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Page xvi
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Sources of Uncertainty in Trend
Estimates
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44
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8
Radiosonde Observations
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50
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Summary of Trends
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50
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Sources of Uncertainty in Trend
Estimates
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50
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Background
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51
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Data Homogeneity Problems
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52
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Variety of Methods of Estimating
Global Trends in Layer-Mean Temperatures
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53
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Efforts to Correct the Problems
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55
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9
Trend Comparisons
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58
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Comparisons Between MSU and
Radiosonde Data sets
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58
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Evidence Concerning Surface versus
Tropospheric Temperature Trends
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62
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Interpretation of the Differences
Between Observed Surface and Tropospheric Temperature Trends
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65
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Insights Derived from Model
Simulations
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68
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Concluding Remarks
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70
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References
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72
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Appendixes
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79
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A. Biographical Information on Panel
Members
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81
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B. Acronyms and Abbreviations
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85
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