRECTIONS FOR NSF'S ARCTIC NATURAL SCIENCES PROGRAM
· NSF's International Programs Division should be asked to assist financially
with the development of international scientific collaborations.
The Interagency Arctic Research Policy Committee already exists as a
mechanism to help agencies coordinate their arctic research activities, and the
community of involved federal agencies is not so large that another formal mecha-
nism is needed. But improved communication and increased informal interac-
tion among key staff are needed in order to establish a foundation for real coop-
eration including, perhaps, involvement of appropriate agency personnel as
Arctic Affiliates involved in aspects of the review process.
· ANS program staff should take steps to improve communication with other
NSF units with relevant programs, such as the Earth System History program.
Benefit can be gained by increased informal interactions among staff, but also via
mechanisms such as periodic meetings of the proposed Arctic Affiliates or invi-
tation of appropriate staff to meetings of the Office Advisory Committee. Shar-
ing expertise in these ways can do much to bring a wide range of expertise to the
ANS program and help its staff manage the program' s diverse portfolio.
.
LOGISTICS SUPPORT
The committee heard numerous expressions of concern from the research
community about issues related to logistics support for research in the Arctic.
Many comments related to finding platforms for field work, and there was virtu-
ally universal concern that logistics costs for arctic work had to be borne by
science budgets. The committee recognizes that comparisons between arctic and
antarctic logistics are not entirely apt. For instance, access to research sites in the
Arctic is not as difficult in many ways because of the extensive infrastructure that
is already in place. Nor are arctic researchers seeking to create a large bureau-
cracy or standardized procedures, because great flexibility is often necessary in
arranging logistics in the Arctic. Nevertheless, it seems unrealistic to expect ANS
and the rest of the Arctic Section to take leading roles in arctic research without
devoting more time to the associated logistical challenges.
Conclusion
· OPP must provide significant personnel and funds to support logistics needs
in the Arctic. This support need not be "equal" to the antarctic logistics support
provided by the Polar Support Section, because the settings are very different. In
fact, many in the arctic research community appreciate the flexibility they have to
arrange their own logistics. But there is extensive community dissatisfaction
with the current approach.
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CONCLUSIONS AND RECOMMENDATIONS
49
Recommendation
· An office dedicated to arctic logistics could be incorporated into the Arctic
Section or into the Polar Support Section. The office's role would be mainly one
of coordination, although it could take on more responsibility where scientifically
and economically beneficial, and take a less active role where the principal inves-
tigator has the knowledge or access to be more effective. Generally, an office for
arctic logistics would:
Know the predicted logistics needs of funded proposals for at least the
next two years, and help in coordinating activities and providing the greatest
support at the least cost. The office could track opportunities for researchers
to share logistics capabilities.
Know what governmental and commercial facilities are available for
providing logistics support and help investigators take advantage of this
support. Besides acting as a liaison with the Coast Guard and Navy for ship
support, the office could know what other science aircraft and support are
available from the Department of Defense, Forest Service, National Oceanic
and Atmospheric Administration, National Aeronautics and Space Adminis-
tration, and other branches of the National Science Foundation. The office
would try to arrange for use of these platforms at the least possible cost.
Become familiar with the procedures and contacts needed to work in
other arctic nations and their territorial waters. These requirements change
with time and vary for different research platforms. Sometimes, gaining
approvals for work in other countries is easier if an overarching agreement
between national agencies is already in place. In these areas, the arctic
logistics office could advise NSF and other federal agencies of the need for
such agreements and help in their implementation. In addition, the office
would also have to gauge when its participation would be less effective or
even counterproductive compared to personal contacts by individual scien-
tists.
PROGRAM DATA AVAILABILITY
The ANS program is relatively young, and thus not much information about
it has been accumulated. In the course of its work, the committee requested
certain data describing ANS awards and funding patterns that were needed to
support this assessment. The requested information was not readily available and
compiling it required a significant amount of work. An OPP Committee of
Visitors had similar difficulties in getting information, which it attributed to
OPP's reorganization, inadequate computing capabilities, and a lack of thought
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FUTURE DIRECTIONS FOR NSF'S ARCTIC NATURAL SCIENCES PROGRAM
about what types of data should be recorded. In addition to needing information
for program planning, accurate accounting of the ANS program's accomplish-
ments will be necessary within the National Science Foundation's overall effort
to comply with the Government Performance and Results Act of 1993, which
seeks to improve the effectiveness of federal programs through strategic plan-
ning, goal setting, and performance assessment.
Conclusion
· Good record-keeping is essential to good program management. Accurate,
basic information on the size and types of awards and other standard information
should be kept in computer databases that are easily accessible to staff and easily
interpreted.
Recommendation
· If it does not already exist, OPP should develop an organized, workable
database containing appropriate proposal information so it can be an accessible
and useful resource to staff, supervisors, and others to monitor the ANS program
as it evolves. If such a system already exists, ANS program data should be
entered so that over time a useful body of information is accumulated that will
hold lessons about program strengths and weaknesses and guide future
decisionmakers.