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BEYOND SIX BILLION: Forecasting the World's Population
sequent likelihood that they will be duplicated in the future. This is the issue for the following chapters.
REFERENCES
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Boudon, R. 1986 Theories of Social Change: A Critical Appraisal. Cambridge: Polity Press.
Cohen, J. 1979 Ergodic theorems in demography. Bulletin (New Series) of the American Mathematical Society 1(2):275-295.
El-Badry, M.A., and S. Kono 1986 Demographic estimates and projections. Population Bulletin of the United Nations 19/20:35-44.
Keilman, N. 1997 Ex-post errors in official population forecasts in industrialized countries. Journal of Official Statistics (Statistics Sweden) 13(3):245-277.
1998 How accurate are the United Nations world population projections? Population and Development Review 24(Supplement):15-41.
Keyfitz, N. 1981 The limits of population forecasting. Population and Development Review 7(4):579-593.
1982 Can knowledge improve forecasts? Population and Development Review 8(8):579-593.
Long, J.F. 1995 Complexity, accuracy, and utility of official population projections . Mathematical Population Studies 5(3):203-216.
Nagel, E. 1961 The Structure of Science: Problems in the Logic of Scientific Explanation. New York: Harcourt, Brace and World.
Stoto, M.A. 1983 The accuracy of population projections. Journal of the American Statistical Association 78(381):13-20.
United Nations (U.N.) 1999 World Population Prospects: The 1998 Revision, Vol. 1, Comprehensive Tables. New York: United Nations.
Willekens, F.J. 1990 Demographic forecasting: State-of-the-art and research needs. Pp. 9-66 in C.A. Hazeu and G.A.B. Frinking (eds.), Emerging Issues in Demographic Research. Amsterdam: Elsevier.