Statistical Issues in Defense Analysis and Testing

Summary of a Workshop

John E. Rolph and Duane L. Steffey, Editors

Committee on National Statistics

Commission on Behavioral and Social Sciences and Education

Committee on Applied and Theoretical Statistics

Commission on Physical Sciences, Mathematics, and Applications

National Research Council

NATIONAL ACADEMY PRESS
Washington, D.C. 1994



The National Academies | 500 Fifth St. N.W. | Washington, D.C. 20001
Copyright © National Academy of Sciences. All rights reserved.
Terms of Use and Privacy Statement



Below are the first 10 and last 10 pages of uncorrected machine-read text (when available) of this chapter, followed by the top 30 algorithmically extracted key phrases from the chapter as a whole.
Intended to provide our own search engines and external engines with highly rich, chapter-representative searchable text on the opening pages of each chapter. Because it is UNCORRECTED material, please consider the following text as a useful but insufficient proxy for the authoritative book pages.

Do not use for reproduction, copying, pasting, or reading; exclusively for search engines.

OCR for page R1
Statistical Issues in Defense Analysis and Testing: Summary of a Workshop Statistical Issues in Defense Analysis and Testing Summary of a Workshop John E. Rolph and Duane L. Steffey, Editors Committee on National Statistics Commission on Behavioral and Social Sciences and Education Committee on Applied and Theoretical Statistics Commission on Physical Sciences, Mathematics, and Applications National Research Council NATIONAL ACADEMY PRESS Washington, D.C. 1994

OCR for page R1
Statistical Issues in Defense Analysis and Testing: Summary of a Workshop NOTICE: The project that is the subject of this report was approved by the Governing Board of the National Research Council, whose members are drawn from the councils of the National Academy of Sciences, the National Academy of Engineering, and the Institute of Medicine. The members of the committee responsible for the report were chosen for their special competences and with regard for appropriate balance. This report has been reviewed by a group other than the authors according to procedures approved by a Report Review Committee consisting of members of the National Academy of Sciences, the National Academy of Engineering, and the Institute of Medicine. The National Academy of Sciences is a private, nonprofit, self-perpetuating society of distinguished scholars engaged in scientific and engineering research, dedicated to the furtherance of science and technology and to their use for the general welfare. Upon the authority of the charter granted to it by the Congress in 1863, the Academy has a mandate that requires it to advise the federal government on scientific and technical matters. Dr. Bruce M. Alberts is president of the National Academy of Sciences. The National Academy of Engineering was established in 1964, under the charter of the National Academy of Sciences, as a parallel organization of outstanding engineers. It is autonomous in its administration and in the selection of its members, sharing with the National Academy of Sciences the responsibility for advising the federal government. The National Academy of Engineering also sponsors engineering programs aimed at meeting national needs, encourages education and research, and recognizes the superior achievements of engineers. Dr. Robert M. White is president of the National Academy of Engineering. The Institute of Medicine was established in 1970 by the National Academy of Sciences to secure the services of eminent members of appropriate professions in the examination of policy matters pertaining to the health of the public. The Institute acts under the responsibility given to the National Academy of Sciences by its congressional charter to be an adviser to the federal government and, upon its own initiative, to identify issues of medical care, research, and education. Dr. Kenneth I. Shine is president of the Institute of Medicine. The National Research Council was organized by the National Academy of Sciences in 1916 to associate the broad community of science and technology with the Academy's purposes of furthering knowledge and advising the federal government. Functioning in accordance with general policies determined by the Academy, the Council has become the principal operating agency of both the National Academy of Sciences and the National Academy of Engineering in providing services to the government, the public, and the scientific and engineering communities. The Council is administered jointly by both Academies and the Institute of Medicine. Dr. Bruce M. Alberts and Dr. Robert M. White are chairman and vice chairman, respectively, of the National Research Council. This workshop was supported by funds from the Office of the Director, Operational Test and Evaluation, U.S. Department of Defense. Additional copies of this report are available from: Committee on National Statistics National Research Council 2101 Constitution Avenue, N.W. Washington, D.C. 20418 Copyright 1994 by the National Academy of Sciences. All rights reserved. Printed in the United States of America

OCR for page R1
Statistical Issues in Defense Analysis and Testing: Summary of a Workshop WORKSHOP ON STATISTICAL ISSUES IN DEFENSE ANALYSIS AND TESTING Chair JOHN E. ROLPH, The RAND Corporation, Santa Monica, California Presenters DAVID S.C. CHU, Assistant Secretary of Defense for Program Analysis and Evaluation HENRY DUBIN, Army Operational Test and Evaluation Command, Alexandria, Virginia JAMES B. DUFF, Navy Operational Test and Evaluation Force, Norfolk, Virginia ROBERT C. DUNCAN, Director, Operational Test and Evaluation, The Pentagon ARTHUR FRIES, Institute for Defense Analyses, Alexandria, Virginia JOHN F. GEHRIG, Army Test and Evaluation Management Agency, The Pentagon CHARLES F. HORTON, Office of the Director, Operational Test and Evaluation, The Pentagon RICHARD R. LEDESMA, Office of the Director for Defense Research and Engineering, The Pentagon WILLIAM G. LESE, Office of the Assistant Secretary of Defense for Program Analysis and Evaluation, General Purpose Programs, Land Forces Division, The Pentagon MARTIN METH, Office of the Under Secretary of Defense for Acquisition, Production and Logistics, Weapons Support Improvement Group, The Pentagon JIM METZGER, Office of the Assistant Secretary of Defense for Program Analysis and Evaluation, General Purpose Programs, Land Forces Division, The Pentagon PATRICIA SANDERS, Office of the Assistant Secretary of Defense for Program Analysis and Evaluation, General Purpose Programs, Land Forces Division, The Pentagon ERNEST SEGLIE, Office of the Director, Operational Test and Evaluation, The Pentagon CYRUS J. STANIEC, Office of the Assistant Secretary of Defense for Program Analysis and Evaluation, General Purpose Programs, Land Forces Division, The Pentagon MARION WILLIAMS, Air Force Operational Test and Evaluation Center, Kirtland Air Force Base, New Mexico

OCR for page R1
Statistical Issues in Defense Analysis and Testing: Summary of a Workshop Discussants LARRY H. CROW, AT&T Bell Labs, Whippany, New Jersey ARTHUR P. DEMPSTER, Department of Statistics, Harvard University DONALD P. GAVER, Naval Postgraduate School, Monterey, California JAMES S. HODGES, The RAND Corporation, Santa Monica, California KATHRYN B. LASKEY, School of Information Technology and Engineering, George Mason University VIJAYAN N. NAIR, AT&T Bell Labs, Murray Hill, New Jersey STEPHEN M. POLLOCK, Department of Industrial and Operations Engineering, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor DONALD B. RUBIN, Department of Statistics, Harvard University JEROME SACKS, National Institute of Statistical Sciences, Research Triangle Park, North Carolina FRANCISCO SAMANIEGO, Department of Statistics, University of California, Davis STEPHEN B. VARDEMAN, Department of Statistics, Iowa State University, Ames MICHAEL B. WOODROOFE, Department of Statistics, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor Rapporteurs MICHAEL L. COHEN, School of Public Affairs, University of Maryland, College Park LOUIS GORDON, Department of Mathematics, University of Southern California NANCY L. SPRUILL, Office of the Assistant Secretary of Defense for Program Analysis and Evaluation, Projection Forces, The Pentagon Other Participants BOB BELL, Office of the Director for Operational Test and Evaluation Activity, U.S. Marine Corps, Quantico, Virginia MARION BRYSON, Test and Experimentation Command, Fort Hood, Texas HERB FALON, Office of the Deputy Under Secretary of the Army for Operations Research, The Pentagon LEE FRAME, Office of the Director, Operational Test and Evaluation, The Pentagon HERMANN HABERMANN, Statistical Policy Office, Office of Management and Budget

OCR for page R1
Statistical Issues in Defense Analysis and Testing: Summary of a Workshop CHARLES HOLLAND, Air Force Office of Scientific Research, Bolling Air Force Base, District of Columbia ROY RICE, Office of Aerospace Studies, Headquarters Air Force Materiel Command, Kirtland Air Force Base, New Mexico JOHN RIENTE, Office of the Deputy Chief of Staff for Operations and Plans, U.S. Army, The Pentagon CARL RUSSELL, Army Operational Test and Evaluation Command, Alexandria, Virginia DUANE L. STEFFEY, Study Director, Committee on National Statistics MIRON L. STRAF, Director, Committee on National Statistics CLAYTON THOMAS, Air Force Studies and Analysis Agency, The Pentagon JOHN R. TUCKER, Staff Officer, Committee on Applied and Theoretical Statistics SUZANNE H. WOOLSEY, Executive Director, Commission on Behavioral and Social Sciences and Education

OCR for page R1
Statistical Issues in Defense Analysis and Testing: Summary of a Workshop COMMITTEE ON NATIONAL STATISTICS 1992-1993 BURTON H. SINGER (Chair), Department of Epidemiology and Public Health, Yale University NORMAN M. BRADBURN (Vice Chair), National Opinion Research Center, University of Chicago MARTIN H. DAVID, Department of Economics, University of Wisconsin, Madison JOHN F. GEWEKE, Department of Economics, University of Minnesota, Minneapolis NOREEN GOLDMAN, Office of Population Research, Princeton University LOUIS GORDON, Department of Mathematics, University of Southern California JOEL B. GREENHOUSE, Department of Statistics, Carnegie Mellon University ERIC A. HANUSHEK, Department of Economics, University of Rochester ROBERT M. HAUSER, Department of Sociology and Institute for Research on Poverty, University of Wisconsin, Madison JANET L. NORWOOD, The Urban Institute, Washington, D.C. DOROTHY P. RICE, Department of Social and Behavioral Sciences, School of Nursing, University of California, San Francisco JOHN E. ROLPH, The RAND Corporation, Santa Monica, California KEITH RUST, Westat, Inc., Rockville, Maryland DANIEL L. SOLOMON, Department of Statistics, North Carolina State University MIRON L. STRAF, Director SUSANNA McFARLAND, Administrative Associate

OCR for page R1
Statistical Issues in Defense Analysis and Testing: Summary of a Workshop COMMITTEE ON APPLIED AND THEORETICAL STATISTICS 1992-1993 WILLIAM F. EDDY (Chair), Department of Statistics, Carnegie Mellon University YVONNE BISHOP, Energy Information Agency, U.S. Department of Energy MARY ELLEN BOCK, Department of Statistics, Purdue University MARJORIE G. HAHN, Department of Mathematics, Tufts University DOUGLAS M. HAWKINS, Department of Applied Statistics, University of Minnesota DAVID G. HOEL, Department of Biostatistics, Epidemiology, and Systems Science, Medical University of South Carolina JON R. KETTENRING, Bellcore, Morristown, New Jersey KARL E. PEACE, Biopharmaceutical Research Consultants, Ann Arbor, Michigan STEPHEN M. POLLOCK, Department of Industrial and Operations Engineering, University of Michigan DARYL PREGIBON, AT&T Bell Laboratories, Murray Hill, New Jersey JOHN R. TUCKER, Senior Program Officer

OCR for page R1
Statistical Issues in Defense Analysis and Testing: Summary of a Workshop This page in the original is blank.