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New Vaccine Development: Establishing Priorities: Volume II, Diseases of Importance in Developing Countries (1986)
Board on Population Health and Public Health Practice (BPH)

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. "9. Findings, Conclusions, and Recommendations." New Vaccine Development: Establishing Priorities: Volume II, Diseases of Importance in Developing Countries. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press, 1986.

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New Vaccine Development: Establishing Priorities, Volume II, Diseases of Importance in Developing Countries

TABLE 9.4 The Effect of Resource Constraints on the Ranking of Various Vaccine Candidates

 

Rank Based on Annualized Present Value of Potential Health Benefits Adjusted for Opportunity Costsa

 

Willingness to Pay (dollars) per IME Averted

Vaccine

Unrestricted

100,000

10,000

1,000

500

S. pneumoniae

1

1

1

5

b

Rotavirus (HPBRV)

2

2

2

Malaria (monovalent)

3

3

6

Rotavirus (LPBRV)

4

4

4

Rotavirus (RMRV)

5

5

5

S. typhi (Ty21a)

6

6

3

3

Malaria (multivalent)

7

7

7

Shigella

8

8

8

1

2

Hepatitis B

9

13

H. influenzae b

10

9

10

S. typhi (aa-strain)

11

10

9

6

Streptococcus group A

12

11

12

E. coli (attenuated live)

13

12

11

2

3

E. coli (purified antigens)

14

14

16

V. cholera (attenuated live)

15

15

13

4

1

M. leprae

16

16

14

V. cholera (inactivated)

17

17

15

7

RSV (attenuated live virus)

18

18

RSV (glycoprotein)

19

21

Parainfluenza viruses

20

22

Rabies (Vero cell derived)

21

19

17

Rabies (glycoprotein)

22

20

18

Hepatitis A (attenuated live virus)

23

27

Hepatitis A (polypeptide)

24

N. meningitidis

25

26

Yellow fever virus

26

23

20

Dengue virus

27

25

Rabies (live vector virus)

28

24

19

Japanese encephalitis virus

29

aRankings are based on values shown in Table 9.3.

b– denotes not affordable at indicated willingness to pay.

equivalent to potential health benefits. In this case the principle of dominance applies: vaccines yielding greater potential benefits and lower expenditures are preferred. Procedures are discussed in Chapter 3. However, because the expenditures do not reflect overall net costs, the committee believes that initial rankings of candidates should be based on their potential health benefits.

Disease Burden Assumptions

A major factor in determining the ultimate ranking of a vaccine candidate is the total disease burden value (TDBV) used as the starting point in the calculations of potential benefit. The central analysis rankings reflect the committee’s best efforts, within its resources and the reliability and quantity of available data, to generate disease

Page
132
Front Matter (R1-R16)
1. Summary (1-18)
2. Priority Setting for Health-Related Investments: A Review of Methods (19-29)
3. Overview of the Analytic Approach (30-43)
4. Comparison of Disease Burdens (44-62)
5. Predictions of Vaccine Development (63-75)
6. Assessing the Likely Utilization of New Vaccines (76-81)
7. Calculation and Comparison of the Health Benefits and Differential Costs Associated with Candidate Vaccines (82-105)
8. Additional Issues in the Selection of Priorities for Accelerated Vaccine Development (106-120)
9. Findings, Conclusions, and Recommendations (121-142)
Appendix A: Selection of Vaccine Candidates for Accelerated Development (143-148)
Appendix B: The Burden of Disease Resulting from Acute Respiratory Illness (149-158)
Appendix C: The Burden of Disease Resulting from Diarrhea (159-169)
Appendix D-1: The Prospects for Immunizing Against Dengue Virus (170-177)
Appendix D-2: The Prospects for Immunizing Against Escherichia coli (178-185)
Appendix D-3: The Prospects for Immunizing Against Hemophilus influenzae Type b (186-196)
Appendix D-4: The Prospects for Immunizing Against Hepatitis A Virus (197-207)
Appendix D-5: The Prospects for Immunizing Against Hepatitis B Virus (208-222)
Appendix D-6: The Prospects for Immunizing Against Japanese Encephalitis Virus (223-240)
Appendix D-7: The Prospects for Immunizing Against Mycobacterium leprae (241-250)
Appendix D-8: The Prospects for Immunizing Against Neisseria meningitidis (251-266)
Appendix D-9: The Prospects for Immunizing Against Parainfluenza Viruses (267-274)
Appendix D-10: The Prospects for Immunizing Against Plasmodium spp. (275-286)
Appendix D-11: The Prospects for Immunizing Against Rabies Virus (287-298)
Appendix D-12: The Prospects for Immunizing Against Respiratory Syncytial Virus (299-307)
Appendix D-13: The Prospects for Immunizing Against Rotavirus (308-318)
Appendix D-14: The Prospects for Immunizing Against Salmonella typhi (319-328)
Appendix D-15: The Prospects for Immunizing Against Shigella spp. (329-337)
Appendix D-16: The Prospects for Immunizing Against Streptococcus Group A (338-356)
Appendix D-17: The Prospects for Immunizing Against Streptococcus pneumoniae (357-375)
Appendix D-18: The Prospects for Immunizing Against Vibrio cholerae (376-389)
Appendix D-19: The Prospects for Immunizing Against Yellow Fever (390-402)
Appendix E: Questionnaire for Assessing Morbidity-Mortality Trade-Offs (403-411)
Appendix F: Technical Notes (412-412)
Appendix G: Biographical Notes on Committee Members (413-417)
Appendix H: Additional Sources of Advice to the Committee (418-419)
Appendix I: Contents of Supplement to Volume II (420-420)
Appendix J: Preface to Volume I (421-422)
Appendix K: Contents to Volume I (423-423)
Index (424-432)