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Avoiding Technology Surprise for Tomorrow's Warfighter: A Symposium Report (2009)

Chapter: Appendix E: Questions Presented to Panels

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Suggested Citation:"Appendix E: Questions Presented to Panels." National Research Council. 2009. Avoiding Technology Surprise for Tomorrow's Warfighter: A Symposium Report. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/12735.
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Page 51
Suggested Citation:"Appendix E: Questions Presented to Panels." National Research Council. 2009. Avoiding Technology Surprise for Tomorrow's Warfighter: A Symposium Report. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/12735.
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Page 52

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Appendix E Questions Presented to Panels The following questions, provided by the DIA/DWO, were posed to two parallel panel sessions in the symposium to motivate discussion by panel participants. S&TI (Scientific and Technical Technology Surprise Problems Intelligence) Solutions WHO Whom do you see as future creators of Whom do you go to for information on technology surprise? technology developments that may lead • Can you name your top three in order to surprise? of concern? • Whom do you formally task for S&TI? Responses may be nations, regions, • Do you trust them to provide transnational entities, institutions, technically correct, balanced individuals, etc. assessments? Why or why not? WHAT What are your top five technology surprise What specific type of S&TI is most concerns? useful for your Command? • At the strategic level? • Long-term forecasts? • At the operational level? • Technology transfer risk • At the tactical level? assessments? • Current military system capabilities? What do you consider to be critical U.S. technologies that must be protected (e.g., What positive action/changes have you night-vision technology)? been able to take in response to S&TI • Where do your program managers go information you have received? with questions or ideas about protecting What failures have occurred due to a our critical technologies? lack of S&TI information? continues 51

52 AVOIDING TECHNOLOGY SURPRISE FOR TOMORROW’S WARFIGHTER S&TI (Scientific and Technical Technology Surprise Problems Intelligence) Solutions WHEN When do you think technology surprise is When would you like S&TI reporting to most likely to occur? be delivered to you? • What percentage of your Command’s • In response to requests for time is spent planning beyond the information? current conflict? • Via IC initiative products? • Through tailored reporting based on your unique customer profile? WHERE Where do you think technology surprise Where should the S&TI community be is most likely to occur (e.g., within focusing its effort? civil systems, military systems, on the • Where should the responsibility for battlefield, in space)? S&TI reside (e.g., at DOD, Services, • Where are the greatest vulnerabilities to Commands)? U.S. critical technologies? HOW How do you identify your S&TI needs? How do you receive S&TI (e.g., in • How effective/useful are technology person, in hard copy, electronically)? targeting risk assessments (TTRA) to • How would you like to receive program managers (are they meeting S&TI? your needs)? • How proactive is your Command in seeking out S&TI?

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On April 29, 2009 the National Research Council held a 1-day symposium titled, 'Avoiding Technology Surprise for Tomorrow's Warfighter.' This volume, a report of the symposium, highlights key challenges confronting the scientific and technical intelligence (S & TI) community and explores potential solutions that might enable the S & TI community to overcome those challenges.

The symposium captured comments and observations from representatives from combatant commands and supporting governmental organizations, together with those of symposium participants, in order to elucidate concepts and trends, knowledge of which could be used to improve the Department of Defense's technology warning capability. Topics addressed included issues stemming from globalization of science and technology, challenges to U.S. warfighters that could result from technology surprise, examples of past technological surprise, and the strengths and weaknesses of current S & TI analysis.

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