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OCR for page 419
Appendix C Workshop on Research on Criminal Careers: Program and Participants Woods Hole, Massachusetts July 23 25, 1984 JULY 23 "Characterizing the Offending Sequence: Prevalence, Duration, and Desistance" Jeffrey Roth, National Research Council Christy Visher, National Research Council Discussants: Davis] Farrington, Institute of Criminology, Cambridge University, England Robert Gordon, Department of Sociology, Johns Hopkins University Lee Robins, Washington University Meclical Center, St. Louis "Characterizing the Offending Sequence: Individual Crime Rates, Crime Mix, and Crime-Type Switching" Jacqueline Cohen, School of Urban ant] Public Affairs, Carnegie-Mellon University Discussants: Arnold Barnett, Massachusetts Institute of Technology David Farrington, Institute of Criminology, Cambridge University, England "Altemative Approaches to Observing the Individual Offending Sequence" Joseph Weis, Center for Law ant! Justice, University of Washington Discussants: Delbert Elliott, Behavioral Research Institute, BouIcler, Coloraclo Albert Reiss, Department of Sociology, Yale University NOTE: Affiliations listed are those at the time of the workshop. 4~9

OCR for page 419
420 CRIMINAL CAREERS AND CAREER CRIMINALS "Measuring Criminal Career Parameters in Recidivism Studies" Jan Chaiken, Rand Corporation, Santa Monica, California Marcia Chaiken, Rand Corporation, Santa Monica, California Discussants: Amold Barney, Massachusetts Institute of Technology Daniel Smith, Department of History, University of Illinois at Chicago Circle "Dynamic Models of Criminal Careers" Christopher Flinn, Department of Economics, University of Wisconsin Discussants: Jan Chaiken, Ranc3 Corporation, Santa Monica, Califomia Arthur Goldberger, Department of Economics, University of Wisconsin "Random Parameter Stochastic Process Models of Criminal Careers" John Lehoczky, Department of Statistics, Camegie-Mellon University Discussants: Jan Chaiken, Rand Corporation, Santa Monica, California Arthur GoIc3berger, Depardnent of Economics, University of Wisconsin JULY 24 "Methodological Issues in Making Predictions" John Copas, Depa~ent of Statistics, University of Birmingham, England Rover Tarlin~ Home Office Research and Planning; Unit, London, England ~ ~ ~ c:~ ~ O ~ Discussants: Rolf Loeber, Western Psychiatric Institute and Clinic, University of Pittsburgh Charles Manski, Department of Economics, University of Wisconsin "Accuracy of Prediction Models" Stephen Gottfredson, Department of Criminal Justice, Temple University Don Gottfredson, School of Criminal Justice, Rutgers University Discussants: John Monahan, School of Law, University of Virginia Franklin Zimring, Earl Warren Legal Institute, University of California, Berkeley "Empirical Comparisons of Prediction-Based Selection Rules with Decisions Made in Current Practice" William Rhodes, INSLAW, Inc., Washington, D.C. Discussants: Stephen Gottfredson, Department of Criminal Justice, Temple University Albert Reiss, Department of Sociology, Yale University

OCR for page 419
APPENDIX C: WORKSHOP ON RESEARCH ON CRIMINAL CAREERS "The Rand Inmate Survey: A Reanalysis" Christy Visher, National Research Council Discussants: Jan Chaiken, Rand Corporation, Santa Monica, California Peter Greenwood, Rand Corporation, Santa Monica, California Arthur Goldberger, Department of Economics, University of Wisconsin "Juvenile and Criminal Court Influences on Criminal Careers" Peter Greenwood, Rand Corporation, Santa Monica, Califomia Franklin Zimring, Ear! Warren Legal Institute, University of California, Berkeley 42] Discussants: Lloyd Ohlin, Department of Sociology (emeritus), Harvarc] University James Q. Wilson, Department of Government, Harvarc] University "The Relationship of Alcohol Abuse to Criminal Career Parameters" lames Collins, Research Triangle Institute, Research Triangle Park, Norm Carolina Discussants: John Kaplan, School of Law, Stanforc] University Lee Robins, Washington University Medical Center, St. Louis Marvin Wolfgang, Center for Studies in Criminology and Criminal Law, University of Pennsylvania "The Relationship of Drug Use to Criminal Career Parameters" Eric Wish, Narcotic and Drug Research, Inc., New York Bruce Johnson, Narcotic and Drug Research, Inc., New York Discussants: John Kaplan, School of Law, Stanford University Lee Robins, Washington University Meclical Center, St. Louis Marvin Wolfgang, Center for Studies in Criminology and Criminal Law, University of Pennsylvania JULY 25 "Interactive Ejects Between the Criminal Justice System and Criminal Career Parameters" Marcia Chaiken, RancI Corporation, Santa Monica, California fan Chaiken, Rand Corporation, Santa Monica, California Discussants: Harold Rose, Department of Urban Affairs, University of Wisconsin Franklin Zimring, Earl Warren Legal Institute, University of California, Berkeley "Group Influences on Criminal Career Parameters" Albert Reiss, Department of Sociology, Yale University Discussants: Robert Gordon, Departnent of Sociology, Johns Hopkins University Lloyd Ohlin, DeparUnent of Sociology (emeritus), Harvarc] University

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422 CRIMINAL CAREERS AND CaREER CRIMINALS "Operational Effects of Introducing Prediction-Based Decision Rules" Jonathan Casper, Department of Political Science, University of Illinois Discussants: Allen Andrews, Director of Public Safety, Peoria, Illinois Andrew Sonner, State's Attomey, Montgomery County, Maryland Reggie Walton, Associate Judge, Superior Court of the District of Columbia "The Justice of Assessing Dangerousness in Criminal Justice System Operations Mark Moore, Kennedy School of Government, Harvard University Discussants: John Monahan, School of Law, University of Virginia Norval Morris, School of Law, University of Chicago ,,