. "COMMUNICATING UNCERTAINTY TO DECISION MAKERS." Statistical Issues in Defense Analysis and Testing: Summary of a Workshop. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press, 1994.
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Statistical Issues in Defense Analysis and Testing: Summary of a Workshop
a commitment from management is essential. The strength of the statistical method is explicitly to quantify our ignorance—not our knowledge. Decision makers may sometimes be reluctant to acknowledge uncertainty, because substantial uncertainty usually complicates the process of building consensus around a decision. But as technicians must look beyond the question “How big does n have to be?” so too must the decision maker pose other questions in addition to “What's the number?”