Contents

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
The Current Situation and the Reasons for Further Change
Nuclear Deterrence Past and Future
A Two-Part Program of Change
Building a Regime of Progressive Constraints
Prohibition of Nuclear Weapons?

1  WHY CHANGE U.S. NUCLEAR WEAPONS POLICY?
The Problem and the Prospects in Summary
Nuclear Weapon Dilemmas and Dynamics
The Case for Post-Cold War Reductions and Transformations
Orientation and a Caution

2  CURRENT U.S. NUCLEAR WEAPONS POLICY
The U.S.-Russian Interaction
The Other Nuclear Weapons States: China, France, and the United Kingdom
Nuclear Weapons Policy and Nonproliferation
Conclusion

3  A REGIME OF PROGRESSIVE CONSTRAINTS
An Immediate Step: To 2,000 Deployed Strategic Warheads
Further Transformation of the U.S.-Russian Interaction
Nuclear Reductions and Nonproliferation
Nuclear Force Reductions: How Low Can We Go?

4  PROHIBITION OF NUCLEAR WEAPONS
The Benefits and Risks of Nuclear Disarmament
Prerequisites for Nuclear Disarmament
Routes to Nuclear Disarmament
Conclusions

APPENDIXES
A  Biographical Sketches of Committee Members
B  The Buildup and Builddown of Nuclear Forces