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RISK ANALYSIS AND UNCERTAINTY IN FLOOD DAMAGE REDUCTION STUDIES
Geotechnical Reliability,
67
5
CASE STUDIES,
71
Beargrass Creek,
72
Red River of the North at East Grand Forks, Minnesota, and Grand Forks, North Dakota,
98
6
EVALUATION AND PROPOSED IMPROVEMENTS,
114
Concerns with the Risk Analysis Methods,
114
Engineering Performance,
115
Hydrologic Analysis,
119
Geotechnical Reliability,
122
Economic Performance,
123
Interdependence in Risk Analysis for Flood Damage Assessment,
127
Correlation Length,
128
Spatial Aggregation,
129
Computational Alternatives to Minimize Correlation Effects,
133
7
LEVEE CERTIFICATION,
139
History of Levee Certification,
139
Current Certification Criterion,
147
Analysis of Levee Sizing Criteria,
149
Technical Corrections to the Current Certification Procedure,
155
An Alternative Criterion: A Longer-Term Change,
156
8
CONCLUSIONS AND RECOMMENDATIONS,
159
Risk Analysis Techniques,
161
Consistent Terminology,
164
Levee Certification,
165
Floodplain Management,
166
REFERENCES,
168
APPENDIXES
A
Glossary,
175
B
Corps–FEMA Levee Certification Documentation,
181
C
Economic and Environmental Principles for Water Related Land Resources Implementation Studies,
193
D
Functions of Random Variables,
196
E
Biographical Information,
199
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