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OCR for page 419
Appendix C
Workshop on Research on Criminal Careers:
Program and Participants
Woods Hole, Massachusetts
July 23 25, 1984
JULY 23
"Characterizing the Offending Sequence: Prevalence, Duration, and Desistance"
Jeffrey Roth, National Research Council
Christy Visher, National Research Council
Discussants: Davis] Farrington, Institute of Criminology, Cambridge University,
England
Robert Gordon, Department of Sociology, Johns Hopkins University
Lee Robins, Washington University Meclical Center, St. Louis
"Characterizing the Offending Sequence: Individual Crime Rates, Crime Mix, and
Crime-Type Switching"
Jacqueline Cohen, School of Urban ant] Public Affairs,
Carnegie-Mellon University
Discussants: Arnold Barnett, Massachusetts Institute of Technology
David Farrington, Institute of Criminology, Cambridge University,
England
"Altemative Approaches to Observing the Individual Offending Sequence"
Joseph Weis, Center for Law ant! Justice, University of Washington
Discussants: Delbert Elliott, Behavioral Research Institute, BouIcler, Coloraclo
Albert Reiss, Department of Sociology, Yale University
NOTE: Affiliations listed are those at the time of the workshop.
4~9
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420
CRIMINAL CAREERS AND CAREER CRIMINALS
"Measuring Criminal Career Parameters in Recidivism Studies"
Jan Chaiken, Rand Corporation, Santa Monica, California
Marcia Chaiken, Rand Corporation, Santa Monica, California
Discussants: Amold Barney, Massachusetts Institute of Technology
Daniel Smith, Department of History, University of Illinois at
Chicago Circle
"Dynamic Models of Criminal Careers"
Christopher Flinn, Department of Economics, University of Wisconsin
Discussants: Jan Chaiken, Ranc3 Corporation, Santa Monica, Califomia
Arthur Goldberger, Department of Economics, University of
Wisconsin
"Random Parameter Stochastic Process Models of Criminal Careers"
John Lehoczky, Department of Statistics, Camegie-Mellon University
Discussants: Jan Chaiken, Rand Corporation, Santa Monica, California
Arthur GoIc3berger, Depardnent of Economics, University of
Wisconsin
JULY 24
"Methodological Issues in Making Predictions"
John Copas, Depa~ent of Statistics, University of Birmingham, England
Rover Tarlin~ Home Office Research and Planning; Unit, London, England
~ ~ ~ c:~ ~ O ~
Discussants: Rolf Loeber, Western Psychiatric Institute and Clinic, University of
Pittsburgh
Charles Manski, Department of Economics, University of Wisconsin
"Accuracy of Prediction Models"
Stephen Gottfredson, Department of Criminal Justice, Temple University
Don Gottfredson, School of Criminal Justice, Rutgers University
Discussants: John Monahan, School of Law, University of Virginia
Franklin Zimring, Earl Warren Legal Institute, University of
California, Berkeley
"Empirical Comparisons of Prediction-Based Selection Rules with Decisions Made in
Current Practice"
William Rhodes, INSLAW, Inc., Washington, D.C.
Discussants: Stephen Gottfredson, Department of Criminal Justice, Temple
University
Albert Reiss, Department of Sociology, Yale University
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APPENDIX C: WORKSHOP ON RESEARCH ON CRIMINAL CAREERS
"The Rand Inmate Survey: A Reanalysis"
Christy Visher, National Research Council
Discussants: Jan Chaiken, Rand Corporation, Santa Monica, California
Peter Greenwood, Rand Corporation, Santa Monica, California
Arthur Goldberger, Department of Economics, University of
Wisconsin
"Juvenile and Criminal Court Influences on Criminal Careers"
Peter Greenwood, Rand Corporation, Santa Monica, Califomia
Franklin Zimring, Ear! Warren Legal Institute, University of California, Berkeley
42]
Discussants: Lloyd Ohlin, Department of Sociology (emeritus), Harvarc]
University
James Q. Wilson, Department of Government, Harvarc] University
"The Relationship of Alcohol Abuse to Criminal Career Parameters"
lames Collins, Research Triangle Institute, Research Triangle Park, Norm Carolina
Discussants: John Kaplan, School of Law, Stanforc] University
Lee Robins, Washington University Medical Center, St. Louis
Marvin Wolfgang, Center for Studies in Criminology and Criminal
Law, University of Pennsylvania
"The Relationship of Drug Use to Criminal Career Parameters"
Eric Wish, Narcotic and Drug Research, Inc., New York
Bruce Johnson, Narcotic and Drug Research, Inc., New York
Discussants: John Kaplan, School of Law, Stanford University
Lee Robins, Washington University Meclical Center, St. Louis
Marvin Wolfgang, Center for Studies in Criminology and Criminal
Law, University of Pennsylvania
JULY 25
"Interactive Ejects Between the Criminal Justice System and Criminal Career
Parameters"
Marcia Chaiken, RancI Corporation, Santa Monica, California
fan Chaiken, Rand Corporation, Santa Monica, California
Discussants: Harold Rose, Department of Urban Affairs, University of Wisconsin
Franklin Zimring, Earl Warren Legal Institute, University of
California, Berkeley
"Group Influences on Criminal Career Parameters"
Albert Reiss, Department of Sociology, Yale University
Discussants: Robert Gordon, Departnent of Sociology, Johns Hopkins University
Lloyd Ohlin, DeparUnent of Sociology (emeritus), Harvarc]
University
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422
CRIMINAL CAREERS AND CaREER CRIMINALS
"Operational Effects of Introducing Prediction-Based Decision Rules"
Jonathan Casper, Department of Political Science, University of Illinois
Discussants: Allen Andrews, Director of Public Safety, Peoria, Illinois
Andrew Sonner, State's Attomey, Montgomery County, Maryland
Reggie Walton, Associate Judge, Superior Court of the District of
Columbia
"The Justice of Assessing Dangerousness in Criminal Justice System Operations
Mark Moore, Kennedy School of Government, Harvard University
Discussants: John Monahan, School of Law, University of Virginia
Norval Morris, School of Law, University of Chicago
,,
Representative terms from entire chapter:
rand corporation